Ex-CIA Insider Releases Trump Mid-Term Bombshell Former advisor to the CIA, the
Pentagon and the White House Jim Rickards just dropped this Trump election
bombshell. For the sake of our country, long term… I hope he’s right. But it
could get ugly in the next few weeks.


 

Сⅼіϲkhеrе and I'll reveal the shocking details.
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Ex-CIA Insider Releases Trump Mid-Term Bombshell

Former advisor to the CIA, the Pentagon and the White House Jim Rickards just
droppedthis Trump election bombshell.
<[link removed]>

For the sake of our country, long term…

I hope he’s right.

But it could get ugly in the next few weeks.

Jim correctly predicted the Great Recession of 2008, Trump’s 2016 and 2024
election, and the Covid Crisis.

Click here to see the details
<[link removed]>
because if he’s right, you need to prepare now.


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Today's Market Update For You




Saudi Arabia Found a Workaround. Brent Fell 3.6%. But the Ship-to-Ship
Transfers Off Oman Still Cross the Strait of Hormuz. The Cargoes Didn't Go
Around the Problem. They Went Through It.




Written by Harlan Talcott



 




The Oil Story Today

* Brent crude fell 3.6% to approximately $102 on Thursday — its second
consecutive daily decline after hitting a four-month high near$109 on Monday.
WTI settled near$99.53. The driver: Reuters reported that Saudi Arabia is
offeringadditional crude cargoes to Asian refiners via ship-to-ship transfers
offOman's Sohar port, a move that has partially offset the supply disruption
from the East-West pipeline attack. Hiroyuki Kikukawa, chief strategist at
Nissan Securities Investment: "Concerns over supply tightness eased slightly
after news that Saudi Arabia would ship cargo via Oman."
* The volume dimension: Gulf of Oman ship-to-ship transfers are running at
approximately2.7 million barrels per day — up from 1.5 million bpd in August.
That additional volume partially offsets the East-West pipeline's4–5 million bpd
capacity. The offset is partial, not complete. The pipeline remains shut with
no confirmed repair timeline. Two East-West pump stations remain damaged. U.S.
Energy Secretary Chris Wright told CNBC on Tuesday that crude should flow
through the pipeline "within days" — but that statement preceded today's
trading without producing a confirmed repair date.
* The US-China summit expected next week is also helping cap oil's upside —
traders are pricing a non-zero probability that the diplomatic environment
around the Iran conflict improves in a context where both the U.S. and China
have economic incentives to reduce energy price volatility. Saxo Bank analysts
cautioned that the Oman exports "partly — but not fully — counter lost
barrels." UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said fears of a larger supply
disruption are "beginning to ease." Brent above$100 per barrel heading into
next week regardless of the intraday moves.
Saudi Arabia found a workaround. The market priced it as relief. FXStreet's
Joshua Gibson priced it differently: the ship-to-ship transfers off Sohar are
not a new route. They are a logistical hand-off that puts the oil through the
same chokepoint it would have transited anyway. Shuttle tankers load Saudi
crude at Gulf terminals, carry it through the Strait of Hormuz, and pass it to
the buyer's vessel waiting off Sohar in Oman. The Asian refiner's supertanker
stays out of the Gulf. A smaller ship makes the transit. The crude takes the
trip it always took. What moved Thursday was not Saudi Arabia finding a way to
move oil around Hormuz. It was Saudi Arabia finding a way to move the risk of
transiting Hormuz onto a smaller vessel operating under a different flag.
2.7 Million Barrels Through the Same Chokepoint — Not Around It
The Strait of Hormuz carried approximately 20 million barrels per day of
crude and products in 2025 — about a quarter of the world's seaborne oil trade.
Since February's U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran, that transit has been severely
constrained: Oil and Gas Middle East reported justfour vessel transits on a
recent Tuesday, against a10-day average of 18. The Gulf of Oman ship-to-ship
transfers running at2.7 million bpd — up from 1.5 million in August — are
happening in the same strait that has constrained to four transits per day.
More cargo is moving through a more dangerous, more constrained chokepoint
using smaller vessels that the Iranian navy can target with the same weapons it
has been deploying against larger tankers since February.
Finimize's analysis of the supply situation captured the market mechanics
precisely: the ship-to-ship transfers help reshape the oil futures curve by
taking some heat out of near-term "prompt" pricing without necessarily
resolving the broader geopolitical risk premium. "So the move doesn't have to
drag Brent decisively below $100. It can instead reshape the curve, taking some
heat out of immediate supply tightness while leaving longer-term anxiety intact
as long as threats around the Red Sea and the Strait of Hormuz remain
unresolved." That is the pricing signal Thursday's3.6% decline is sending: the
immediate supply scare from the pipeline closure is being partially managed.
The underlying disruption — Hormuz constrained, pipeline shut, Houthis holding
Perim Island, East-West repair timeline unknown — has not been resolved.

