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Number of the Day: 29 percent of voters believe worst of pandemic is behind us

September 10, 2020: Twenty-nine percent (29%) of registered voters now believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us. This matches the highest level yet measured in polls by Scott Rasmussen this year. The number holding that optimistic view has nearly doubled from the summer low recorded in July.[1]

The number who believe the worst is still to come is 49%. It’s the first time ever that number has remained below 50% in back-to-back weeks.[1]

Among likely voters, 32% believe the worst is behind us while 48% take the opposite view.[1]​​​​​​

However, there is a substantial gap between the views of red and blue state voters.

Blue state voters are far more pessimistic. In states where Democrats won by more than four points in 2016, 54% believe the worst is still to come while just 27% believe it is behind us.[1]

In red states, voters are evenly divided—38% say it’s behind us while 43% believe the worst is still to come.[1]

In the 10 purple states—decided by four points or less in 2016—32% believe the worst is behind us while 45% believe it is still to come.[1]

This is the first time we have measured the views of likely voters, but the trend lines among registered voters show a steadily declining level of pessimism.

The number who believe the worst is behind us is up two points from a week ago, up three from two weeks ago, and up nine from three weeks ago. It has nearly doubled from the 15% recorded in July.[1]

Scott Rasmussen has been tracking this question on a weekly basis and will continue to do so. Results in this feature are based upon a survey of 1,200 registered voters conducted September 3-5, 2020. The sample included 942 likely voters.[1]


Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology. Columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.

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Scott Rasmussen is an editor-at-large for Ballotpedia, the Encyclopedia of American Politics. He is a senior fellow for the study of self-governance at the King’s College in New York. His most recent book, Politics Has Failed: America Will Not, was published by the Sutherland Institute in August 2018.

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