From VPAP <[email protected]>
Subject Visual: On Tuesday, Early Returns May Not Tell The Whole Story
Date October 29, 2020 6:44 PM
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The 2018 congressional race between Republican Dave Brat and Democrat Abigail Spanberger was so tight that the lead changed several times as results rolled in on Election Night. But how would the timeline -- showing the exact same final results -- have looked if early voting had been as heavy then as it is this year?

VPAP's simulation ([link removed]) shows that Brat would have held a lead from the start and maintained it late into the night, until a huge block of absentee votes would have swung the outcome to Spanberger.
[link removed]

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