"Ship-to-ship transfers near Sohar don't create extra oil; they help it move.
A restart sends Saudi crude back to the Red Sea and off the strait, which is
worth more than every hand-off off Sohar put together."
— Finimize market analysis, September 17, 2026




 

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What the Oman Route Doesn't Fix — and Why the Pipeline Timeline Still Matters
The East-West pipeline carried an estimated 4–5 million barrels per day when
it was operational. Ship-to-ship transfers off Sohar are running at2.7 million
bpd — an increase of 1.2 million bpd above August's level, which is the
increment that Saudi Arabia has added specifically in response to the pipeline
shutdown. The math:1.2 million bpd of additional transfers offsets roughly 25%
of the pipeline's lost capacity. The remaining75% is the supply gap that has
not been filled. Traders have said that if the pipeline remains out of
operation for an extended period, as much as4% of global oil supply could be
affected — the figure cited in multiple wire services from multiple analysts.
Thursday's Brent at$102 is not a market that has priced that 4% supply
reduction. It is a market that has priced the partial offset and taken some
relief.
The pipeline repair timeline remains the most consequential unknown.
Investinglive cited an AGBI report that Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline
"could return to service sooner than markets had anticipated" — a sourcing from
multiple wires referencing unnamed people familiar with the situation. U.S.
Energy Secretary Wright told CNBC on Tuesday that crude should flow "within
days." That statement was made Tuesday. Today is Thursday. The pipeline has not
resumed. No official Aramco statement on the repair timeline has been published
as of Thursday trading. The gap between Wright's "within days" statement and
Thursday's continued pipeline outage is being watched by the same analysts who
noted that the Yanbu inventory buffer was estimated at 5 to 7 days from the
Friday shutdown — a window that expired on or around Wednesday, the same day
the Fed hiked. Whether the inventory buffer held or whether Saudi Arabia began
drawing on strategic reserves to sustain Yanbu loadings during the repair
period has not been confirmed.
The US-China Summit — and What Oil Is Pricing for Next Week
The second variable holding Thursday's oil price decline in check is the
US-China summit expected next week. Hiroyuki Kikukawa of Nissan Securities
specifically cited "expectations of progress toward easing Middle East tensions
ahead of next week's US-China summit" as a factor capping oil gains. China is
the world's largest crude oil importer. Its economic interest in lower oil
prices is direct. If the summit produces any joint diplomatic initiative — or
even a communiqué that signals both parties support de-escalation in the Gulf —
the oil market will treat that as a risk-premium reduction event. The question
traders are pricing is not whether such a communiqué is likely; it is how much
of that probability they should embed in Thursday's Brent price ahead of a
summit that has not yet produced a disclosed agenda.
The oil market's structure heading into next week: Brent above $100, the
East-West pipeline shut with no official repair date, ship-to-ship transfers
offsetting roughly25% of the pipeline's lost capacity, Hormuz running at a
fraction of normal transit volume, Houthi forces holding Perim Island, and the
US-China summit offering the first credible diplomatic event that could shift
the geopolitical risk premium. Investing Live's summary of the situation is
accurate: "A Saudi workaround via Oman is taking the edge off oil's supply
scare, but the pipeline it's routing around is still broken and the war it
stems from is still spreading." The market priced Thursday's partial relief at
3.6% down. It priced in the remaining uncertainty by keeping Brent above $100.

Sources: FXStreet · Finimize · Reuters · CNBC Africa · Investing Live




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