For the last 78 years, one thing has predicted a bull market… With 100%
accuracy… The midterm election. It’s happened every time, since 1948. And some
studies show it going back to the 1800s. It doesn’t matter which party wins.




Sep 12, 2026 | Browser View
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Сⅼіϲkhеrе and I'll reveal the shocking details.
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Editor’s Note: Jason Bodner spent two decades on Wall Street. He placed huge
trades for the biggest funds and richest people on Earth. Along the way, he
built a tool that does one thing. It catches big firms quietly buying a stock —
before the rest of the market wakes up. Right now, it has flagged something
odd. BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, and Vanguard are sneaking cash into two
overlooked AI stocks. And they’re doing it before the November 3 election.Click
here for the details
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or read more below.


For the last 78 years, one thing has predicted a bull market…

With 100% accuracy…

The midterm election.

It’s happened every time, since 1948.

And some studies show it going back to the 1800s.

It doesn’t matter which party wins.

Or what the economic conditions are.

In war and in peace…

The 12 months following a midterm election are the most profitable.

In fact, post-midterm years beat the prior year 6-to-1.

And the S&P 500 averages 18% gains in post-midterm years.

Now, the Midterm Boom is set to happen again.

On November 3…

And a new set of stocks will leap to the front of the line.

Click here to find out more.
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Regards,

Jason Bodner
Founder, Outlier Intel

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Houthi forces seized a Red Sea island. Saudi Arabia's Hormuz-bypass pipeline
is offline. Both happened inside 48 hours.



RISK OPEN — Pre-Bell Briefing

Two Chokepoints Down. One Pipeline Offline.
In the span of 48 hours, Houthi forces captured Yemen's Mayun Island at the
mouth of the Red Sea, Saudi Arabia shut its 7-million-barrel-per-day pipeline
built specifically to bypass the Strait of Hormuz, and Fed rate-hike odds
jumped to nearly 86% — three signals that are, for the first time in this
cycle, all pointing the same direction.
Confirmed Thursday: multiple drone strikes hit Saudi Arabia's East-West
pipeline, known as Petroline, near Riyadh and Madinah, causing fires and
injuries. Saudi Arabia said the drones were launched from Iraq; Baghdad's prime
minister ordered an investigation and denied responsibility. The kingdom shut
the line "as a precautionary measure" while damage was assessed. Then, on
Saturday, Yemeni government and Houthi officials both confirmed Houthi forces
had seized Mayun Island — known historically as Perim — which controls the
entrance to the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, through which roughly 12% of world trade
passes. A Houthi military spokesman said shipping remained safe for "all
companies except for Saudi vessels." Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline was
built for exactly this scenario — a way to move crude to the Red Sea coast at
Yanbu without ever entering the Strait of Hormuz. With that pipeline now
offline and the Red Sea approach itself under Houthi control, both of Saudi
Arabia's non-Hormuz export options are compromised at the same time, for the
first time in this conflict.
Risk Signal 01 — Houthi forces now hold the gate to the Red Sea itself

Escalation
Mayun Island sits directly in the shipping lane at Bab el-Mandeb. Its capture
follows this week's seizure of the port of Mocha, and together the two give
Houthi forces effective control of Yemen's Red Sea coastline. Confirmed by
officials on both sides of the conflict; what is not yet confirmed is whether
the Houthis intend to selectively target Saudi-linked vessels, as their
spokesman claimed, or use the position more broadly — the distinction matters
enormously for insurers and shippers deciding routes this week.
Risk Signal 02 — The pipeline built to make Hormuz irrelevant is now the story

Transmission
Petroline's 7 million barrels per day of pumping capacity is exactly the kind
of infrastructure investors were told made Gulf oil exports "Hormuz-proof." Its
shutdown, however temporary, is a direct test of that assumption. Confirmable
fact: the shutdown was announced and drone debris has been documented near both
strike sites. Reported but unconfirmed: the precise extent of physical damage
and how long a full restart will take.
Risk Signal 03 — Rate-hike odds nearly doubled in a month

Pressure
Prediction markets priced a Fed rate hike at the September 15–16 meeting at
roughly 48% one month ago. As of Friday, that figure stood near 86%, driven by
hotter-than-expected core CPI, a stronger-than-forecast Producer Price Index,
and hawkish commentary tied to Fed governor Kevin Warsh. A hike arriving in the
same week as a fresh Middle East energy shock is a combination this
publication's readers have not seen priced together before.
Dominant Risk Classification
ESCALATION — for the first time in this conflict, both of Saudi Arabia's
non-Hormuz crude export options are impaired simultaneously, while a policy
tightening decision sits five days away.
What Markets May Be Missing
Friday's rally priced in relief from a report about a possible diplomatic
arrangement over Hormuz. Both the pipeline shutdown and the island seizure
happened after that rally closed. Monday's open is the first opportunity for
markets to price the weekend's developments, and the gap between Friday's
optimism and this weekend's facts on the ground is the thing worth watching
most closely.
Today's Confirmation Point
Watch for Saudi Arabia's own statement on Petroline's restart timeline and any
confirmation from Riyadh, rather than Houthi sources alone, on the status of
Mayun Island — official Saudi silence beyond "precautionary" language would
itself be a signal.



At Global Risk Axis, we write for people who think for themselves. Nothing
here replaces your own judgment — regulations prevent us from making it
personal, but that was never the point anyway.

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