Dear MoveOn member,
With just eight days to go in this election, something unnerving is happening.
We won't sugarcoat it: In the past few days, our fundraising numbers have taken an unexpected dip.
John, if we don't make up our budget gap, it means we won't be able to execute our get-out-the-vote programs to the fullest extent in these most crucial final days. But this news is also troubling because it signals that MoveOn members are getting complacent and think this election is already in the bag.
No, no, no, no, NO! Didn't we learn ANYTHING from 2016?
As the Biden campaign just revealed in a strategy memo: "In the key battleground states where this election will be decided, we remain neck and neck with Donald Trump."1 In fact, in some battleground states, Trump is even doing better than he was four years ago at this point in the election.2
As if you needed another reminder why this election is so critical, this evening Senate Republicans will vote to install Amy Coney Barrett on the Supreme Court—locking in a far-right 6-3 majority that could wreak havoc on our rights and communities.3
Is it despicable that the GOP is installing an extremist judge on the Supreme Court through a hypocritical and illegitimate confirmation process? Yes—but what else did we expect from Mitch McConnell?
The sad truth is that Democrats have little power to stop Amy Coney Barrett's confirmation.4
But you know what we CAN do? We can win this election. And we can make Trump, McConnell, and the entire GOP pay at the ballot box.
Thankfully, this entire year, we've worked hard to budget wisely and spend tactically, so MoveOn remains in a strong financial position. But the fact is that with only eight days to go, now is not the time to sit back and take our foot off the gas.
Here's a reality check for people who think Trump will be easy to beat in eight days.
Only two incumbent presidents have been defeated for re-election since World War II. And shockingly, Trump is doing better among Black and Latino voters compared to 2016—and these are the voters who will decide this election in some battleground states.5
As we know, even small variations in turnout or support can have monumental consequences in the outcome of an election. Which means we need to do everything in our power to win.
Thanks for all you do.
–Kelly, Emily, Oscar, Manny, and the rest of the team
Sources:
1. "Biden Campaign Warns Supporters: 'Donald Trump Can Still Win This Race,'" NPR, October 18, 2020
https://act.moveon.org/go/145470?t=5&akid=281669%2E40999114%2EUZQ3E9
2. "RCP Top Battlegrounds* Poll Average 14 Days To Election," Twitter @PpollingNumbers, October 20, 2020
https://act.moveon.org/go/145471?t=7&akid=281669%2E40999114%2EUZQ3E9
3. "Republicans vote to advance Amy Coney Barrett’s Supreme Court nomination to the full Senate," CNBC, October 22, 2020
https://act.moveon.org/go/145487?t=9&akid=281669%2E40999114%2EUZQ3E9
4. "Republicans have the power to vote in Barrett. Sen. Booker implored them to have grace," The Washington Post, October 20, 2020
https://act.moveon.org/go/145473?t=11&akid=281669%2E40999114%2EUZQ3E9
5. "Trump Is Losing Ground With White Voters But Gaining Among Black And Hispanic Americans," FiveThirtyEight, October 19, 2020
https://act.moveon.org/go/145474?t=13&akid=281669%2E40999114%2EUZQ3E9
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