Subject: "Don't believe the polls — Trump is winning"

From	TheVote <[email protected]>
Subject	"Don't believe the polls — Trump is winning"
Date	October 28, 2020 5:32 PM

Links have been removed from this email. Learn more in the FAQ.

------=_Part_290161951_1481501560.1603906327184
Content-Type: multipart/alternative;
boundary="----=_Part_290161952_2105402796.1603906327184"

------=_Part_290161952_2105402796.1603906327184
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable

[The Vote]

With 6 days to Election Day 2020, here's the news that you'll want to know:

(1) "Don't believe the polls =E2=80=94 Trump is winning" <[link removed]
ill.com/opinion/campaign/522957-dont-believe-the-polls-trump-is-winning-big=
ly>
=20
(2) AOC: "I don't know if I'm really going to be staying in the House fore=
ver" <[link removed]
433215>
=20
(3) more than 69 million votes cast already -- which is more than half of =
all votes cast in 2016 <[link removed]
ly-67-million-votes-cast-in-trump-biden-race-.html>

[Two writers analyze the polls; bottom line: "Don't believe the polls -- Tr=
ump is winning."]

"We predict that President Trump is going to win the 2020 presidential elec=
tion =E2=80=94 and win big. While the majority of the polls suggest that De=
mocratic presidential nominee Joe Biden is leading, or at best that it=E2=
=80=99s close, those polls suffer from at least three problems." (Jonathan =
Jakubowski & Christos A. Makridis in The Hill <[link removed]
ion/campaign/522957-dont-believe-the-polls-trump-is-winning-bigly> )

Read the full story on The Hill <[link removed]
522957-dont-believe-the-polls-trump-is-winning-bigly>

=E2=80=A2 What's happening: In a new piece out today on The Hill, two writ=
ers make the case that President Trump is likely to win <[link removed]
l.com/opinion/campaign/522957-dont-believe-the-polls-trump-is-winning-bigly=
> . They argue that the current polls showing a Biden lead don't account fo=
r:
=20
-- "shy" Trump voters (though they don't call it that): due to "cancel cul=
ture" and the left's anti-Trump intensity, people don't want to say they're=
voting for President Trump
=20
-- small sample sizes and under-sampling Trump supporters
=20
-- underlying realities: as they note, 56% of people in a recent Gallup po=
ll say they're "better off than they were four years ago, which is striking=
given that we are in the midst of a pandemic with a recovering labor marke=
t and deepening political polarization"
=20
=E2=80=A2 What's at stake: First, political pundits and media figures seem=
less eager to "call" the election for either candidate as memories of how =
wrong they got it in 2016 still loom large.
=20
Remember: at this time last year, the media was reporting that Hillary Cli=
nton was all but certain to win the presidency. The New York Times gave her=
an 85% chance to win <[link removed]
idential-polls-forecast.html> . The day before the 2016 election, Reuters r=
eported it was actually a 90% chance of victory <[link removed]
ticle/us-usa-election-poll/clinton-has-90-percent-chance-of-winning-reuters=
-ipsos-states-of-the-nation-idUSKBN1322J1> .
=20
And we know how 2016 turned out.
=20
So arguments that the polls have it wrong (again!) could certainly be righ=
t.
=20
Second, although this isn't the main focus of The Hill piece, we'd re-emph=
asize that although national polls show Biden with a lead over President Tr=
ump, that same momentum doesn't flow down to battleground states.
=20
Biden's polling lead in Florida and Pennsylvania was "effectively halved" =
in mid-October <[link removed]
en-election-polls-florida-pennsylvania/> , and we think those will be criti=
cal states in the 2020 election.
=20
Plus, all fall, Biden has faced news stories about how he's "struggling" i=
n Florida <[link removed]
-voters-in-key-state-florida-polls-show.html> . Erstwhile Democratic presid=
ential candidate Michael Bloomberg is now reportedly $100 million in the st=
ate in support of Biden <[link removed]
ctions/2020/09/29/bloomberg-puts-100-million-in-florida-to-work-with-first-=
pro-biden-ad/> . That's not actually a sign of confidence.

[AOC: "I don't know if I'm really going to be staying in the House forever.=
"]

"'I don=E2=80=99t know if I=E2=80=99m really going to be staying in the Hou=
se forever, or if I do stay in the House, what that would look like,' Ocasi=
o-Cortez (D-N.Y.) told Vanity Fair in an interview for the magazine=E2=80=
=99s December cover story. =E2=80=9CI don=E2=80=99t see myself really stayi=
ng where I=E2=80=99m at for the rest of my life.'" (POLITICO <[link removed]
olitico.com/news/2020/10/28/aoc-dont-know-house-forever-433215> )

Read the full story on POLITICO <[link removed]
oc-dont-know-house-forever-433215>

=E2=80=A2 What's happening: In a new magazine feature piece, Rep. Alexandr=
ia Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) seemed to already be thinking about what's beyond he=
r U.S. House seat -- which she's win for a second term -- saying: "I don=E2=
=80=99t know if I=E2=80=99m really going to be staying in the House forever=
, or if I do stay in the House, what that would look like. I don=E2=80=99t =
see myself really staying where I=E2=80=99m at for the rest of my life."
=20
=E2=80=A2 What's at stake: First, in the long term, as POLITICO noted <htt=
ps://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/28/aoc-dont-know-house-forever-433215> ,=
that may indicate a variety of political paths ahead of her:
=20
-- a primary challenge for one of New York's Senate seats (Sen. Schumer is=
up for re-election in 2022)
=20
-- a position in a Biden Administration, if he wins next week
=20
-- a presidential run as she's "one of the likeliest inheritors of Vermont=
Sen. Bernie Sanders=E2=80=99 progressive coalition"
=20
Second, in the short term, Rep. Ilhan Omar -- one of the "Squad" members a=
long with AOC -- has indicated they'll be expecting the House to move far l=
eft if Biden becomes president.
=20
As Axios reported <[link removed]
-11071db9-ec1f-48ee-a4b0-7f76aa8f1e35.html> : "Proposals like Medicare for =
All, the Green New Deal, enacting a $15 minimum wage (which Biden supports)=
, and banning fracking are all top priorities for 'The Squad' if Biden wins=
."

[More than 69 million votes cast already -- which is more than half of all =
votes cast in 2016 election.]

"More than 69 million Americans have voted in the 2020 presidential electio=
n with one week to go until Election Day, according to U.S. Elections Proje=
ct data released Tuesday afternoon. [...] Early voting in 2020 has now surp=
assed the 58 million mail-in or in-person early votes cast in 2016, based o=
n Associated Press totals, and reached over 50% of the more than 136 millio=
n total ballots cast in the 2016 presidential election." (CNBC <[link removed]
.cnbc.com/2020/10/27/2020-elections-nearly-67-million-votes-cast-in-trump-b=
iden-race-.html> )

Read the full story on CNBC <[link removed]
-nearly-67-million-votes-cast-in-trump-biden-race-.html>

=E2=80=A2 What's happening: More than 69 million votes have been cast in t=
he 2020 presidential election already. That milestone is 10 million more th=
an early votes cast in 2016 (no surprise), and more than 50% of all votes c=
ast in 2016.
=20
=E2=80=A2 What's at stake: First, this makes it less likely that a last-mi=
nute news story will change voters' minds ... because so many have voted al=
ready. (Granted, the amount of Google searches for "can I change my vote" h=
as reportedly seen a sharp increase. <[link removed]
change-my-vote-surges-on-google-post-debate-heres-where-you-can> )
=20
Second, this may be good news for how quickly the election results can be =
finalized.
=20
Americans have known that this year, it's highly unlike we'll find out who=
won on election night. But if the amount of early voting is "spreading out=
the workload of election officials" -- as one expert quoted by CNBC said i=
t may be <[link removed]
votes-cast-in-trump-biden-race-.html> -- then we may see a shorter delay th=
an expected in receiving the final results from each state.

