An update on the local police measure results + updated Pivot County data Results of the local police measures on the November ballotFollowing the killing of George Floyd on May 25, cities and counties introduced police-related measures. Ballotpedia tracked 20 such measures that appeared on the Nov. 3 ballot. All 20 measures were approved or were ahead pending the count of remaining ballots. Local ballot measures were on the ballot in 10 cities and four counties within eight states. Below are three notable measures among the 20. Note: All vote counts were as of 6:00 p.m. EST on Nov. 11.
A closer look at the margins of victory in the 206 Pivot CountiesWe’ve given you election analysis of the nation’s 206 Pivot Counties in several editions of the Brew following last week’s election. Here’s a closer look at the margins of victory in those counties based on unofficial vote totals. We will continue to update this analysis as vote totals are certified. Pivot Counties are the 206 counties nationwide that Ballotpedia identified as having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and Donald Trump (R) in 2016. These counties are sometimes referred to as swing counties by media and political observers. We have split the Pivot Counties into two categories based on the unofficial results:
Preliminary analysis shows the following breakdown for the 206 Pivot Counties
Trump has been winning the 174 Retained Pivot Counties with an average margin of victory of 14.9 percentage points. Additionally, compared to his 2016 results, Trump's margin of victory decreased in 49 Retained Pivot Counties and increased in 125. Biden has been winning the 20 Carousel Pivot Counties with an average margin of victory of 3.1 percentage points. Compared to Obama's results in 2012, the last time a Democrat won in these counties, Biden's margin of victory represents a decrease in 18 and an increase in two. The five counties with the largest change in margin of victory for Democrats and Republicans since 2016 are in the tables below.
Local roundupIn this year’s November mayoral elections, four of the 24 elections called so far have seen party changes. Republicans lost three offices and Democrats lost one. Democrats and independents each flipped two offices. With the results we have so far, here’s what we know:
Mayoral races in Riverside and Stockton, California, remain undecided. December runoff elections for mayor will be held in Baton Rouge, Louisiana (Dec. 5); Corpus Christi, Texas (Dec. 12); and El Paso, Texas (Dec. 15). Here’s a rundown of the races where parties changed hands:
In those four cities—and in most of the nation's largest cities—mayoral elections are officially nonpartisan, though many officeholders and candidates are affiliated with political parties. Read about the criteria Ballotpedia uses to identify each officeholder's partisan affiliation here. Elections were held in 29 of the 100 largest U.S. cities. In 15 of the 29 cities, the incumbent was Republican at the start of 2020. Twelve incumbents were Democratic, one was independent, and one was nonpartisan.
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