Daily News Brief
September 28, 2020
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Top of the Agenda
Armenia, Azerbaijan Battle Over Contested Region
Fighting erupted on Sunday between Armenian and Azerbaijani forces over the region of Nagorno-Karabakh, their latest clash in a long-running territorial dispute. At least thirty people, including civilians, have reportedly been killed (BBC) and more than one hundred others have been wounded so far in the countries’ heaviest fighting since 2016.
 
Nagorno-Karabakh has been run by ethnic Armenians (Guardian) since 1991 but is internationally viewed as part of Azerbaijan. The conflict between the two former Soviet states threatens to escalate Russia-Turkey tensions. Russian President Vladimir Putin spoke with Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, who rebuked Turkey (Al Jazeera) for vowing to support Azerbaijan. Russia, an Armenian ally, called for an end to the violence, as did the United States, France, and the European Union, among others.
Analysis
“Nagorno-Karabakh: no longer violations of ceasefire or border incidents. War is resuming. Time for Russia, France and [the] US, individually and jointly, to stop it,” the Carnegie Moscow Center’s Dmitri Trenin tweets.
 
“We are a step away from a large-scale war,” the International Crisis Group’s Olesya Vartanyan tells AFP. “One of the main reasons for the current escalation is a lack of any proactive international mediation between the sides for weeks.”
 
CFR’s Global Conflict Tracker traces hostilities in the Nagorno-Karabakh region.

Pacific Rim
U.S. Judge Blocks Ban on Chinese-Owned TikTok
Hours before it would have gone into effect, a U.S. federal judge temporarily blocked (CNN) the Donald J. Trump administration’s ban on downloads of Chinese-owned video application TikTok. However, the judge did not block (Guardian) additional restrictions on the application due to take effect on November 12.
 
North Korea/South Korea: South Korean Prime Minister Chung Sye-kyun called for a swift inter-Korean investigation (Yonhap) into North Korea’s killing of a South Korean official last week. North Korea accused South Korea (WaPo) of violating a demarcation line to find the official’s body.

South and Central Asia
Afghan Peace Negotiator Visits Pakistan
Abdullah Abdullah, chairman of Afghanistan’s High Council for National Reconciliation, met with Pakistani Minister of Foreign Affairs Shah Mahmood Qureshi today to kick off (TOLO) a three-day visit to Pakistan. Qureshi expressed support for the intra-Afghan peace process.
 
Abdullah discusses the intra-Afghan peace talks at this CFR event.
 
Sri Lanka: The country sent twenty-one shipping containers of waste back to the United Kingdom because they contained hazardous materials (AFP). Other countries in Asia have similarly returned waste exported there by developed countries in recent years.
 
This CFR In Brief looks at South Asia’s problem with the world’s waste.

Middle East and North Africa
U.S. Warns It Could Shutter Iraq Embassy
U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo told the Iraqi government the United States will close (WSJ) its Baghdad embassy if militia attacks on U.S. interests continue, unnamed officials from both countries said. In recent months, Iran-backed Shiite militias have launched frequent rocket attacks on convoys supporting U.S. and other allied troops.
 
Lebanon: French President Emmanuel Macron accused Lebanese leaders of “collective betrayal” for failing to form a government (National) as the country’s multilayered crisis worsens. On Saturday, Lebanon’s Prime Minister–designate, Mustapha Adib, resigned.
 
This CFR In Brief looks at the crises that could mean Lebanon is becoming a failed state.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Mali’s President Appoints Civilian Prime Minister
Interim President Ba N’Daou appointed former Foreign Minister Moctar Ouane to be Mali’s new prime minister as the country rebuilds its government (Al Jazeera) after a military coup. The selection of a civilian prime minister, such as Ouane, was required for the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) to lift post-coup sanctions on Mali.
 
Nigeria: Militants linked to the self-proclaimed Islamic State attacked a government convoy in Borno State twice in less than three days. Eighteen people were killed (BBC) in the first attack on Friday, the military said, though local media reported (Vanguard) a higher toll. There were no casualties in the second attack.

Europe
Swiss Voters Uphold EU Freedom of Movement
Almost two-thirds of voters rejected a referendum (DW) to limit the free movement of people into Switzerland from the EU, of which the country is not a member. A populist, right-wing party proposed the change over immigration concerns.

Americas
EU Officials Meet With Venezuela’s Dual Governments
EU officials met with the government of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and with Juan Guaido, who the United States and over fifty other countries view as Venezuela’s legitimate leader, to discuss delaying the country’s controversial legislative elections. The United States accused the European bloc (WaPo) of subverting its isolationist policy toward Maduro.
 
CFR’s Paul J. Angelo looks at the humanitarian crisis facing Venezuela and outlines potential international responses in this Council Special Report.
 
Argentina/Bolivia: Interim Bolivian Foreign Minister Karen Longaric Rodriguez accused Argentina (FT) of meddling in Bolivia’s October 2019 elections to aid the political party of former Bolivian President Evo Morales. Morales resigned last year amid allegations of election rigging.

United States
Report: Trump Has Repeatedly Dodged Income Taxes
President Trump paid $750 in income taxes in 2016 and 2017, the New York Times reported, citing tax-return data for Trump and his business organization provided by unnamed sources. Trump paid no income taxes in ten of the past fifteen years, largely because he reported losses that exceeded his earnings, and has $421 million in loans and other debts, the newspaper said. If he is reelected, lenders could make an unprecedented decision to foreclose on a sitting president. Trump brushed off the accusation (Bloomberg) as “fake news” and claimed to “pay a lot” in taxes.
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