=3D=3D=3D
=20
P.O. Box 455, Leesburg, VA 20178
Unsubscribe: [link removed]
AyLWU1ODdiZDk1ZThiMTRjZmVhMTBkOGZkMzgzNWU3ZWEw%3AYmlnamFja2J1bHdhcmtAZ21haW=
wuY29t%3AOTA2MjgxNzM3%3An%3An%3A3WwsBf1UYNiHkUvNr0sFqQ
------=_Part_290161952_2105402796.1603906327184
Content-Type: text/html;charset=UTF-8
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable

<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD XHTML 1.0 Transitional //EN" "[link removed]
.w3.org/TR/xhtml1/DTD/xhtml1-transitional.dtd">
<html xmlns=3D"[link removed]" xmlns:v=3D"urn:schemas-microso=
ft-com:vml" xmlns:o=3D"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office">

<head>
=09
=09<meta http-equiv=3D"Content-Type" content=3D"text/html; charset=3Dutf-8"=
>
=09<meta name=3D"viewport" content=3D"width=3Ddevice-width">
=09
=09<meta http-equiv=3D"X-UA-Compatible" content=3D"IE=3Dedge">
=09
=09<title></title>
=09
=09
=09<style type=3D"text/css">
=09=09body {
=09=09=09margin: 0;
=09=09=09padding: 0;
=09=09}

=09=09table,
=09=09td,
=09=09tr {
=09=09=09vertical-align: top;
=09=09=09border-collapse: collapse;
=09=09}

=09=09* {
=09=09=09line-height: inherit;
=09=09}

=09=09a[x-apple-data-detectors=3Dtrue] {
=09=09=09color: inherit !important;
=09=09=09text-decoration: none !important;
=09=09}
=09</style>
=09<style type=3D"text/css" id=3D"media-query">
=09=09@media (max-width: 620px) {

=09=09=09.block-grid,
=09=09=09.col {
=09=09=09=09min-width: 320px !important;
=09=09=09=09max-width: 100% !important;
=09=09=09=09display: block !important;
=09=09=09}

=09=09=09.block-grid {
=09=09=09=09width: 100% !important;
=09=09=09}

=09=09=09.col {
=09=09=09=09width: 100% !important;
=09=09=09}

=09=09=09.col_cont {
=09=09=09=09margin: 0 auto;
=09=09=09}

=09=09=09img.fullwidth,
=09=09=09img.fullwidthOnMobile {
=09=09=09=09max-width: 100% !important;
=09=09=09}

=09=09=09.no-stack .col {
=09=09=09=09min-width: 0 !important;
=09=09=09=09display: table-cell !important;
=09=09=09}

=09=09=09.no-stack.two-up .col {
=09=09=09=09width: 50% !important;
=09=09=09}

=09=09=09.no-stack .col.num2 {
=09=09=09=09width: 16.6% !important;
=09=09=09}

=09=09=09.no-stack .col.num3 {
=09=09=09=09width: 25% !important;
=09=09=09}

=09=09=09.no-stack .col.num4 {
=09=09=09=09width: 33% !important;
=09=09=09}

=09=09=09.no-stack .col.num5 {
=09=09=09=09width: 41.6% !important;
=09=09=09}

=09=09=09.no-stack .col.num6 {
=09=09=09=09width: 50% !important;
=09=09=09}

=09=09=09.no-stack .col.num7 {
=09=09=09=09width: 58.3% !important;
=09=09=09}

=09=09=09.no-stack .col.num8 {
=09=09=09=09width: 66.6% !important;
=09=09=09}

=09=09=09.no-stack .col.num9 {
=09=09=09=09width: 75% !important;
=09=09=09}

=09=09=09.no-stack .col.num10 {
=09=09=09=09width: 83.3% !important;
=09=09=09}

=09=09=09.video-block {
=09=09=09=09max-width: none !important;
=09=09=09}

=09=09=09.mobile_hide {
=09=09=09=09min-height: 0px;
=09=09=09=09max-height: 0px;
=09=09=09=09max-width: 0px;
=09=09=09=09display: none;
=09=09=09=09overflow: hidden;
=09=09=09=09font-size: 0px;
=09=09=09}

=09=09=09.desktop_hide {
=09=09=09=09display: block !important;
=09=09=09=09max-height: none !important;
=09=09=09}
=09=09}
=09</style>
</head>

<body class=3D"clean-body" style=3D"margin: 0; padding: 0; -webkit-text-siz=
e-adjust: 100%; background-color: #f7f7f7;">
=09
=09<table class=3D"nl-container" style=3D"table-layout: fixed; vertical-ali=
gn: top; min-width: 320px; border-spacing: 0; border-collapse: collapse; ms=
o-table-lspace: 0pt; mso-table-rspace: 0pt; background-color: #f7f7f7; widt=
h: 100%;" cellpadding=3D"0" cellspacing=3D"0" role=3D"presentation" width=
=3D"100%" bgcolor=3D"#f7f7f7" valign=3D"top">
=09=09<tbody>
=09=09=09<tr style=3D"vertical-align: top;" valign=3D"top">
=09=09=09=09<td style=3D"word-break: break-word; vertical-align: top;" vali=
gn=3D"top">
=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"background-color:transparent;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09<div class=3D"block-grid " style=3D"min-width: 320px; max=
-width: 600px; overflow-wrap: break-word; word-wrap: break-word; word-break=
: break-word; Margin: 0 auto; background-color: #FFFFFF;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"border-collapse: collapse;display: table=
;width: 100%;background-color:#FFFFFF;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div class=3D"col num12" style=3D"min-width: 320px;=
max-width: 600px; display: table-cell; vertical-align: top; width: 600px;"=
>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div class=3D"col_cont" style=3D"width:100% !imp=
ortant;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"border-top:0px solid transparen=
t; border-left:0px solid transparent; border-bottom:0px solid transparent; =
border-right:0px solid transparent; padding-top:15px; padding-bottom:15px; =
padding-right: 15px; padding-left: 15px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div class=3D"img-container center fixedwi=
dth fullwidthOnMobile" align=3D"center" style=3D"padding-right: 15px;paddin=
g-left: 15px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"font-size:1px;line-height=
:15px"> </div><img class=3D"center fixedwidth fullwidthOnMobile" align=
=3D"center" border=3D"0" src=3D"[link removed]
c/users/Integrators/BeeProAgency/156816_132946/The%20vote%20logo%20FINAL.pn=
g" alt=3D"The Vote" title=3D"The Vote" style=3D"text-decoration: none; -ms-=
interpolation-mode: bicubic; height: auto; border: 0; width: 100%; max-widt=
h: 399px; display: block;" width=3D"399">

