Dear CV Friend,
The election site FiveThirtyEight says Trump has only a 12%
chance of winning.
The Economist puts it at 5%.
Haven't you seen this movie before?
As you likely remember, the New York Times had Hillary Clinton's
odds of winning at 85% in 2016. These big "woke" media
corporations are hoping to convince voters like you that it's all
over.
I'll explain below why I think the media is getting this campaign
wrong (again!). But first, here are three important ways you can
fight back:
1. Sign up to make calls to Catholics. We need extra help
contacting fellow Catholics and encouraging them to vote. No
need to talk about Trump or Biden. Just a little nudge to get
every regular Mass-attending Catholic to the polls. It's like
"Rock the Vote" for Catholics. Sign up here:
[link removed]
2. Pray pray pray. Ask your pastor to open up your parish on
Election Day for prayer. Ideally for all-day Eucharistic
adoration. The fantastic folks over at Unite our Nation are
registering parishes everywhere for "Adoration for our Nation,"
and the list is exploding! [link removed]
3. Make a final gift to CV. This is it, the final day. We're
putting our final chips on the table starting tomorrow. It's now
100% prayer and work. We will continue to provide analysis and
ideas on how you get involved. Click here to chip in:
[link removed]
So about those polls...
To paraphrase Groucho Marx: "Who are you going to believe? The
media or your own eyes?"
Trump rallies continue to draw massive crowds. Boat parades, car
parades, even a spontaneous rally in Beverly Hills last weekend
suggest Trump enthusiasm is massive. Even the media agrees there
is a sizable silent Trump vote. How big is it? Nobody truly
knows. But it's not small.
Meanwhile, Joe Biden planned to spend the final week in his
basement. That is until yesterday -- when he made a "surprise"
appearance in Pennsylvania to read directly from prepared remarks
in front of almost nobody. Peggy Noonan, no big Trump fan, made
this interesting observation: "...in a lifetime watching
politics, sometimes up close, I have never seen crowds keep away
from someone they love. They'll come whether you want them or
not; they'll find out you're coming and stand at the side of the
road to cheer as the motorcade goes by." Biden enthusiasm is
non-existent.
So how does this translate in the real data now available?
Consider: Democrats have counted on absentee and early voting
advantages going into Election Day. The media flooded us with
images of long voter lines. But the latest data is eye-opening.
For example, in Florida, Dems surged to a nearly 500k-vote
advantage in vote-by-mail and in-person early voting. But that
gap has evaporated, with a massive GOP surge underway. The Dem
lead is projected to be less than 200k votes by tonight, with
some 40k net new GOP votes today alone. The Biden advantage in
Florida is collapsing.
Or in Michigan ... according to NBC, requests for early and
mail-in-ballots are up nearly 200%. And as of today, Republicans
lead 41-39 in ballots returned.
And Pennsylvania? The New York Times reported Sunday that Joe
Biden is polling nearly 10 points behind Hillary Clinton's share
of support in Philadelphia proper.
In fairness, the President is underperforming among women and
older voters, according to these same polls. But these data
points only make the case that this election is unlike any other.
Pollsters claiming to know with certainty what is going to
happen are lying. Left-wing media corporations are stuck: they
can't disappoint their customers.
Meanwhile ... polling last week showed the Senate race in
Minnesota a "dead heat."
And our surprise prediction: keep your eye on Nevada. Hispanic
Catholics are surging for Trump.
Lastly, our internal Catholic tracking metric has shown Trump
with 5 straight days of gains -- hitting his highest approval in
the last 90 days.
We're focused everywhere.
But in this final week we are focused on one state in
particular...
...the state experts say gives Trump a 70% chance of re-election
if he wins it.
Your final donation today is likely headed to Pennsylvania.
[link removed]
Brian
PAID FOR BY CATHOLICVOTE.ORG. NOT AUTHORIZED BY ANY CANDIDATE
OR CANDIDATE'S COMMITTEE.
P.O. Box 259837 | Madison, WI 53725 | (312) 201-6559
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