From A <[email protected]>
Subject FiveThirtyEight: Trump has an 84% chance of winning if he takes this critical state -- and he’s gaining on Biden
Date September 30, 2020 12:02 AM
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Hello John,

From FiveThirtyEight: “Pennsylvania is so important that our model gives Trump an 84 percent chance of winning the presidency if he carries the state -- and it gives Biden a 96 percent chance of winning if Pennsylvania goes blue.”

Luckily, Joe Biden currently leads Donald Trump in Pennsylvania. But his lead has slowly narrowed in recent months, with FiveThirtyEight’s latest polls showing Biden ahead by only 3 points -- well within the margin of error.

In 2016, Trump won Pennsylvania by less than 45,000 votes, following a similar trend across most swing states. In the end, nearly 100 million voters stayed home and handed him the election. But this year, the stakes are too high to be complacent. We need to turn out in record-breaking numbers across the country and get Trump out of office.

Our country is at a turning point, and we need to work together to elect more Democrats in the House, take back the Senate, and vote Joe Biden and Kamala Harris into the White House. We need leaders who will restore our values and work to improve the lives of every American, not just the privileged few.

With just a few weeks until the election, we need to make sure every single eligible voter turns in their ballot.

This is a pivotal moment in our history, and we need to know:

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