From Center for Jobs and the Economy <[email protected]>
Subject State’s Progress on 5 Million Zero Emission Vehicles (ZEV) by 2030: H1 2020 Results
Date September 25, 2020 5:30 PM
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Web Version [link removed] | Update Preferences [link removed] State’s Progress on 5 Million Zero Emission Vehicles (ZEV) by 2030:

H1 2020 Results

The latest new vehicle sales data from California New Car Dealers Association shows total light vehicle sales in the first half of 2020 at 786,219, down 26.9% from sales in the same period in 2019 primarily as the result of weakened sales in the second quarter. Sales nationally were down 23.5%. In addition to the associated jobs impacts, new vehicle sales are also a critical component of state and local revenues, with Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers (NAICS 441) still producing 8% of total taxable sales in the most recent data for the first quarter in 2020.

Cumulative PEV Sales at 15.3% of 2030 Goal—True ZEVs at 8.9% [[link removed]]

As part of the AB 32 climate change program, Executive Order B-48-18 administratively created a goal of 5 million zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs) on California roads by 2030. This action expands on the prior Executive Order B-16-2012, which set a goal of 1.5 million by 2025. While these goals were set administratively, they are embodied in the state’s climate change strategies, and both public and utility ratepayer funds are being used in an attempt to reach this goal, including purchase subsidies, refueling infrastructure, regulatory credit sales that raise the price of traditional fuel vehicles, a continuing net subsidy from gasoline consumers for roads and road repairs, and other measures.

Rather than only true ZEVs, the numbers in the Executive Order and previous interpretations by the agencies indicate the goal is to be achieved by both BEVs that run only on electricity and combustion PHEVs that run on both electricity and gasoline. Consequently, only a portion of the vehicles being counted to meet the zero-emission goal—roughly half based on current sales volumes—will in fact produce zero emissions when driven. Additionally, FCEVs (fuel cell electric vehicles) also would count towards the ZEV total, but CNCDA data show total market share for these vehicles to date at around 0.1%.

Using this more flexible interpretation that includes both true ZEVs and combustion PHEVs, total PEV sales since 2009 account for 15.3% of the 2030 goal. True ZEV sales, however, account for only 8.9%.

Full Report [[link removed]]

Note: All data sources, methodologies, and historical data series available at CenterforJobs.org [[link removed]].

The California Center for Jobs and the Economy provides an objective and definitive source of information pertaining to job creation and economic trends in California. [[link removed]] Contact 1301 I Street Sacramento, CA 95814 916.553.4093 If you no longer wish to receive these emails, select here to unsubscribe. [link removed]
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