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Number of the Day: 197 electoral college votes were rated as toss-ups On Election Day

November 5, 2020: On Tuesday morning, RealClearPolitics rated 12 states and two districts as toss-ups. These toss-ups held a total of 197 Electoral College votes.[1]

At the time, I said, “all who feel certain about how Election 2020 will be resolved” should visit that page for “a rare but welcome acknowledgment of uncertainty.”[2]

As it turned out, several states on the list ended up in the Trump column, and several others went to Biden. A few remain uncalled at this time. That split speaks to the quality of the RCP ratings.


Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology. Columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.

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Scott Rasmussen is an editor-at-large for Ballotpedia, the Encyclopedia of American Politics. He is a senior fellow for the study of self-governance at the King’s College in New York. His most recent book, Politics Has Failed: America Will Not, was published by the Sutherland Institute in August 2018.

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