=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"font-size:1px;line-height=
:15px"> </div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"color:#555555;font-family:Ar=
ial, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif;line-height:1.2;padding-top:10px=
;padding-right:10px;padding-bottom:10px;padding-left:10px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"line-height: 1.2; font-si=
ze: 12px; color: #555555; font-family: Arial, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sa=
ns-serif; mso-line-height-alt: 14px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; mso-line-height-alt: 14px; margin: 0;">  </p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"background-color:transparent;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09<div class=3D"block-grid " style=3D"min-width: 320px; max=
-width: 600px; overflow-wrap: break-word; word-wrap: break-word; word-break=
: break-word; Margin: 0 auto; background-color: #FFFFFF;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"border-collapse: collapse;display: table=
;width: 100%;background-color:#FFFFFF;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div class=3D"col num12" style=3D"min-width: 320px;=
max-width: 600px; display: table-cell; vertical-align: top; width: 600px;"=
>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div class=3D"col_cont" style=3D"width:100% !imp=
ortant;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"border-top:0px solid transparen=
t; border-left:0px solid transparent; border-bottom:0px solid transparent; =
border-right:0px solid transparent; padding-top:5px; padding-bottom:5px; pa=
dding-right: 0px; padding-left: 0px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"color:#555555;font-family:Ar=
ial, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif;line-height:1.2;padding-top:10px=
;padding-right:10px;padding-bottom:10px;padding-left:10px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"font-size: 14px; line-hei=
ght: 1.2; color: #555555; font-family: Arial, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sa=
ns-serif; mso-line-height-alt: 17px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"font-size: 14px; line-he=
ight: 1.2; word-break: break-word; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><=
span style=3D"color: #00ccff;"><span style=3D"font-size: 20px;"><strong>Wit=
h 6 days to Election Day 2020, here's the news that you'll want to know:</s=
trong></span></span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"color:#555555;font-family:Ar=
ial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-serif;line-height:1.2;padding-top:10=
px;padding-right:10px;padding-bottom:10px;padding-left:10px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"line-height: 1.2; font-si=
ze: 12px; color: #555555; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, =
sans-serif; mso-line-height-alt: 14px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><=
span style=3D"font-size: 14px;"><span style>(1) <a style=3D"text-decoration=
: underline; color: #0068A5;" href=3D"[link removed]
kyNjA2OTc%3AMDItYjIwMzAyLWU1ODdiZDk1ZThiMTRjZmVhMTBkOGZkMzgzNWU3ZWEw%3AYmln=
amFja2J1bHdhcmtAZ21haWwuY29t%3AOTA2MjgxNzM3%3AZmFsc2U%3AMA%3A%3AaHR0cHM6Ly9=
3d3cudGhlaGlsbC5jb20vb3Bpbmlvbi9jYW1wYWlnbi81MjI5NTctZG9udC1iZWxpZXZlLXRoZS=
1wb2xscy10cnVtcC1pcy13aW5uaW5nLWJpZ2x5&K=3DrOoEZUSi8_mJNP5oHTLIMg" target=
=3D"_blank" rel=3D"noopener">"Don't believe the polls =E2=80=94 Trump is wi=
nning"</a></span></span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; mso-line-height-alt: 14px; margin: 0;"> </p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><=
span style=3D"font-size: 14px;">(2) <a style=3D"text-decoration: underline;=
color: #0068A5;" href=3D"[link removed]
MDItYjIwMzAyLWU1ODdiZDk1ZThiMTRjZmVhMTBkOGZkMzgzNWU3ZWEw%3AYmlnamFja2J1bHdh=
cmtAZ21haWwuY29t%3AOTA2MjgxNzM3%3AZmFsc2U%3AMQ%3A%3AaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cucG9saXR=
pY28uY29tL25ld3MvMjAyMC8xMC8yOC9hb2MtZG9udC1rbm93LWhvdXNlLWZvcmV2ZXItNDMzMj=
E1&K=3DCy8AMVc5eFQbh_4FGyWY-g" target=3D"_blank" rel=3D"noopener">AOC: "I d=
on't know if I'm really going to be staying in the House forever"</a></span=
></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; mso-line-height-alt: 14px; margin: 0;"> </p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><=
span style=3D"font-size: 14px;">(3) <a style=3D"text-decoration: underline;=
color: #0068A5;" href=3D"[link removed]
MDItYjIwMzAyLWU1ODdiZDk1ZThiMTRjZmVhMTBkOGZkMzgzNWU3ZWEw%3AYmlnamFja2J1bHdh=
cmtAZ21haWwuY29t%3AOTA2MjgxNzM3%3AZmFsc2U%3AMg%3A%3AaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuY25iYy5=
jb20vMjAyMC8xMC8yNy8yMDIwLWVsZWN0aW9ucy1uZWFybHktNjctbWlsbGlvbi12b3Rlcy1jYX=
N0LWluLXRydW1wLWJpZGVuLXJhY2UtLmh0bWw&K=3DkKL4nQGlAoQ3X_g1VQZLBg" target=3D=
"_blank" rel=3D"noopener">more than 69 million votes cast already -- which =
is more than half of <em>all</em> votes cast in 2016</a></span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"background-color:transparent;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09<div class=3D"block-grid " style=3D"min-width: 320px; max=
-width: 600px; overflow-wrap: break-word; word-wrap: break-word; word-break=
: break-word; Margin: 0 auto; background-color: #FFFFFF;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"border-collapse: collapse;display: table=
;width: 100%;background-color:#FFFFFF;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div class=3D"col num12" style=3D"min-width: 320px;=
max-width: 600px; display: table-cell; vertical-align: top; width: 600px;"=
>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div class=3D"col_cont" style=3D"width:100% !imp=
ortant;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"border-top:0px solid transparen=
t; border-left:0px solid transparent; border-bottom:0px solid transparent; =
border-right:0px solid transparent; padding-top:5px; padding-bottom:5px; pa=
dding-right: 0px; padding-left: 0px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<table class=3D"divider" border=3D"0" cell=
padding=3D"0" cellspacing=3D"0" width=3D"100%" style=3D"table-layout: fixed=
; vertical-align: top; border-spacing: 0; border-collapse: collapse; mso-ta=
ble-lspace: 0pt; mso-table-rspace: 0pt; min-width: 100%; -ms-text-size-adju=
st: 100%; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;" role=3D"presentation" valign=3D"=
top">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<tbody>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<tr style=3D"vertical-align: top;" v=
align=3D"top">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<td class=3D"divider_inner" style=
=3D"word-break: break-word; vertical-align: top; min-width: 100%; -ms-text-=
size-adjust: 100%; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%; padding-top: 10px; paddi=
ng-right: 10px; padding-bottom: 10px; padding-left: 10px;" valign=3D"top">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<table class=3D"divider_conten=
t" border=3D"0" cellpadding=3D"0" cellspacing=3D"0" width=3D"100%" style=3D=
"table-layout: fixed; vertical-align: top; border-spacing: 0; border-collap=
se: collapse; mso-table-lspace: 0pt; mso-table-rspace: 0pt; border-top: 1px=
solid #BBBBBB; width: 100%;" align=3D"center" role=3D"presentation" valign=
=3D"top">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<tbody>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<tr style=3D"vertical-al=
ign: top;" valign=3D"top">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<td style=3D"word-bre=
ak: break-word; vertical-align: top; -ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; -webkit-te=
xt-size-adjust: 100%;" valign=3D"top"><span></span></td>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</tr>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</tbody>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</table>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</td>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</tr>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</tbody>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</table>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"color:#555555;font-family:Ar=
ial, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif;line-height:1.2;padding-top:10px=
;padding-right:10px;padding-bottom:10px;padding-left:10px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"font-size: 14px; line-hei=
ght: 1.2; color: #555555; font-family: Arial, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sa=
ns-serif; mso-line-height-alt: 17px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"font-size: 14px; line-he=
ight: 1.2; word-break: break-word; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><=
span style=3D"color: #00ccff;"><span style=3D"font-size: 20px;"><strong>Two=
writers analyze the polls; bottom line: "Don't believe the polls -- Trump =
is winning."</strong></span></span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"color:#555555;font-family:Ge=
orgia, Times, 'Times New Roman', serif;line-height:1.2;padding-top:10px;pad=
ding-right:25px;padding-bottom:10px;padding-left:25px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"font-size: 14px; line-hei=
ght: 1.2; font-family: Georgia, Times, 'Times New Roman', serif; color: #55=
5555; mso-line-height-alt: 17px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Georgia, Times, 'Times New Roman', serif; ms=
o-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><em><span style=3D"background-color: #=
ffffff;">"</span><span style=3D"background-color: #ffff99;"><strong>We pred=
ict that President Trump is going to win the 2020 presidential election =E2=
=80=94 and win big</strong></span>. While the majority of the polls suggest=
that Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden is leading, or at best that=
it=E2=80=99s close, those polls suffer from at least three problems."</em>=
<em> (Jonathan Jakubowski & Christos A. Makridis in <a style=3D"text-decora=
tion: underline; color: #0068A5;" href=3D"[link removed]
=3DOTkyNjA2OTc%3AMDItYjIwMzAyLWU1ODdiZDk1ZThiMTRjZmVhMTBkOGZkMzgzNWU3ZWEw%3=
AYmlnamFja2J1bHdhcmtAZ21haWwuY29t%3AOTA2MjgxNzM3%3AZmFsc2U%3AMw%3A%3AaHR0cH=
M6Ly93d3cudGhlaGlsbC5jb20vb3Bpbmlvbi9jYW1wYWlnbi81MjI5NTctZG9udC1iZWxpZXZlL=
XRoZS1wb2xscy10cnVtcC1pcy13aW5uaW5nLWJpZ2x5&K=3DPMyd3Rr2WK1COd0FmNuBQA" tar=
get=3D"_blank" rel=3D"noopener">The Hill</a>)</em></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<a href=3D"[link removed]
e.online/c/6/?T=3DOTkyNjA2OTc%3AMDItYjIwMzAyLWU1ODdiZDk1ZThiMTRjZmVhMTBkOGZ=
kMzgzNWU3ZWEw%3AYmlnamFja2J1bHdhcmtAZ21haWwuY29t%3AOTA2MjgxNzM3%3AZmFsc2U%3=
ANA%3A%3AaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cudGhlaGlsbC5jb20vb3Bpbmlvbi9jYW1wYWlnbi81MjI5NTctZG=
9udC1iZWxpZXZlLXRoZS1wb2xscy10cnVtcC1pcy13aW5uaW5nLWJpZ2x5&K=3DKyzV1cTfreYC=
GRvLgjqPsw" target=3D"_blank" style=3D"-webkit-text-size-adjust: none; text=
-decoration: none; display: inline-block; color: #ffffff; background-color:=
#3AAEE0; border-radius: 4px; -webkit-border-radius: 4px; -moz-border-radiu=
s: 4px; width: auto; width: auto; border-top: 1px solid #3AAEE0; border-rig=
ht: 1px solid #3AAEE0; border-bottom: 1px solid #3AAEE0; border-left: 1px s=
olid #3AAEE0; padding-top: 5px; padding-bottom: 5px; font-family: Arial, He=
lvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif; text-align: center; mso-border-alt: no=
ne; word-break: keep-all;"><span style=3D"padding-left:20px;padding-right:2=
0px;font-size:16px;display:inline-block;"><span style=3D"font-size: 16px; l=
ine-height: 2; word-break: break-word; mso-line-height-alt: 32px;">Read the=
full story on <em>The Hill</em></span></span></a>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"color:#393d47;font-family:Ar=
ial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-serif;line-height:1.2;padding-top:10=
px;padding-right:10px;padding-bottom:10px;padding-left:10px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"line-height: 1.2; font-si=
ze: 12px; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-serif; colo=
r: #393d47; mso-line-height-alt: 14px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-ser=
if; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><span style=3D"=
font-size: 14px;"><span style>=E2=80=A2 <em><strong>What's happening</stron=
g></em>: </span></span><span style=3D"font-size: 14px;"><span style><a styl=
e=3D"text-decoration: underline; color: #8a3b8f;" href=3D"[link removed]
e.online/c/6/?T=3DOTkyNjA2OTc%3AMDItYjIwMzAyLWU1ODdiZDk1ZThiMTRjZmVhMTBkOGZ=
kMzgzNWU3ZWEw%3AYmlnamFja2J1bHdhcmtAZ21haWwuY29t%3AOTA2MjgxNzM3%3AZmFsc2U%3=
ANQ%3A%3AaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cudGhlaGlsbC5jb20vb3Bpbmlvbi9jYW1wYWlnbi81MjI5NTctZG=
9udC1iZWxpZXZlLXRoZS1wb2xscy10cnVtcC1pcy13aW5uaW5nLWJpZ2x5&K=3DoRciVz2HtUrw=
tqcw5mOIAg" target=3D"_blank" rel=3D"noopener">In a new piece out today on =
<em>The Hill</em>, two writers make the case that President Trump is likely=
to win</a>. They argue that the current polls showing a Biden lead don't a=
ccount for:</span></span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-ser=
if; mso-line-height-alt: 14px; margin: 0;"> </p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-ser=
if; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><span style=3D"=
font-size: 14px;"><span style>-- <strong>"shy" Trump voters </strong>(thoug=
h they don't call it that): due to "cancel culture" and the left's anti-Tru=
mp intensity, people don't want to say they're voting for President Trump</=
span></span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-ser=
if; mso-line-height-alt: 14px; margin: 0;"> </p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-ser=
if; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><span style=3D"=
font-size: 14px;"><span style>-- <strong>small sample sizes</strong> and un=
der-sampling Trump supporters</span></span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-ser=
if; mso-line-height-alt: 14px; margin: 0;"> </p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-ser=
if; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><span style=3D"=
font-size: 14px;"><span style>-- <strong>underlying realities</strong>: as =
they note, 56% of people in a recent Gallup poll say they're "better off th=
an they were four years ago, which is striking given that we are in the mid=
st of a pandemic with a recovering labor market and deepening political pol=
arization"</span></span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-ser=
if; mso-line-height-alt: 14px; margin: 0;"> </p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-ser=
if; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><span style=3D"=
font-size: 14px;"><span style>=E2=80=A2 <em><strong>What's at stake</strong=
></em>: First, political pundits and media figures seem less eager to "call=
" the election for either candidate as memories of how wrong they got it in=
2016 still loom large.</span></span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-ser=
if; mso-line-height-alt: 14px; margin: 0;"> </p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-ser=
if; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><span style=3D"=
font-size: 14px;"><span style>Remember: at this time last year, the media w=
as reporting that Hillary Clinton was all but certain to win the presidency=
. <a style=3D"text-decoration: underline; color: #8a3b8f;" href=3D"[link removed]
rk.thevote.online/c/6/?T=3DOTkyNjA2OTc%3AMDItYjIwMzAyLWU1ODdiZDk1ZThiMTRjZm=
VhMTBkOGZkMzgzNWU3ZWEw%3AYmlnamFja2J1bHdhcmtAZ21haWwuY29t%3AOTA2MjgxNzM3%3A=
ZmFsc2U%3ANg%3A%3AaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAxNi91c=
HNob3QvcHJlc2lkZW50aWFsLXBvbGxzLWZvcmVjYXN0Lmh0bWw&K=3DXSefJaQxzuA2DpWu61vy=
_A" target=3D"_blank" rel=3D"noopener">The <em>New York Times</em> gave her=
an 85% chance to win</a>. The day before the 2016 election, <a style=3D"te=
xt-decoration: underline; color: #8a3b8f;" href=3D"[link removed]
e/c/6/?T=3DOTkyNjA2OTc%3AMDItYjIwMzAyLWU1ODdiZDk1ZThiMTRjZmVhMTBkOGZkMzgzNW=
U3ZWEw%3AYmlnamFja2J1bHdhcmtAZ21haWwuY29t%3AOTA2MjgxNzM3%3AZmFsc2U%3ANw%3A%=
3AaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cucmV1dGVycy5jb20vYXJ0aWNsZS91cy11c2EtZWxlY3Rpb24tcG9sbC9jb=
GludG9uLWhhcy05MC1wZXJjZW50LWNoYW5jZS1vZi13aW5uaW5nLXJldXRlcnMtaXBzb3Mtc3Rh=
dGVzLW9mLXRoZS1uYXRpb24taWRVU0tCTjEzMjJKMQ&K=3DBF3pFPPVGKR-29fYVawidg" targ=
et=3D"_blank" rel=3D"noopener">Reuters reported it was actually a 90% chanc=
e of victory</a>.</span></span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-ser=
if; mso-line-height-alt: 14px; margin: 0;"> </p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-ser=
if; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><span style=3D"=
font-size: 14px;"><span style>And we know how 2016 turned out.</span></span=
></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-ser=
if; mso-line-height-alt: 14px; margin: 0;"> </p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-ser=
if; mso-line-height-alt: 14px; margin: 0;"><strong><span style=3D"font-size=
: 14px;"><span style>So arguments that the polls have it wrong (again!) cou=
ld certainly be right.</span></span></strong></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-ser=
if; mso-line-height-alt: 14px; margin: 0;"> </p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-ser=
if; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><span style=3D"=
font-size: 14px;"><span style>Second, although this isn't the main focus of=
 <em>The Hill</em> piece, we'd re-emphasize that although <strong>nati=
onal polls show Biden with a lead over President Trump, that same momentum =
doesn't flow down to battleground states</strong>.</span></span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-ser=
if; mso-line-height-alt: 14px; margin: 0;"> </p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-ser=
if; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><span style=3D"=
font-size: 14px;"><a style=3D"text-decoration: underline; color: #8a3b8f;" =
