Trump returns to campaign trail with rally in Florida

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OCTOBER 12, 2020: The Commission on Presidential Debates (CPD) announced on Friday that the second presidential debate would not take place. Donald Trump is scheduled to hold his first rally since his COVID-19 diagnosis in Florida on Monday.

_Share the latest from the campaign trail._

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Sabato’s Crystal Ball updated ([link removed]) its race ratings on October 8, 2020:

* Arizona moved from Toss Up to Leans Democratic.
* Georgia moved from Leans Republican to Toss Up.
* New Hampshire moved from Leans Democratic to Likely Democratic.

Notable Quote of the Day ([link removed])

“Meanwhile, the most important states that tipped the Electoral College to Trump in 2016 — Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — allow, at best, extremely limited pre-processing of mail ballots. That means it could take days to actually declare a winner in those states.

The result: Several narrow paths to a fast 270 electoral votes for Biden, and basically none for Trump — barring a major surprise in states he lost four years ago. The president likely cannot win another term in the White House without waiting days to find out, though Trump has hinted that he could try to claim he won on election night based on vote counts that won't yet include many mail ballots, which more Democrats are planning to use this year.”

– Zach Montellaro and David Siders, _Politico_

 
** ELECTION UPDATES
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The Commission on Presidential Debates ([link removed]) (CPD) announced on Friday that the second presidential debate ([link removed]) would not take place ([link removed]) . The group said in a statement, “On October 8, CPD announced that for the health and safety of all involved, the second presidential debate, scheduled for October 15 in Miami, would be conducted virtually. Subsequently, the campaigns of the two candidates who qualified for participation in the debate made a series of statements concerning their respective positions regarding their willingness to participate in a virtual debate on October 15, and each now has announced alternate plans for that date. It is now apparent there will be no debate on October 15, and the CPD will turn its attention to preparations for the final presidential debate scheduled for October 22.”

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Joe Biden ([link removed]) is campaigning in Ohio ([link removed]) on Monday with remarks in Toledo and a voter mobilization event in Cincinnati.

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Cindy McCain, Sen. John McCain’s (R) widow, is featured ([link removed]) in a Biden ad that aired during Fox News Sunday, 60 Minutes, and NFL football games. “Joe Biden’s dedicated his life to this country and working across the aisle to get things done. Joe will always fight for the American people, just like John did,” McCain says in the clip.

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Biden also began airing an ad nationwide featuring 14 Black mayors ([link removed]) from across the country.

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Biden campaigned in Erie, Pennsylvania ([link removed]) , on Saturday.

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Donald Trump ([link removed]) ’s physician, Sean Conley, said in a statement ([link removed]) on Saturday, “This evening I am happy to report that in addition to the President meeting CDC criteria for the safe discontinuation of isolation, this morning’s Covid PCR sample demonstrates, by currently recognized standards, he is no longer considered a transmission risk to others.”

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Trump is scheduled to hold his first rally ([link removed]) since his COVID-19 diagnosis on Monday at an airport in Sanford, Florida.

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Trump appeared ([link removed]) on Rush Limbaugh’s radio show for two hours in what the campaign described as the “largest radio rally in history” on Friday.

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Trump is airing two new national ads ([link removed]) focused reopening the country and Biden’s tax plan.

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** WHAT WE’RE READING
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* NJ.com: Election 2020: The pundits are polls apart from the Jersey guy who got it right in 2016 ([link removed])
* Politico: Anti-Trump, but not fully for Biden: Will Gen Z vote? ([link removed])
* USA Today: These 6 swing states are pivotal in the White House race. But what are the keys to winning each state? ([link removed])

FLASHBACK: OCTOBER 12, 2016

Robert Satiacum Jr., a Democratic elector in Washington, said ([link removed]) he was considering not voting for Hillary Clinton.
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