Dear Friends,

Polls have officially closed in a number of states. It's official, this country has experienced record turnout. But we also need people to STAY IN LINE. Please keep this message going.
I also want to take this moment to share some more good news before elections returns really start to come in tonight...
Before I do, in case you missed it earlier today: Biden for President’s Campaign Manager Jen O’Malley Dillon and former White House Counsel Bob Bauer held an election day briefing.

TOPLINE MESSAGES
* We know some results will take time but we are clear-eyed about how many paths to victory we have - and how few President Trump has.
* We believe states like Florida, Texas, Ohio, and Pennsylvania are very close. While we would love to win them and are doing everything in our power to make that happen- we don’t need to win them. Donald Trump can win these states- to do so he needs to do as well as he did in 2016 which is certainly possible.
* But for President Trump to make up ground from early voting in states like North Carolina, Georgia, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona Trump will need to overperform how he did in 2016. In Michigan for example, he needs to win 62% of the Election Day vote. That’s overperforming his 2016 Election Day turnout by more than 10 points.
* So, look - there are a lot of paths to victory for us. We closed early voting in a strong position. And, again under no circumstance will Donald Trump be declared a victor tonight.

Here's even more good news over the last few hours regarding coalitions and states.

FL
Tom Bonier ([link removed]) : At 4:50, the Dem lead in Leon County, FL is now 41K votes. Again, this isn't a comprehensive look at the state by any means, but if the President was banking on Republicans to swamp Democrats in Election Day turnout, it's not happening in some key counties.
Tom Bonier ([link removed]) : Almost 4.5 hours later, the Dem lead in Duval is >12,500 votes. GOPs are not closing the gap fast enough here to produce the result they need.*
Nate Silver ([link removed]) : GOP +1.8% on turnout by party registration so far in Florida. Will probably get up to +2.0% by the end of the night though the pace of GOP gains has really slowed down.

CBS4 Miami’s Jim DeFede ([link removed]) : Here are the 5 pm numbers for Dade
115,097 voters so far today
DEM 41,534
REP 34,130
NPA 37,576
OTHER 1,857

MI
CBS News’s Adam Brewster ([link removed]) : As of 4:30pm, per Michigan Secretary of State:
3.2M absentee ballots returned
18,822 new voter registrations today
Detroit (805), Ann Arbor (472) and Grand Rapids (302) had the most.

CNN’s Omar Jimenez ([link removed]) : Michigan officials expect the state’s vote will be counted sooner than previously expected, with both day-of and absentee ballot counts expected to be reported soon after polls close tonight, @MichSoS tells @miguelmarquez

Voting in Detroit
* More than 100K of 170K absentee ballots in Detroit are already tabulated.
* More than 18,000 eligible citizens registered *and* voted today.
* The vast majority of those 18K who registered & voted today were in Detroit, Ann Arbor & Grand Rapids.

PA

Reuters’s Jarrett Renshaw ([link removed]) : In PA Montgomery County, the state’s largest suburban county, total turnout could reach nearly 90 percent of registered voters, up from roughly 77 percent in 2016, County Dem chairman Joe Foster told me
TX

El Paso Matters’s Bob Moore ([link removed]) : El Paso had 24,000 Election Day votes as of 2 p.m., keeping us on pace for a total vote today of about 42,000. El Paso has surpassed 50% turnout among registered voters for the only the second time since 2000.

Houston Chronicle’s Zach Despart: As of now, #HarrisCounty is on pace for an all-time high of 1.64 million votes, with a record **88%** cast before Election Day. This means when early vote result published ~7 p.m., candidates who are trailing will have a very difficult time closing the gap b/c of so few ED votes.

AAPI Turnout

Tom Bonier ([link removed]) : In the presidential battleground states, the early vote from Asian Americans exceeded their total 2016 turnout by 14%. Latino voters are only 3% behind their total '16 turnout. Meanwhile, white non-college voters are 36% behind '16, a gap of more than 12 million votes.

NPR's Domenico Montanaro:
Trump approvals in some key states ([link removed]) , acc to @AP VoteCast
FL - 42/57 (strongly disapprove is 51)
AZ - 43/57
GA - 46/53
WI - 46/54
PA - 47/53
NC - 48/52

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