href=3D"[link removed]
diZDk1ZThiMTRjZmVhMTBkOGZkMzgzNWU3ZWEw%3AYmlnamFja2J1bHdhcmtAZ21haWwuY29t%3=
AOTA2MjgxNzM3%3AZmFsc2U%3AOA%3A%3AaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZGFpbHljYWxsZXIuY29tLzIwM=
jAvMTAvMjEvZG9uYWxkLXRydW1wLWpvZS1iaWRlbi1lbGVjdGlvbi1wb2xscy1mbG9yaWRhLXBl=
bm5zeWx2YW5pYS8&K=3D6BNFSdK18gONbVfdo_AJdg" target=3D"_blank" rel=3D"noopen=
er">Biden's polling lead in Florida and Pennsylvania was "effectively halve=
d" in mid-October</a>, and we think those will be critical states in the 20=
20 election.</span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-ser=
if; mso-line-height-alt: 14px; margin: 0;"> </p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-ser=
if; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><span style=3D"=
font-size: 14px;">Plus, all fall, <a style=3D"text-decoration: underline; c=
olor: #8a3b8f;" href=3D"[link removed]
ItYjIwMzAyLWU1ODdiZDk1ZThiMTRjZmVhMTBkOGZkMzgzNWU3ZWEw%3AYmlnamFja2J1bHdhcm=
tAZ21haWwuY29t%3AOTA2MjgxNzM3%3AZmFsc2U%3AOQ%3A%3AaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuY25iYy5jb=
20vMjAyMC8wOS8wOS9qb2UtYmlkZW4tc3RydWdnbGluZy13aXRoLWxhdGluby12b3RlcnMtaW4t=
a2V5LXN0YXRlLWZsb3JpZGEtcG9sbHMtc2hvdy5odG1s&K=3DYyx8J0dSId4p-lQ7c3jWIw" ta=
rget=3D"_blank" rel=3D"noopener">Biden has faced news stories about how he'=
s "struggling" in Florida</a>. Erstwhile Democratic presidential candidate =
<a style=3D"text-decoration: underline; color: #8a3b8f;" href=3D"[link removed]
.thevote.online/c/6/?T=3DOTkyNjA2OTc%3AMDItYjIwMzAyLWU1ODdiZDk1ZThiMTRjZmVh=
MTBkOGZkMzgzNWU3ZWEw%3AYmlnamFja2J1bHdhcmtAZ21haWwuY29t%3AOTA2MjgxNzM3%3AZm=
Fsc2U%3AMTA%3A%3AaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cudGFtcGFiYXkuY29tL25ld3MvZmxvcmlkYS1wb2xpdG=
ljcy9lbGVjdGlvbnMvMjAyMC8wOS8yOS9ibG9vbWJlcmctcHV0cy0xMDAtbWlsbGlvbi1pbi1mb=
G9yaWRhLXRvLXdvcmstd2l0aC1maXJzdC1wcm8tYmlkZW4tYWQv&K=3DjLoGsmkTZAsq8HbsVfX=
dpw" target=3D"_blank" rel=3D"noopener">Michael Bloomberg is now reportedly=
$100 million in the state in support of Biden</a>. That's not actually a s=
ign of confidence.</span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"color:#555555;font-family:Ar=
ial, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif;line-height:1.2;padding-top:10px=
;padding-right:10px;padding-bottom:10px;padding-left:10px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"font-size: 14px; line-hei=
ght: 1.2; color: #555555; font-family: Arial, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sa=
ns-serif; mso-line-height-alt: 17px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"font-size: 14px; line-he=
ight: 1.2; word-break: break-word; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><=
span style=3D"color: #00ccff;"><span style=3D"font-size: 20px;"><strong>AOC=
: "I don't know if I'm really going to be staying in the House forever."</s=
trong></span></span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"color:#555555;font-family:Ge=
orgia, Times, 'Times New Roman', serif;line-height:1.2;padding-top:10px;pad=
ding-right:25px;padding-bottom:10px;padding-left:25px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"font-size: 14px; line-hei=
ght: 1.2; font-family: Georgia, Times, 'Times New Roman', serif; color: #55=
5555; mso-line-height-alt: 17px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Georgia, Times, 'Times New Roman', serif; ms=
o-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><em>"'<span style=3D"background-color:=
#ffff99;"><strong>I don=E2=80=99t know if I=E2=80=99m really going to be s=
taying in the House forever, or if I do stay in the House, what that would =
look lik</strong></span>e,' Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) told Vanity Fair in an i=
nterview for the magazine=E2=80=99s December cover story. =E2=80=9CI don=E2=
=80=99t see myself really staying where I=E2=80=99m at for the rest of my l=
ife.'<span style=3D"background-color: #ffffff;">" (<a style=3D"text-decorat=
ion: underline; color: #0068A5;" href=3D"[link removed]
=3DOTkyNjA2OTc%3AMDItYjIwMzAyLWU1ODdiZDk1ZThiMTRjZmVhMTBkOGZkMzgzNWU3ZWEw%3=
AYmlnamFja2J1bHdhcmtAZ21haWwuY29t%3AOTA2MjgxNzM3%3AZmFsc2U%3AMTI%3A%3AaHR0c=
HM6Ly93d3cucG9saXRpY28uY29tL25ld3MvMjAyMC8xMC8yOC9hb2MtZG9udC1rbm93LWhvdXNl=
LWZvcmV2ZXItNDMzMjE1&K=3D8oxmrtyLnbA-fdgUa-tazw" target=3D"_blank" rel=3D"n=
oopener">POLITICO</a>)</span></em></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<a href=3D"[link removed]
OTkyNjA2OTc%3AMDItYjIwMzAyLWU1ODdiZDk1ZThiMTRjZmVhMTBkOGZkMzgzNWU3ZWEw%3AYm=
lnamFja2J1bHdhcmtAZ21haWwuY29t%3AOTA2MjgxNzM3%3AZmFsc2U%3AMTM%3A%3AaHR0cHM6=
Ly93d3cucG9saXRpY28uY29tL25ld3MvMjAyMC8xMC8yOC9hb2MtZG9udC1rbm93LWhvdXNlLWZ=
vcmV2ZXItNDMzMjE1&K=3DpxUcF0vgFEJepMWZ37WTLw" target=3D"_blank" style=3D"-w=
ebkit-text-size-adjust: none; text-decoration: none; display: inline-block;=
color: #ffffff; background-color: #3AAEE0; border-radius: 4px; -webkit-bor=
der-radius: 4px; -moz-border-radius: 4px; width: auto; width: auto; border-=
top: 1px solid #3AAEE0; border-right: 1px solid #3AAEE0; border-bottom: 1px=
solid #3AAEE0; border-left: 1px solid #3AAEE0; padding-top: 5px; padding-b=
ottom: 5px; font-family: Arial, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif; text=
-align: center; mso-border-alt: none; word-break: keep-all;"><span style=3D=
"padding-left:20px;padding-right:20px;font-size:16px;display:inline-block;"=
><span style=3D"font-size: 16px; line-height: 2; word-break: break-word; ms=
o-line-height-alt: 32px;">Read the full story on POLITICO</span></span></a>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"color:#555555;font-family:Ar=
ial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-serif;line-height:1.2;padding-top:10=
px;padding-right:10px;padding-bottom:10px;padding-left:10px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"line-height: 1.2; font-si=
ze: 12px; color: #555555; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, =
sans-serif; mso-line-height-alt: 14px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><=
span style=3D"font-size: 14px;"><span style><span style><span style><span s=
tyle><strong><em>=E2=80=A2 What's happening</em>: </strong></span></sp=
an></span></span></span><span style=3D"font-size: 14px;"><span style><span =
style><span style><span style>In a new magazine feature piece, Rep. Alexand=
ria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) seemed to already be thinking about what's beyond h=
er U.S. House seat -- which she's win for a second term -- saying: </span><=
/span></span></span></span><span style=3D"font-size: 14px;"><span style><sp=
an style><span style><span style>"I don=E2=80=99t know if I=E2=80=99m reall=
y going to be staying in the House forever, or if I do stay in the House, w=
hat that would look like. I don=E2=80=99t see myself really staying where I=
=E2=80=99m at for the rest of my life."</span></span></span></span></span><=
/p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; mso-line-height-alt: 14px; margin: 0;"> </p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><=
span style=3D"font-size: 14px;"><span style>=E2=80=A2 <em><strong>What's at=
stake</strong></em>: First, in the long term, <a style=3D"text-decoration:=
underline; color: #0068A5;" href=3D"[link removed]
yNjA2OTc%3AMDItYjIwMzAyLWU1ODdiZDk1ZThiMTRjZmVhMTBkOGZkMzgzNWU3ZWEw%3AYmlna=
mFja2J1bHdhcmtAZ21haWwuY29t%3AOTA2MjgxNzM3%3AZmFsc2U%3AMTQ%3A%3AaHR0cHM6Ly9=
3d3cucG9saXRpY28uY29tL25ld3MvMjAyMC8xMC8yOC9hb2MtZG9udC1rbm93LWhvdXNlLWZvcm=
V2ZXItNDMzMjE1&K=3DzwhJAHD4DMHr5_yCdgYyJQ" target=3D"_blank" rel=3D"noopene=
r">as POLITICO noted</a>, that may indicate a variety of political paths ah=
ead of her:</span></span><span style=3D"font-size: 14px;"></span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; mso-line-height-alt: 14px; margin: 0;"> </p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><=
span style=3D"font-size: 14px;"><span style>-- a primary challenge for one =
of New York's Senate seats (Sen. Schumer is up for re-election in 2022)</sp=
an></span><span style=3D"font-size: 14px;"></span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; mso-line-height-alt: 14px; margin: 0;"> </p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><=
span style=3D"font-size: 14px;"><span style>-- a position in a Biden Admini=
stration, if he wins next week</span></span><span style=3D"font-size: 14px;=
"></span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; mso-line-height-alt: 14px; margin: 0;"> </p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><=
span style=3D"font-size: 14px;"><span style>-- a presidential run as she's =
"one of the likeliest inheritors of Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders=E2=80=99 pr=
ogressive coalition"</span></span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; mso-line-height-alt: 14px; margin: 0;"> </p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><=
span style=3D"font-size: 14px;"><span style>Second, in the short term, Rep.=
Ilhan Omar -- one of the "Squad" members along with AOC -- has indicated t=
