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Number of the Day: 197 Electoral College votes rated as toss-ups

October 20, 2020: RealClearPolitics rates 12 states and two congressional districts as toss-ups heading into the final weeks of Election 2020.[1] That’s a slightly higher level of competitiveness compared to 2016 when 171 electoral votes were in the toss-up category.[2]

Toss-ups:

Pennsylvania (20) Nevada (6) Arizona (11)
Georgia (16) Michigan (16) Minnesota (10)
Florida (29) Texas (38) Ohio (18)
Iowa (6) North Carolina (15) Nebraska CD2 (1)
Wisconsin (10) Maine CD2 (1)  

Numbers in parentheses indicate the number of Electoral College votes.

According to RealClearPolitics, former Vice President Joe Biden leads in states with 216 Electoral College votes while President Trump leads in states with 125.[1] That’s a modestly bigger advantage than former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton enjoyed over Trump four years ago.[2]

Two-hundred seventy electoral votes are needed to win the presidency. To reach that number, Biden must win 27.5% of the toss-ups. To be re-elected, Trump must win 74%.[1]


Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology. Columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.

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Scott Rasmussen is an editor-at-large for Ballotpedia, the Encyclopedia of American Politics. He is a senior fellow for the study of self-governance at the King’s College in New York. His most recent book, Politics Has Failed: America Will Not, was published by the Sutherland Institute in August 2018.

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