By Robert Romano

President Donald Trump has received a definite bump in polls following the presidential nominating conventions, including his acceptance speech for the Republican nomination at the White House on Aug. 27.

The latest NBC-Marist poll conducted Aug. 31 to Sept. 6 shows President Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden tied in Florida, 48 percent to 48 percent.

Trafalgar Group shows Trump leading Biden among likely voters in Florida, 49 percent to 46 percent in a poll conducted Sept. 1 to Sept. 3. That’s a marked improvement from Trafalgar’s poll taken June 29 to July 2, that showed the race tied 46 percent to 46 percent.

CNBC-Change Research had Biden up 6 points in Florida in early August, 50 percent to 44 percent, but by Aug. 21 to Aug. 23, right after the Democratic National Convention and Biden’s Aug. 20 acceptance speech, the lead had narrowed to 49 percent to 46 percent.

Quinnipiac had Biden leading by 13 points in Florida July 16 to July 20, 51 percent to 38 percent, but by Aug. 28 to Sept. 1, the lead in the polls was down to just 3 points: 48 percent to 45 percent.

That’s a lot of volatility, but in each instance, the President’s standing has improved from either being tied or behind, to leading or effectively tied. And that’s just in Florida as a similar story emerges in other battleground states.

In Pennsylvania, Susquehanna had Biden up by 6 points in April, 48 percent to 42 percent. Then the lead was down to 5 points in June, 46 percent to 41 percent. And now, on Aug. 26 to Sept. 4, the lead was just 2 points, 44 percent to 42 percent.

Similarly, Rasmussen Reports had Biden up by 5 points in Pennsylvania in July, 51 percent to 46 percent. And then on Aug. 25 to Aug. 27, the race was tied at 46 percent to 46 percent.

Monmouth had Biden up by 10 points in July in Pennsylvania in July, 52 percent to 42 percent. And now the lead has shrunk to 3 points on Aug. 28 to Sept. 1, 49 percent to 46 percent.

Elsewhere, in Michigan, Trafalgar had Biden up a point 46 percent to 45 percent. On Aug. 14 to Aug. 23, the race had flipped, with Trump leading 47 percent to 45 percent.

And so, just like that — and not unlike 2016 when polls had Hillary Clinton leading by double digits over the summer that turned out to all be wrong — in the post-convention environment, Biden and Trump are in a veritable horse race, neck-in-neck — right on schedule — as the nation rapidly approaches the first debate on Sept. 29.

In 2016, in Florida, polls underreported Trump support by 2 percentage points, in North Carolina by 3.3 points, in Ohio by 5.5 points, in Pennsylvania by 3.5 points and Michigan by 4.1 points.

A good reason why may be because Trump voters are more likely to hide their affiliation. A study from CloudResearch “show a greater reluctance on the part of Republicans, Independents and Trump voters to disclose their opinions.” 10.1 percent of Trump supporters said they were likely to be untruthful on phone surveys versus 5.1 percent of Biden supporters. Meaning, any polls we’re reading might now might need to be handicapped to Trump’s advantage.

Overall, 11.7 percent of Republicans saying they would not report their true opinions about voter preference versus just 5.4 percent of Democrats. 10.5 percent of independents said they might not report their true opinion.

President Trump reacted to the latest polls on Twitter as he began a multi-state swing on the campaign trail in Florida and then North Carolina, writing, “The Real Polls are starting to look GREAT! We will be having an even bigger victory than that of 2016. The Radical Left Anarchists, Agitators, Looters, and just plain Lunatics, will not be happy, but they will behave!”

Meaning, following Biden’s lackluster virtual convention and Trump’s triumphant celebration of his first term in office at the White House last month — plus the ongoing anti-police riots in America’s cities — Biden has definitely lost ground as the President’s reelection bid gains momentum. Stay tuned. This is just getting interesting.

Robert Romano is the Vice President of Public Policy at Americans for Limited Government.

To view online: http://dailytorch.com/2020/09/polls-tighten-in-battleground-states-after-president-trump-gets-big-post-convention-bump/

Video: Kamala Cozy with China?

 

To view online: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SrAnWrGrPPE

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Video: Are voters sure they want more Obama-Biden? We remember what it was like the last time.

 

To view online: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pFYHtVWMJW0

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Kamala Has Got Some Explaining to do About Family Business Deals with China

Sept. 8, 2020, Fairfax, Va.—Americans for Limited Government President Rick Manning issued the following statement regarding a media report tying Kamala Harris’s husband to potentially shady Chinese business deals in the United States:

“Democrat vice presidential nominee Kamala Harris has some serious questions to answer about her family’s business dealings with China.

“Her husband, Douglas Emhoff, is a partner in DLA Piper’s Intellectual Property and Technology practice, a firm with extensive ties to China.

“Given that China’s intellectual property theft is one of our primary trade issues, it is disconcerting, at best, if her husband has been assisting the Communist Chinese Party in getting around our patent laws.

“What’s more, DLA Piper is directly involved in the financial integration of the United States with China at a time when Americans are demanding that supply chains for items like pharmaceutical products be brought home from China and that our retirement  accounts and other individual investments be protected from unsafe Chinese assets.

“Harris must provide a full and complete disclosure of her personal ties to Beijing, as China continues its efforts to not only influence U.S. public policy but to achieve economic and military dominance over the United States and indeed the world.”

To view online: https://getliberty.org/2020/09/kamala-has-got-some-explaining-to-do-about-family-business-deals-with-china/

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ALG Editor’s Note: In the following featured report from the Washington Free Beacon’s Alana Goodman, former White House stenographer Mike McCormick says that former Vice President Joe Biden is simply “not the same Joe Biden” anymore:

‘Not The Same Joe Biden’: White House Stenographer Says Former VP's 'Mental Acuity' Has Deteriorated

By Alana Goodman

Joe Biden’s former White House stenographer said the vice president’s public speaking ability has deteriorated significantly since leaving office to the point where he’s "not the same Joe Biden."

"It is a complete difference from what he was in 2017," Mike McCormick, who worked as a White House stenographer for 15 years and with Biden from 2011 to 2017, told the Washington Free Beacon in an interview. "He’s lost a step and he doesn’t seem to have the same mental acuity as he did four years ago."

"He doesn’t have the energy, he doesn’t have the pace of his speaking," McCormick said. "He’s a different guy."

McCormick’s recent book Joe Biden Unauthorized recounts his time working with Biden and takes a critical look at the former vice president, including the time he says Biden was "humiliated"  by Russia's Vladimir Putin in 2011.

McCormick—who often traveled with Biden and transcribed his speeches, public conversations with foreign leaders, and off-the-record media briefings for the official White House record—said the vice president had a talent for connecting with audiences when he was in office and almost always veered off script from his pre-written speeches. Biden’s physical stamina and cognitive health have come under scrutiny during the 2020 election, due to a series of speaking appearances in which the 77-year-old has appeared to lose his train of thought, struggled to finish a sentence, or forgotten where he is.

"He’d just make a big joke out of it, and go straight from the hip. And notice, he’s not doing that anymore," he said. "He read that [Democratic National Committee speech] verbatim … it’s not Joe Biden anymore."

To view online: https://freebeacon.com/2020-election/not-the-same-joe-biden-white-house-stenographer-says-former-vps-mental-acuity-has-deteriorated/

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