Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight fame has made a general election prediction: the electoral college is not “safe” for Joe Biden unless he wins the popular vote by at least 5 points.
The expert analyst’s conclusion confirms what we already know -- if this election is too close, Trump will win.
Joe Biden will need more than double the popular vote margin that Hillary Clinton won by in 2016 if he hopes to secure the electoral college -- but right now, Biden is underperforming Clinton in key swing states.
Trump is capitalizing on the battleground polling trends to paint the Democratic nominee as weak, saying that -- compared to Hillary Clinton -- Joe Biden is “a nicer person, but he’s not smart.” We cannot allow Trump to suppress Biden’s margin of victory, sweep the electoral college, and gain four more years in power. That’s why we’re upping our voter outreach efforts -- but our efforts go farther with accurate data. So we’re reaching out to you now to see where you stand. Please, tell us:
