Welcome back to the Data for Progress newsletter, your weekly update on our research, blog posts, and memes.

Reminder: Follow Our Election Night Integrity Project on Tuesday!
November 3rd is just days away, and with record levels of early voting, it could be the most confusing election night we’ve ever seen. Instead of paying too much attention to overly-ambitious Twitter pundits, we recommend following our Election Night Integrity Project, which will provide reliable, accurate, up-to-date information that puts the results into context.



Click here to access the project, and leave that tab open for Election Night!


Less than One Week Left! Give to the Green New Deal Slate!
Election Day is on Tuesday. If you want climate justice champions to win big in key state and local races, it’s now or never — chip in to the Green New Deal Slate right now!

Give to our Fuck Gerry(mandering) Fund too!


Visualizing the Representation Gap
Imagine that you’re a resident of Wyoming and you decide to move to California. In a well-functioning democracy, this wouldn’t lead to an orders of magnitude decrease in your voting power. But in the U.S., it does.

This move alone would decrease your representation in the Electoral College to 27 percent of its original value, and your representation in the Senate to just 1.5 percent of its original value.

You can see these effects in a brand new interactive tool we created to show the representation gaps in the Senate and Electoral College:




Voters Support Deficit Spending When Tied to Material Benefits
If Joe Biden wins the presidency, he should add to the national debt. The economics are clear, and the human need for more spending to save our economy and climate is even clearer.

In general, many voters can be cautious about expanding the debt. But are they willing to accept increases to the debt if it allows the government to spend more on priorities like healthcare, infrastructure, and education? Our polling finds that they do. A majority of voters — 53 percent — prefer spending more even if it increases the debt, while only 39 percent prioritize the debt.




Data Bytes

• Biden Leading in Texas, Jaime Harrison TIED in South Carolina: Democrats have a real shot to flip Texas blue — our latest polling, released Monday, shows Joe Biden with a one point edge in the Lone Star State. Perhaps even more importantly, a new South Carolina Senate poll released on Tuesday found Jaime Harrison tied with Republican incumbent Lindsey Graham!
  
  We also released a new poll for Puerto Rico’s Resident Commissioner race! Although we find Jennifer Gonzalez with a 12-point lead over the next closest candidate, Anibal Acevedo Vilá, we show that Gonzalez’s endorsement of President Trump could damage her favorability.
   

• Trump’s “Fossil Fuel Voters” Are a Myth: Trump has been repeatedly attacking the Green New Deal with lies — but even some Republicans aren’t buying them.
  
  In a recent poll, we asked respondents whether they viewed Joe Biden’s climate plan as a $2 trillion proposal to create good-paying jobs and build clean infrastructure, or as a plan to “take away hamburgers and airplanes” and “take nice windows and make them tiny.” Yes, American politics has gotten to the point where we had to ask this.
  
  We found that a majority of voters — 61 percent, including 35 percent of Republicans — found the factually-accurate statement most persuasive, while only a small minority agreed with the deceptive Trumpian statement.
  
  

From The Blog
I Know Republican Voters Support Climate Action -- I Have Seen It In San Diego
Biden Delivers Another Strong Showing, Emerges Clear Winner of Final Presidential Debate
A Great Depression Prescription for a Pandemic Era
Trump’s “Fossil Fuel Voters” Are a Myth
Voters Support Deficit Spending When Tied to Material Benefits
Visualizing the Representation Gap


Media Hits
“No One Else Can Do This”: Ady Barkan is Using the Health Care Fight to Tip the Scales in 2020 @Vanity Fair
Climate Is Driving Voting More Than You Might Think, Especially For Women @Forbes
Exclusive: Poll shows bipartisan support for tech antitrust action @Axios
Harrison and Graham Tied in South Carolina Senate Race After COVID Testing Dispute, New Poll Shows @Newsweek
I've Got Polls But I'm Not A Pollster @What a Day
Charlotte Swasey Interview @Two Broads Talking Politics Podcast


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