Daily News Brief
October 12, 2020
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Top of the Agenda
North Korea Stirs Concern by Parading Large Missile
U.S. and South Korean authorities are analyzing new weapons (Yonhap) unveiled by North Korea, including an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM). The weapon, featured in a military parade on Saturday, is believed to be one of the world’s largest road-mobile missiles, though it is unclear whether it is real or a mock-up.

​North Korea last tested an ICBM in 2017. That missile, the Hwasong-15, had an estimated range of eight thousand miles, capable of striking the United States (WaPo). The new missile could carry more fuel and bigger engines, increasing the weapon’s payload. On Sunday, Seoul urged Pyongyang to abide by its previous disarmament pacts (AP) and to resume negotiations. Some experts say North Korea could test the new missile after the U.S. presidential election in November in order to gain leverage in future talks.
Analysis
“The huge liquid-fueled ICBM is certainly cumbersome and dangerous to operate—and prone to preemption—but it is still better for North Korea than a fixed, silo-based ICBM, whose location would be known to the United States at all times,” the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace’s Ankit Panda tells the Washington Post.

“The parade displayed a diverse range of options that Kim Jong Un could reach for in a crisis,” Adam Mount, a senior fellow at the Federation of American Scientists, tells the Wall Street Journal. “This is not his father’s arsenal.”

​This CFR Backgrounder looks at North Korea’s military capabilities.

Pacific Rim
Australians Call for Probe of Media Mogul Rupert Murdoch
More than one hundred thousand people in Australia have signed a petition (BBC) pushed by former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd that calls for an inquiry into abuse of media monopoly by Rupert Murdoch. His company News Corp Australia controls about 70 percent of the country’s print circulation.

South and Central Asia
Tajikistan’s President Wins Fifth Term in Controlled Election
In a largely symbolic election, Tajikistan’s authoritarian president, Emomali Rahmon, won a fifth term (RFE/RL) with more than 90 percent of the vote, according to preliminary results. None of the previous four elections he has won since 1992 has been considered free or fair by Western election monitors.

​Kyrgyzstan: A divided parliament has selected a previously jailed opposition figure (NYT) as prime minister following the annulment of parliamentary elections last week. Some members of parliament and political activists, however, questioned the legitimacy (RFE/RL) of Sadyr Japarov’s appointment.

Middle East and North Africa
Iran-Backed Militias in Iraq Announce Conditional Halt to Attacks on U.S. Targets
A group of Iran-backed militias announced a cease-fire (WaPo) against U.S. interests in Iraq on the condition that the United States provides a timeline for the withdrawal of its troops. The militias have attacked U.S. diplomatic and military targets for months, including with rocket attacks on embassies and bases.

Lebanon: A diesel tank exploded (Al Jazeera) inside a building in Beirut, killing four people and injuring several others. The explosion comes two months after a massive blast in the Lebanese capital killed nearly two hundred people and injured thousands more.

​This CFR In Brief examines whether Lebanon is becoming a failed state.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Nigeria Abolishes Controversial Police Force
Following widespread protests, Nigeria’s inspector general of police announced the disbandment (This Day) of the Special Anti-Robbery Squad (SARS), which had been accused of extrajudicial killings and other human rights abuses. Protesters vowed to continue their campaign (Al Jazeera) seeking police reform.

This CFR Backgrounder looks at policing around the world.

​Ivory Coast: About twenty thousand opposition supporters gathered in Abidjan on Saturday to protest President Alassane Ouattara’s decision to seek a third term (Al Jazeera) in the country’s October 31 elections. The opposition claims the move is unconstitutional, but Ouattara argues that a constitutional change in 2016 reset his term limit.

Europe
Cease-Fire in Nagorno-Karabakh Already Fraying
A days-old cease-fire agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan in the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh is already under strain (RFE/RL) after both sides accused the other of violations. Hundreds of soldiers and an unknown number of civilians have been killed since fighting broke out last month.

​United Kingdom: Prime Minister Boris Johnson is expected to announce a three-tier lockdown system (Guardian) in response to a surge in coronavirus cases. The hospitality industry has threatened legal action (BBC) against the new measures.

Americas
China Allows Access to Detained Canadians
Canada was granted a virtual meeting (AFP) with two of its citizens detained in China, the first contact since January. The two men, Michael Kovrig and Michael Spavor, have been detained since 2018 and are charged with espionage. The case is widely seen as retaliation for Canada’s arrest of Meng Wanzhou—the the chief financial officer of Chinese telecom giant Huawei and daughter of the company’s founder—who is awaiting extradition to the United States.

​Brazil: The death toll from COVID-19 in the country has now passed 150,000 (AP), the second-highest number of deaths after the United States.

United States
Republicans, Pelosi Oppose Trump’s Stimulus Proposal
Senate Republicans and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) objected to the Donald J. Trump administration’s proposal for a $1.8 trillion coronavirus stimulus measure (WaPo), dimming hopes for a deal before the presidential election. Some Republicans criticized the spending bill as too big, while Pelosi said it did not go far enough.

Global
OECD Drafts Global Tax Overhaul
A group of advanced economies has drafted principles for overhauling the system of global corporate taxation that could raise an additional $100 billion (FT) in tax revenue around the world. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) aims to make multinational companies pay taxes in places where they operate but have no physical presence and to prevent them from moving to tax havens.
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