hey'll be expecting the House to move far left if Biden becomes president.<=
/span></span><span style=3D"font-size: 14px;"></span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; mso-line-height-alt: 14px; margin: 0;"> </p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><=
span style=3D"font-size: 14px;"><span style><a style=3D"text-decoration: un=
derline; color: #0068A5;" href=3D"[link removed]
A2OTc%3AMDItYjIwMzAyLWU1ODdiZDk1ZThiMTRjZmVhMTBkOGZkMzgzNWU3ZWEw%3AYmlnamFj=
a2J1bHdhcmtAZ21haWwuY29t%3AOTA2MjgxNzM3%3AZmFsc2U%3AMTU%3A%3AaHR0cHM6Ly93d3=
cuYXhpb3MuY29tL2lsaGFuLW9tYXItam9lLWJpZGVuLWF4aW9zLW9uLWhiby0xMTA3MWRiOS1lY=
zFmLTQ4ZWUtYTRiMC03Zjc2YWE4ZjFlMzUuaHRtbA&K=3Dg3j5zWcTiPDK1nwDgWv7KA" targe=
t=3D"_blank" rel=3D"noopener">As Axios reported</a>: "Proposals like Medica=
re for All, the Green New Deal, enacting a $15 minimum wage (which Biden su=
pports), and banning fracking are all top priorities for 'The Squad' if Bid=
en wins."</span></span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"color:#555555;font-family:Ar=
ial, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif;line-height:1.2;padding-top:10px=
;padding-right:10px;padding-bottom:10px;padding-left:10px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"font-size: 14px; line-hei=
ght: 1.2; color: #555555; font-family: Arial, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sa=
ns-serif; mso-line-height-alt: 17px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"font-size: 14px; line-he=
ight: 1.2; word-break: break-word; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><=
span style=3D"color: #00ccff;"><span style=3D"font-size: 20px;"><strong>Mor=
e than 69 million votes cast already -- which is more than half of all vote=
s cast in 2016 election.</strong></span></span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"color:#555555;font-family:Ge=
orgia, Times, 'Times New Roman', serif;line-height:1.2;padding-top:10px;pad=
ding-right:25px;padding-bottom:10px;padding-left:25px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"font-size: 14px; line-hei=
ght: 1.2; font-family: Georgia, Times, 'Times New Roman', serif; color: #55=
5555; mso-line-height-alt: 17px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-family: Georgia, Times, 'Times New Roman', serif; ms=
o-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><em><span style=3D"background-color: #=
ffffff;">"</span><span style=3D"background-color: #ffff99;"><strong>More th=
an 69 million Americans have voted in the 2020 presidential election&n=
bsp;with one week to go until Election Day</strong></span>, according to U.=
S. Elections Project data released Tuesday afternoon. [...] Early voting in=
2020 has now surpassed the 58 million mail-in or in-person early votes cas=
t in 2016, based on Associated Press totals, and reached over 50% of the mo=
re than 136 million total ballots cast in the 2016 presidential election."<=
span style=3D"background-color: #ffffff;"> (<a style=3D"text-decoratio=
n: underline; color: #0068A5;" href=3D"[link removed]
TkyNjA2OTc%3AMDItYjIwMzAyLWU1ODdiZDk1ZThiMTRjZmVhMTBkOGZkMzgzNWU3ZWEw%3AYml=
namFja2J1bHdhcmtAZ21haWwuY29t%3AOTA2MjgxNzM3%3AZmFsc2U%3AMTc%3A%3AaHR0cHM6L=
y93d3cuY25iYy5jb20vMjAyMC8xMC8yNy8yMDIwLWVsZWN0aW9ucy1uZWFybHktNjctbWlsbGlv=
bi12b3Rlcy1jYXN0LWluLXRydW1wLWJpZGVuLXJhY2UtLmh0bWw&K=3DukoFKA1xp-2ev1nWjXi=
08w" target=3D"_blank" rel=3D"noopener">CNBC</a>)</span></em></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<a href=3D"[link removed]
hevote.online/c/6/?T=3DOTkyNjA2OTc%3AMDItYjIwMzAyLWU1ODdiZDk1ZThiMTRjZmVhMT=
BkOGZkMzgzNWU3ZWEw%3AYmlnamFja2J1bHdhcmtAZ21haWwuY29t%3AOTA2MjgxNzM3%3AZmFs=
c2U%3AMTg%3A%3AaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuY25iYy5jb20vMjAyMC8xMC8yNy8yMDIwLWVsZWN0aW9u=
cy1uZWFybHktNjctbWlsbGlvbi12b3Rlcy1jYXN0LWluLXRydW1wLWJpZGVuLXJhY2UtLmh0bWw=
&K=3DIlP3deu8q3pdpHTSKdA7pw" target=3D"_blank" style=3D"-webkit-text-size-a=
djust: none; text-decoration: none; display: inline-block; color: #ffffff; =
background-color: #3AAEE0; border-radius: 4px; -webkit-border-radius: 4px; =
-moz-border-radius: 4px; width: auto; width: auto; border-top: 1px solid #3=
AAEE0; border-right: 1px solid #3AAEE0; border-bottom: 1px solid #3AAEE0; b=
order-left: 1px solid #3AAEE0; padding-top: 5px; padding-bottom: 5px; font-=
family: Arial, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif; text-align: center; m=
so-border-alt: none; word-break: keep-all;"><span style=3D"padding-left:20p=
x;padding-right:20px;font-size:16px;display:inline-block;"><span style=3D"f=
ont-size: 16px; line-height: 2; word-break: break-word; mso-line-height-alt=
: 32px;">Read the full story on CNBC</span></span></a>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"color:#555555;font-family:Ar=
ial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-serif;line-height:1.2;padding-top:10=
px;padding-right:10px;padding-bottom:10px;padding-left:10px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"line-height: 1.2; font-si=
ze: 12px; color: #555555; font-family: Arial, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, =
sans-serif; mso-line-height-alt: 14px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><=
span style=3D"font-size: 14px;"><span style><span style><span style><strong=
>=E2=80=A2 What's happening: </strong></span></span></span></span><span sty=
le=3D"font-size: 14px;"><span style><span style><span style>More than 69 mi=
llion votes have been cast in the 2020 presidential election already. That =
milestone is 10 million more than early votes cast in 2016 (no surprise), a=
nd more than 50% of <em>all</em> votes cast in 2016.</span></span></span></=
span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; mso-line-height-alt: 14px; margin: 0;"> </p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><=
span style=3D"font-size: 14px;"><span style>=E2=80=A2 <em><strong>What's at=
stake</strong></em>: </span></span><span style=3D"font-size: 14px;"><span =
style>First, this makes it less likely that a last-minute news story will c=
hange voters' minds ... because so many have voted already. (<a style=3D"te=
xt-decoration: underline; color: #0068A5;" href=3D"[link removed]
e/c/6/?T=3DOTkyNjA2OTc%3AMDItYjIwMzAyLWU1ODdiZDk1ZThiMTRjZmVhMTBkOGZkMzgzNW=
U3ZWEw%3AYmlnamFja2J1bHdhcmtAZ21haWwuY29t%3AOTA2MjgxNzM3%3AZmFsc2U%3AMTk%3A=
%3AaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZGFpbHl3aXJlLmNvbS9uZXdzL2Nhbi1pLWNoYW5nZS1teS12b3RlLXN1=
cmdlcy1vbi1nb29nbGUtcG9zdC1kZWJhdGUtaGVyZXMtd2hlcmUteW91LWNhbg&K=3DwbqO_14L=
gSmx0Tyzh8-VUQ" target=3D"_blank" rel=3D"noopener">Granted, the amount of G=
oogle searches for "can I change my vote" has reportedly seen a sharp incre=
ase.</a>)</span></span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; mso-line-height-alt: 14px; margin: 0;"> </p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><=
span style=3D"font-size: 14px;"><span style>Second, this may be good news f=
or how quickly the election results can be finalized.</span></span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; mso-line-height-alt: 14px; margin: 0;"> </p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"line-height: 1.2; word-b=
reak: break-word; font-size: 14px; mso-line-height-alt: 17px; margin: 0;"><=
span style=3D"font-size: 14px;"><span style>Americans have known that this =
year, it's highly unlike we'll find out who won on election night. But if t=
he amount of early voting is "spreading out the workload of election offici=
als" -- <a style=3D"text-decoration: underline; color: #0068A5;" href=3D"ht=
tp://trk.thevote.online/c/6/?T=3DOTkyNjA2OTc%3AMDItYjIwMzAyLWU1ODdiZDk1ZThi=
MTRjZmVhMTBkOGZkMzgzNWU3ZWEw%3AYmlnamFja2J1bHdhcmtAZ21haWwuY29t%3AOTA2MjgxN=
zM3%3AZmFsc2U%3AMjA%3A%3AaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuY25iYy5jb20vMjAyMC8xMC8yNy8yMDIwLW=
VsZWN0aW9ucy1uZWFybHktNjctbWlsbGlvbi12b3Rlcy1jYXN0LWluLXRydW1wLWJpZGVuLXJhY=
2UtLmh0bWw&K=3D8VLp0GweAn3pgZZOa4dBUQ" target=3D"_blank" rel=3D"noopener">a=
s one expert quoted by CNBC said it may be</a> -- then we may see a shorter=
delay than expected in receiving the final results from each state.</span>=
</span></p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"background-color:transparent;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09<div class=3D"block-grid " style=3D"min-width: 320px; max=
-width: 600px; overflow-wrap: break-word; word-wrap: break-word; word-break=
: break-word; Margin: 0 auto; background-color: #FFFFFF;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"border-collapse: collapse;display: table=
;width: 100%;background-color:#FFFFFF;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div class=3D"col num12" style=3D"min-width: 320px;=
max-width: 600px; display: table-cell; vertical-align: top; width: 600px;"=
>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div class=3D"col_cont" style=3D"width:100% !imp=
ortant;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"border-top:0px solid transparen=
