| My name is Porter Stansberry.
And I’ve sounded the alarm for months now…
I’ve consistently warned that equities, especially those of the big tech companies, are grossly overvalued, saying: | | “Unless you know for certain that you can hold your investments, without fail, for the next decade at least, it’s time to sell… many of today’s top tech stocks will develop incredible products and grow revenue and profits substantially into the future.
But… the cheapest of these high-quality businesses is trading at 25 years’ worth of profits.
Most of this success has already been ‘priced in.’
I’m not saying stocks are going to crash tomorrow. But I think it’s very foolish to believe that stocks, on average, are likely to do well over the next decade.” | While I’ve never claimed to know exactly what would crash the market, I subscribe to Buffett’s adage that “a pin lies in wait for every bubble,” and for months now, there have been many pins lying in wait: Higher-for-longer interest rates, far stickier than expected inflation, weakening consumers, bankruptcies rising, geopolitical tensions, the looming threats of tariffs… The list goes on. But a potential new pin has blindsided Wall Street. As the news of DeepSeek’s new AI model dropped, the futures of almost every major chip manufacturer and AI stock saw a sharp sell-off: - Arm, $ARM: -5.5%
- Nvidia, $NVDA: -5.3%
- Broadcom, $AVGO: -4.9%
- Super Micro, $SMCI: -4.6%
- Taiwan Semi, $TSM: -4.5%
- Micron, $MU: -4.3%
- Qualcomm, $QCOM: -2.8%
- AMD, $AMD: -2.5%
- Intel, $INTC: -2.0%
Markets are now on track to wipe out over $1 trillion in value as investors are forced to recalibrate their assumptions around artificial intelligence. If you missed the story, DeepSeek is a Chinese startup that competes directly with OpenAI (ChatCPT) and other American AI companies. And at a time when the U.S. government and Wall Street is dumping hundreds of billions into AI development… DeepSeek shattered all their assumptions around the costs, resources, and requirements needed to train these models. You see, while OpenAI has raised more than $17.9 billion in funding since inception… DeepSeek built their model for just $10 million… with a team of just 200… and with chips that are far less advanced than those used by U.S. firms. This wasn’t meant to be possible… It’s like the guy who brought a knife to a gun fight actually winning. And Wall Street is spooked because as Fred Hickey, the editor of The High-Tech Strategist warns: | | “DeepSeek has the potential to disrupt current leaders in the Generative AI/search space.
Obsolescence is a regular occurrence in the tech sector – the list of faded but once seemingly omnipotent tech star companies is long.
During tech bubbles, investors tend to forget about the risks and grossly overpay for the stocks – as they have today. Hard lessons typically follow.” | While it’s far too early to tell what the long-term impact of DeepSeek will be on the artificial intelligence market and valuations of U.S. tech stocks, investors are running around like headless chickens this morning. At Porter & Co., we’re not worried though. Not only did we recently exit a number of our tech and AI recommendations (for a significant profit) due to our concerns around valuations… but we’ve also identified a far bigger story. It’s the story that underpins all the technological advancements we’ve seen over the last several years… yet you’ve likely never heard of it before. That’s because everyone has been too distracted by the mania around AI, the blockchain, and Bitcoin to connect the dots on what’s really happening. Here’s what you need to know though: behind all of the hype of AI, ChatGPT, and large language models… there is a far more important story unfolding, one that could make early investors a fortune. However, outside of the labs in the world’s most prestigious universities and tech companies, almost nobody knows what’s going on. But those who do, those who can see the writing on the wall, they’re investing billions of dollars, as they know this could potentially transform everything. The story revolves around a new technology that is the cornerstone all our recent innovations have been built on… and that the future could be built upon too. Every technological advancement we have seen over the last several years relies on this new cornerstone technology: OpenAI’s ChatGPT… Tesla’s self-driving cars… Boston Dynamics robots… Zuckerberg’s Metaverse… AstraZeneca’s accelerated drug discovery… without this technology, none of this would have been possible. But all of this is only a taste of what’s coming… Healthcare, biotech, automotive, AI, manufacturing, cybersecurity, banking, construction, and finance… almost every sector of the economy is adopting this technology. And I want to show you how to navigate this new era. Because while the future of this new technology is written in stone… the road ahead is bumpy and paved with hazards. And in a mirror of every big tech revolution… whether it was the railroads in the 1800s or the dot-com boom in the late 90s…although investing in the underlying trend was the right thing to do… If you owned the wrong companies – or bought the right companies at the wrong time – you would have been wiped out. That’s why, in my new presentation, I’ll name the companies you need to know about – both the ones to own and the ones to avoid. And no, you won’t have to become one of my customers to take advantage of this. I’ll lay it all out for you right here. So whether you are enriched or impoverished during this new era, it all comes down to what you do today. I hope you take the time to watch my exposé. It could be the most important financial decision you make. Just click here when you’re ready. Good investing, Porter Stansberry | | | | If you no longer wish to receive this offer, please click here to unsubscribe. | |
| Today's Market Update For You | | Vietnam's FTSE Reclassification From Frontier to Secondary Emerging Market Takes Effect September 21 — Ending an Eight-Year Watchlist Process — With $1.5 Billion in Initial Passive Inflows and Up to $6 Billion in Total Potential Capital as the Saudi 2019 Precedent Suggests the Active Fund Repricing Has Only Started | FTSE Russell confirmed on April 7, 2026 that Vietnam would be reclassified from frontier market to secondary emerging market status within the FTSE Global Equity Index Series, effective September 21, 2026, ending an eight-year watchlist period that began in 2018. The upgrade was conditioned on Vietnam's implementation of a global broker model that eliminated the full pre-funding requirement for foreign equity trades — the final structural impediment that had blocked the reclassification through multiple prior review cycles. Approximately $18 trillion in assets are benchmarked to FTSE Russell indices; when Vietnam enters the FTSE Emerging Index at an estimated weight of 0.22%, passive funds tracking that index must purchase Vietnamese equities in proportion to that weight regardless of their managers' views on individual securities. MBS Securities estimated that passive inflows from FTSE-tracking ETFs will reach approximately $1.5 billion during the September rebalancing — the first of four tranches scheduled through September 2027 — with total potential inflows up to $6 billion when active fund repositioning is included. Approximately 30 Vietnamese stocks are expected to enter the global index basket, led by Vingroup (VIC), which is forecast to receive the largest single inflow of approximately $46.4 million during the September rebalancing.
