Editor’s Note: Barron’s ranked Larry Benedict’s former hedge fund among the top 1% in the world. He went 20 straight years without a losing year and generated $274 million for his clients. Now he’s revealing the one ticker he believes could benefit most as Trump reshapes the Fed. Click here to see it, or read more below.

On Wednesday, September 16, Trump’s new Federal Reserve will announce its next interest-rate decision.

And one overlooked ticker could begin moving before most investors understand why.

That’s why legendary trader Larry Benedict says the time to see this ticker is now…

Not after the decision hits the financial news.

See the ticker Larry is watching before September 16.

In January 2022, Larry positioned his readers ahead of a major Fed announcement.

In under a month, they had the chance to make 117%.

Following another Fed announcement, Larry handed readers the opportunity to make 89% in just 17 days.

Now he believes the September 16 decision could trigger another string of opportunities.

Because the Fed won’t only announce what it is doing with interest rates.

It will also release fresh projections that could change expectations across the entire market.

When that happens, billions of dollars could start moving within minutes.

And Larry believes one ticker sits directly in its path.

Discover why Larry is watching this one ticker.

Larry has recorded a short briefing revealing the ticker completely free…

Along with what he believes could happen when Trump’s Fed makes its move.

But timing matters.

By the time the newspapers explain what happened on September 16, the opportunity could already be passing.

Get Larry’s ticker before the Fed decision.

Regards,

Lauren Wingfield
Managing Editor, The Opportunistic Trader

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The ROI Open — Week in Review

The Market Priced a Rate Hike and Rallied Anyway

Volatility collapsed, an earnings-night price panic reversed itself, and next week’s Fed decision is now the single number that resolves both. Three signals from a week that didn’t behave the way the textbook says it should.

Markets are closed for the weekend, so this edition looks back at the signals from the week just finished, with the benefit of Friday’s full closing data that wasn’t available when we first flagged them.

ROI Signal 01 — Volatility got crushed on a report that raised rate-hike odds

Friday morning, this desk flagged a genuine anomaly: August CPI came in exactly at consensus (3.4% headline, 2.4% core), yet prediction markets pushed the odds of a Fed rate hike next week to roughly 70–79%, even as the 2-year Treasury yield fell. By Friday’s close, equities had resolved that tension toward relief: the S&P 500 closed up 0.86% at 7,656.98, the Dow up 0.98% at 52,573.29, the Nasdaq up 0.96% at 26,333.04, and the VIX — Wall Street’s fear gauge — fell 11.21% on the day.

A market that simultaneously prices higher hike odds and lower volatility is a market betting the Fed can raise rates without derailing growth. That is a specific, testable bet — and next week’s decision is the test.

ROI Signal 02 — Oracle’s earnings-night price panic fully reversed

Thursday night, Oracle’s post-earnings price action produced three conflicting data points within hours of each other: a regular-session close of $152.94, an immediate after-hours spike to $159.58, and a separate, much lower quote of $126.41 that we could not reconcile at the time. By Friday morning the stock had settled at $153.78 — within 1% of Thursday’s regular close, as if the entire after-hours episode, in both directions, never happened. The lesson holds regardless of which of Thursday night’s numbers was ever real: on a heavy-volume earnings night, wait for a full, liquid session before treating any single price as a verdict.

ROI Signal 03 — A beat-and-raise quarter still lost to the market

Kroger raised its full-year earnings guidance Friday morning and still fell 2.6% to $55.48 the same day the broader market rallied 0.86%. That is a roughly 3.5-percentage-point gap between one stock and the index on the same trading day — a reminder that a guidance raise is a promise about the future, and Friday’s sellers were pricing something else in the numbers underneath it. Full breakdown in today’s Performance Audit.

What the Numbers Actually Say

All three signals point to the same underlying condition: markets are currently pricing conflicting outcomes at the same time — a hike and calm, a panic and a shrug, a raised guide and a sell-off — and resolving each conflict quickly once more information arrives. That makes next week’s Fed decision unusually high-stakes: it is the one input all three signals are still waiting on.

Risk to the Return

If the Fed hikes and markets have genuinely priced it as calmly as Friday’s VIX drop suggests, the reaction should be muted. If the market’s relief rally was instead a bet the Fed holds, a real hike could reverse Friday’s gains quickly — the current Fed funds target sits at 3.5–3.75%, and every basis point of that decision now has a week of pent-up positioning behind it.

Next Week’s Measurement Point

The FOMC meets September 15–16, with its decision due Wednesday afternoon. Watch whether the outcome matches the roughly 70–79% hike odds priced into markets Friday, and whether the VIX stays near its post-CPI lows through the announcement.

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