t; border-left:0px solid transparent; border-bottom:0px solid transparent; =
border-right:0px solid transparent; padding-top:10px; padding-bottom:10px; =
padding-right: 10px; padding-left: 10px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<table class=3D"divider" border=3D"0" cell=
padding=3D"0" cellspacing=3D"0" width=3D"100%" style=3D"table-layout: fixed=
; vertical-align: top; border-spacing: 0; border-collapse: collapse; mso-ta=
ble-lspace: 0pt; mso-table-rspace: 0pt; min-width: 100%; -ms-text-size-adju=
st: 100%; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;" role=3D"presentation" valign=3D"=
top">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<tbody>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<tr style=3D"vertical-align: top;" v=
align=3D"top">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<td class=3D"divider_inner" style=
=3D"word-break: break-word; vertical-align: top; min-width: 100%; -ms-text-=
size-adjust: 100%; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%; padding-top: 10px; paddi=
ng-right: 10px; padding-bottom: 10px; padding-left: 10px;" valign=3D"top">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<table class=3D"divider_conten=
t" border=3D"0" cellpadding=3D"0" cellspacing=3D"0" width=3D"100%" style=3D=
"table-layout: fixed; vertical-align: top; border-spacing: 0; border-collap=
se: collapse; mso-table-lspace: 0pt; mso-table-rspace: 0pt; border-top: 1px=
solid #BBBBBB; width: 100%;" align=3D"center" role=3D"presentation" valign=
=3D"top">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<tbody>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<tr style=3D"vertical-al=
ign: top;" valign=3D"top">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<td style=3D"word-bre=
ak: break-word; vertical-align: top; -ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; -webkit-te=
xt-size-adjust: 100%;" valign=3D"top"><span></span></td>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</tr>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</tbody>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</table>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</td>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</tr>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</tbody>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</table>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"background-color:transparent;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09<div class=3D"block-grid two-up" style=3D"min-width: 320p=
x; max-width: 600px; overflow-wrap: break-word; word-wrap: break-word; word=
-break: break-word; Margin: 0 auto; background-color: #FFFFFF;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"border-collapse: collapse;display: table=
;width: 100%;background-color:#FFFFFF;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div class=3D"col num6" style=3D"display: table-cel=
l; vertical-align: top; max-width: 320px; min-width: 300px; width: 300px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div class=3D"col_cont" style=3D"width:100% !imp=
ortant;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"border-top:0px solid transparen=
t; border-left:0px solid transparent; border-bottom:0px solid transparent; =
border-right:0px solid transparent; padding-top:10px; padding-bottom:10px; =
padding-right: 10px; padding-left: 10px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"font-size:16px;text-align:ce=
nter;font-family:Arial, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif"><a href=3D"h=
ttp://trk.thevote.online/c/6/?T=3DOTkyNjA2OTc%3AMDItYjIwMzAyLWU1ODdiZDk1ZTh=
iMTRjZmVhMTBkOGZkMzgzNWU3ZWEw%3AYmlnamFja2J1bHdhcmtAZ21haWwuY29t%3AOTA2Mjgx=
NzM3%3AZmFsc2U%3AMjE%3A%3AaHR0cDovL2ltYWdlcy5wYXNzZW5kby5jb20vY2xpY2svMi83M=
TE3L2Q2ODdiOTVmODY4MjcxNjJlZjEzMzlkN2YxN2NlN2I3LzEzNDA0Nj9zZWdtZW50PTEzNDA0=
Ng&K=3Dzm8CSYB3UHQpAWm9nlZfjw"><img style=3D"max-width:100%;" src=3D"https:=
//images.passendo.com/view/2/7117/d687b95f86827162ef1339d7f17ce7b7/134046?s=
egment=3D134046" /></a><img width=3D"1" height=3D"1" style=3D"display:none;=
border-style:none;" alt src=3D"[link removed]
f86827162ef1339d7f17ce7b7/134046/0/0" /><img width=3D"1" height=3D"1" style=
=3D"display:none;border-style:none;" alt src=3D"[link removed]
/extt/2/7117/d687b95f86827162ef1339d7f17ce7b7/134046?pid=3D1" /><img width=
=3D"1" height=3D"1" style=3D"display:none;border-style:none;" alt src=3D"ht=
tps://images.passendo.com/extt/2/7117/d687b95f86827162ef1339d7f17ce7b7/1340=
46?pid=3D2" /><img width=3D"1" height=3D"1" style=3D"display:none;border-st=
yle:none;" alt src=3D"[link removed]
162ef1339d7f17ce7b7/134046?pid=3D3" /><img width=3D"1" height=3D"1" style=
=3D"display:none;border-style:none;" alt src=3D"[link removed]
/extt/2/7117/d687b95f86827162ef1339d7f17ce7b7/134046?pid=3D4" /></div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div class=3D"col num6" style=3D"display: table-cel=
l; vertical-align: top; max-width: 320px; min-width: 300px; width: 300px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div class=3D"col_cont" style=3D"width:100% !imp=
ortant;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"border-top:0px solid transparen=
t; border-left:0px solid transparent; border-bottom:0px solid transparent; =
border-right:0px solid transparent; padding-top:10px; padding-bottom:10px; =
padding-right: 10px; padding-left: 10px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"font-size:16px;text-align:ce=
nter;font-family:Arial, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif"><a href=3D"h=
ttp://trk.thevote.online/c/6/?T=3DOTkyNjA2OTc%3AMDItYjIwMzAyLWU1ODdiZDk1ZTh=
iMTRjZmVhMTBkOGZkMzgzNWU3ZWEw%3AYmlnamFja2J1bHdhcmtAZ21haWwuY29t%3AOTA2Mjgx=
NzM3%3AZmFsc2U%3AMjI%3A%3AaHR0cDovL2ltYWdlcy5wYXNzZW5kby5jb20vY2xpY2svMi83M=
TE5L2Q2ODdiOTVmODY4MjcxNjJlZjEzMzlkN2YxN2NlN2I3LzEzNDA0Nj9zZWdtZW50PTEzNDA0=
Ng&K=3DWbWG7ylfV4ep_IyZ7oPFZQ"><img style=3D"max-width:100%;" src=3D"https:=
//images.passendo.com/view/2/7119/d687b95f86827162ef1339d7f17ce7b7/134046?s=
egment=3D134046" /></a><img width=3D"1" height=3D"1" style=3D"display:none;=
border-style:none;" alt src=3D"[link removed]
f86827162ef1339d7f17ce7b7/134046/0/0" /><img width=3D"1" height=3D"1" style=
=3D"display:none;border-style:none;" alt src=3D"[link removed]
/extt/2/7119/d687b95f86827162ef1339d7f17ce7b7/134046?pid=3D1" /><img width=
=3D"1" height=3D"1" style=3D"display:none;border-style:none;" alt src=3D"ht=
tps://images.passendo.com/extt/2/7119/d687b95f86827162ef1339d7f17ce7b7/1340=
46?pid=3D2" /><img width=3D"1" height=3D"1" style=3D"display:none;border-st=
yle:none;" alt src=3D"[link removed]
162ef1339d7f17ce7b7/134046?pid=3D3" /><img width=3D"1" height=3D"1" style=
=3D"display:none;border-style:none;" alt src=3D"[link removed]
/extt/2/7119/d687b95f86827162ef1339d7f17ce7b7/134046?pid=3D4" /></div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"background-color:transparent;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09<div class=3D"block-grid " style=3D"min-width: 320px; max=
-width: 600px; overflow-wrap: break-word; word-wrap: break-word; word-break=
: break-word; Margin: 0 auto; background-color: #f7f7f7;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"border-collapse: collapse;display: table=
;width: 100%;background-color:#f7f7f7;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div class=3D"col num12" style=3D"min-width: 320px;=
max-width: 600px; display: table-cell; vertical-align: top; width: 600px;"=
>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div class=3D"col_cont" style=3D"width:100% !imp=
ortant;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"border-top:5px solid #00AEEF; b=
order-left:0px solid transparent; border-bottom:0px solid transparent; bord=
er-right:0px solid transparent; padding-top:15px; padding-bottom:20px; padd=
ing-right: 60px; padding-left: 60px;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<div style=3D"font-size:16px;text-align:ce=
nter;font-family:Arial, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<p style=3D"font-size: 10px; line-heigh=
t: 1.2; text-align: center; word-break: break-word; font-family: Arial, Hel=
vetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif; mso-line-height-alt: 12px; margin: 0;">
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09P.O. Box 455, Leesburg, VA 20178<br =
/>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09<a href=3D"[link removed]
/uu/2/1cla%3AOTkyNjA2OTc%3AMDItYjIwMzAyLWU1ODdiZDk1ZThiMTRjZmVhMTBkOGZkMzgz=
NWU3ZWEw%3AYmlnamFja2J1bHdhcmtAZ21haWwuY29t%3AOTA2MjgxNzM3%3An%3An%3A3WwsBf=
1UYNiHkUvNr0sFqQ" target=3D"_blank">Unsubscribe</a>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</p>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09</div>
=09=09=09=09=09
=09=09=09=09</td>
=09=09=09</tr>
=09=09</tbody>
=09</table>
=09
<img src=3D"[link removed]
FdVMU9EZGlaRGsxWlRoaU1UUmpabVZoTVRCa09HWmtNemd6TldVM1pXRXc6WW1sbmFtRmphMkox=
YkhkaGNtdEFaMjFoYVd3dVkyOXQ6T1RBMk1qZ3hOek0z/uauVw43nl9DEF-qVEJkHGw" width=
=3D"1" height=3D"1" /></body>

