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The Economy of Tomorrow
This week’s Q3 GDP toplines <[link removed]> mask two central facts: 1) Lower-income Americans are experiencing a vastly different economy than those at the top, and 2) now-expired federal stimulus helped prevent deeper harm.
With COVID-19 cases and long-term unemployment rising, and economic activity slowing, we need further federal support now. And as Roosevelt Chief Economist Joseph Stiglitz explains <[link removed]> in a new issue brief, we can apply the lessons of this and prior downturns to design better policy—timely and sustained support for the individuals and sectors that need it most.
In an exclusive interview <[link removed]> with Vox’s Emily Stewart, Stiglitz elaborates on the paper’s takeaways.
“We know from other economic downturns that there are these irreversibilities—hysteresis, as I sometimes put it. You don’t un-bankrupt a firm, after the economy starts to recover, that’s already gone bankrupt. There’s an enormous amount of organizational and informational capital that gets destroyed.
“The longer and deeper the downturn, the harder the recovery is. That’s where the predicate that we are at risk of doing too little rather than too much comes from.”
A Green Recovery
There’s no such thing as climate-neutral stimulus, as Roosevelt’s Rhiana Gunn-Wright, Kristina Karlsson, Kitty Richards, Bracken Hendricks, and David Arkush argue in a new report: “ . . . all fiscal policy is climate policy. A green stimulus policy recognizes this, building the dual goals of reducing emissions and speeding the transition away from fossil fuels into efforts to induce greater investment, job creation, and financial flows across the wider economy.”Read on <[link removed]>for the principles and proposals that could drive a green recovery, and learn more inBloomberg Green’s coverage <[link removed]>of the report.
Student Debt Is a Racial Equity Issue
To boost the economy and help close the racial wealth gap, $75,000 in student debt cancellation would be an appropriate target, per new analysis from Raphaël Charron-Chenier, Louise Seamster, Tom Shapiro, and Laura Sullivan.Read about the latest data <[link removed]>in a new blog post from Roosevelt Research Associate Anna Smith.
Emerging Research
Today, the Roosevelt Network’s 2019–2020 Emerging Fellows <[link removed]>—Kevin Cao, Anthony Potts, and Emma Tucker—unveiled their yearlong research findings in three new issue briefs. Read them all now:
- Illinois Direct Care Training Partnership: Framework for Employer and Employee Co-Learning Fund <[link removed]> by Kevin Cao
- Implementation of Risk Assessment Tools in the Criminal Justice System: What Is a Fair Approach? <[link removed]> by Anthony Potts
- Introduction of an Organ Donation Tax Credit to Increase Access to Living-Donor Kidney Transplants in Georgia <[link removed]> by Emma Tucker
What We’re Reading
Virus Economic Destruction Renews Push against GDP Fixation [feat. Roosevelt’s Joseph Stiglitz] <[link removed]> - Bloomberg
To Reduce Racial Inequality, Raise the Minimum Wage <[link removed]> - New York Times
The Invisible Struggle of the Asian American Small-Business Owner <[link removed]> - Vox
The Mystery of How Many Mothers Have Left Work Because of School Closings <[link removed]> - New York Times
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