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Huge turnout in early vote points to Democratic edge in some key states
Democrats have an average 5 percentage-point lead in the early vote across 14 battleground states, according to an analysis by TargetSmart. That advantage is higher in certain states crucial to Joe Biden’s path to the presidency like Pennsylvania, where mail-in ballots are the only early-voting option and where more than twice as many Democrats have voted early than Republicans so far. Moreover, a quarter of the early vote in battleground states is coming from infrequent or first-time voters, suggesting that Democrats aren’t just banking votes they’d get anyway, but are actually drawing in new voters.

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