</html>
------=_Part_290161952_2105402796.1603906327184--

------=_Part_290161951_1481501560.1603906327184--

[The Vote]

With 6 days to Election Day 2020, here's the news that you'll want to know:

(1) "Don't believe the polls — Trump is winning" <[link removed]>

(2) AOC: "I don't know if I'm really going to be staying in the House forever" <[link removed]>

(3) more than 69 million votes cast already -- which is more than half of all votes cast in 2016 <[link removed]>

[Two writers analyze the polls; bottom line: "Don't believe the polls -- Trump is winning."]

"We predict that President Trump is going to win the 2020 presidential election — and win big. While the majority of the polls suggest that Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden is leading, or at best that it’s close, those polls suffer from at least three problems." (Jonathan Jakubowski & Christos A. Makridis in The Hill <[link removed]> )

Read the full story on The Hill <[link removed]>

• What's happening: In a new piece out today on The Hill, two writers make the case that President Trump is likely to win <[link removed]> . They argue that the current polls showing a Biden lead don't account for:

-- "shy" Trump voters (though they don't call it that): due to "cancel culture" and the left's anti-Trump intensity, people don't want to say they're voting for President Trump

-- small sample sizes and under-sampling Trump supporters

-- underlying realities: as they note, 56% of people in a recent Gallup poll say they're "better off than they were four years ago, which is striking given that we are in the midst of a pandemic with a recovering labor market and deepening political polarization"

• What's at stake: First, political pundits and media figures seem less eager to "call" the election for either candidate as memories of how wrong they got it in 2016 still loom large.

Remember: at this time last year, the media was reporting that Hillary Clinton was all but certain to win the presidency. The New York Times gave her an 85% chance to win <[link removed]> . The day before the 2016 election, Reuters reported it was actually a 90% chance of victory <[link removed]> .

And we know how 2016 turned out.

So arguments that the polls have it wrong (again!) could certainly be right.

Second, although this isn't the main focus of The Hill piece, we'd re-emphasize that although national polls show Biden with a lead over President Trump, that same momentum doesn't flow down to battleground states.

Biden's polling lead in Florida and Pennsylvania was "effectively halved" in mid-October <[link removed]> , and we think those will be critical states in the 2020 election.

Plus, all fall, Biden has faced news stories about how he's "struggling" in Florida <[link removed]> . Erstwhile Democratic presidential candidate Michael Bloomberg is now reportedly $100 million in the state in support of Biden <[link removed]> . That's not actually a sign of confidence.

[AOC: "I don't know if I'm really going to be staying in the House forever."]

"'I don’t know if I’m really going to be staying in the House forever, or if I do stay in the House, what that would look like,' Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) told Vanity Fair in an interview for the magazine’s December cover story. “I don’t see myself really staying where I’m at for the rest of my life.'" (POLITICO <[link removed]> )

Read the full story on POLITICO <[link removed]>

• What's happening: In a new magazine feature piece, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) seemed to already be thinking about what's beyond her U.S. House seat -- which she's win for a second term -- saying: "I don’t know if I’m really going to be staying in the House forever, or if I do stay in the House, what that would look like. I don’t see myself really staying where I’m at for the rest of my life."

• What's at stake: First, in the long term, as POLITICO noted <[link removed]> , that may indicate a variety of political paths ahead of her:

-- a primary challenge for one of New York's Senate seats (Sen. Schumer is up for re-election in 2022)

-- a position in a Biden Administration, if he wins next week

-- a presidential run as she's "one of the likeliest inheritors of Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders’ progressive coalition"

Second, in the short term, Rep. Ilhan Omar -- one of the "Squad" members along with AOC -- has indicated they'll be expecting the House to move far left if Biden becomes president.

As Axios reported <[link removed]> : "Proposals like Medicare for All, the Green New Deal, enacting a $15 minimum wage (which Biden supports), and banning fracking are all top priorities for 'The Squad' if Biden wins."

[More than 69 million votes cast already -- which is more than half of all votes cast in 2016 election.]

"More than 69 million Americans have voted in the 2020 presidential election with one week to go until Election Day, according to U.S. Elections Project data released Tuesday afternoon. [...] Early voting in 2020 has now surpassed the 58 million mail-in or in-person early votes cast in 2016, based on Associated Press totals, and reached over 50% of the more than 136 million total ballots cast in the 2016 presidential election." (CNBC <[link removed]> )

Read the full story on CNBC <[link removed]>

• What's happening: More than 69 million votes have been cast in the 2020 presidential election already. That milestone is 10 million more than early votes cast in 2016 (no surprise), and more than 50% of all votes cast in 2016.

• What's at stake: First, this makes it less likely that a last-minute news story will change voters' minds ... because so many have voted already. (Granted, the amount of Google searches for "can I change my vote" has reportedly seen a sharp increase. <[link removed]> )

Second, this may be good news for how quickly the election results can be finalized.

Americans have known that this year, it's highly unlike we'll find out who won on election night. But if the amount of early voting is "spreading out the workload of election officials" -- as one expert quoted by CNBC said it may be <[link removed]> -- then we may see a shorter delay than expected in receiving the final results from each state.

===

P.O. Box 455, Leesburg, VA 20178
Unsubscribe: [link removed]

Screenshot of the email generated on import

Message Analysis

Sender: TheVote
Political Party: n/a
Country: United States
State/Locality: n/a
Office: n/a
Email Providers:
- MessageGears