November 5, 2020: On Tuesday morning, RealClearPolitics rated 12 states and two districts as toss-ups. These toss-ups held a total of 197 Electoral College votes.[1]
At the time, I said, “all who feel certain about how Election 2020 will be resolved” should visit that page for “a rare but welcome acknowledgment of uncertainty.”[2]
As it turned out, several states on the list ended up in the Trump column, and several others went to Biden. A few remain uncalled at this time. That split speaks to the quality of the RCP ratings.
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