Also: Atlantic Hurricanes and Social Media Use

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Happy Thursday! In today’s newsletter, we examine the impact of family structure on student success, what El Niño means for hurricane season, and the effect of social media on teen girls.

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1. The Missing Stat: Family Structure and Student Success ([link removed] )

Children from non-intact or unmarried-parent households are 13 percent less likely to earn A’s and B’s or better than peers from intact, married-parent families are. The National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) collects data on family structure but fails to report it, even though it predicts student success better than measures of income or race. AEI’s Ian V. Rowe and Brad Wilcox warn ([link removed] ) , “This omission deprives policymakers, educators, professionals, and parents of valuable insights into one of the most powerful predictors of academic success.”

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More on Family Structure
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2. How Gender and Tech Shape the Teenage Experience ([link removed] )

According to data from AEI’s Survey Center on American Life, less than half of teen girls who spend at least four hours a day on social media report feeling excited about life, compared with 67 percent who spend less than one hour. There is a clear negative association between heavy social media use and personal and social outcomes for teen girls, unlike for teen boys. AEI’s Daniel A. Cox notes ([link removed] ) , “If teenage years once represented a time of rebellion, teenagers’ lives today are marked less by pushing boundaries and more by building their own.”

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More on Social Media Use
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3. What El Niño Could Mean for Hurricane Season ([link removed] )

La Niña years see US hurricane losses exceed $10 billion about 52 percent of the time, compared with just 29 percent during El Niño years. With the current pattern, an El Niño year points to a quieter Atlantic hurricane season, though it is no guarantee. AEI’s Roger Pielke Jr. explains ([link removed] ) , “For decision-makers who act on probabilistic information—reinsurers and commodity brokers among them—a developing strong El Niño has a signal in the Atlantic basin with economic value.”

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More on El Niño
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Dive into More Data

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The Issue of Air-Conditioning in Europe ([link removed] )

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Special thanks to Hannah Bowen, Alex Stamell, and Drew Kirkpatrick.

Thanks for reading. We will be back with more data next Thursday!

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