The historical precedent that gives the inflow estimate its fuller scope is Saudi Arabia's 2019 FTSE inclusion. Saudi Arabia entered the FTSE Emerging Index at a significantly larger initial weight than Vietnam's projected 0.22%, but the pattern of capital movement that followed — foreign ownership of Saudi equities quadrupling from $23 billion at year-end 2018 to $97.5 billion by Q3 2023 — illustrates that index inclusion is not a point event but a multi-year capital migration. Active emerging market funds, which track indices as a benchmark rather than a rule, had been structurally underweight Vietnam when it sat in the frontier tier — because frontier-market exposure is not part of most emerging market mandates, even on an active basis. The reclassification creates an active fund positioning obligation that is independent of the passive mechanics: any active EM fund that was not already holding Vietnamese equities must now choose between underweighting the benchmark or initiating positions, and that decision process across hundreds of EM funds produces the inflow tail that extends well beyond the mechanical ETF rebalancing. | | Vietnam FTSE Upgrade — Key Parameters | Effective Date / Index Weight Sep 21 / 0.22% FTSE Emerging Index weight; 0.34% in FTSE Emerging All Cap; 4-tranche inclusion over 12 months |
| September Tranche / Total Potential $1.5B / $6B Sep 2026: 10% of full weight; Mar '27: 30%; Jun '27: 65%; Sep '27: 100% full inclusion |
| Watchlist Duration 8 years (2018–2026) Final condition: global broker model eliminating full pre-funding for foreign equity trades |
| Saudi Arabia 2019 Precedent Foreign ownership 4× in 5 yrs $23B at year-end 2018 → $97.5B by Q3 2023; active fund repositioning drove the multi-year tail |
| | | Why Index Inclusion Is a Multi-Year Event, Not a Point-in-Time Trade | | Passive Mechanics (Near-Term, Knowable) | Active Fund Dynamics (Multi-Year, Larger) | | | FTSE-tracking ETFs must buy at the rebalancing — rules-based, non-discretionary | Active EM funds benchmarked to FTSE Emerging must now choose to hold or accept tracking error | | $1.5B in September inflows — 10% of full weight; three more tranches through Sep 2027 | Funds that were frontier-underweight must initiate positions across months, not in one session | | Concentrated in ~30 large-cap stocks; Vingroup, Vinhomes, Masan, SHB, SSI lead estimates | MSCI EM upgrade (2028 target) would add a second, larger passive wave and reset the thesis again | | $6B total potential — largely passive; Saudi showed active flows can multiply that base 5–10× | Vietnam's market liquidity constraints mean absorbing $6B+ over 12 months requires orderly conditions — a risk factor the phased inclusion was designed to manage | | Index inclusion creates a structural buy mandate — the passive mechanics are the floor, not the ceiling, of the capital flows that follow reclassification. | | The four-tranche phased inclusion schedule — September 2026 at 10%, March 2027 at 30%, June 2027 at 65%, September 2027 at 100% — was designed to allow Vietnam's market infrastructure time to absorb the capital inflows without creating the price dislocation that simultaneous full inclusion would produce in a market whose daily turnover in the largest names remains materially below global emerging market peers. For investors, the phased structure creates an unusual characteristic: the biggest inflows are not in September but in the subsequent three tranches, giving early positioning the longest runway to benefit from the mechanical buying. The analogy to Saudi Arabia also extends to what follows index inclusion: when MSCI reclassified Saudi Arabia in 2019, the combination of FTSE and MSCI inclusion created a compounding structural bid that sustained foreign ownership growth for years. Vietnam's MSCI EM upgrade has a working target of 2028 — meaning the FTSE upgrade this month opens the first chapter of a capital reallocation story that may have several more chapters ahead.
Sources: Vietnam Briefing · Vietnam News · Viettonkin Consulting · The Vietnam Yield · Funds Global Asia | | |
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