John,
Prediction market Kalshi just launched its live Senate forecast, and the outlook is great for Democrats.
Maine and Michigan Lean Democratic, and Nebraska Leans Republican, leaving Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas as Toss-ups.
According to the Kalshi forecast, if the election were to happen today, Democrats would narrowly Flip the Senate by holding every Democratic seat while flipping Alaska, Maine, North Carolina, and Ohio.
While it’s still a coin toss, thanks to your continued support, the odds continue to shift in our direction.
Can you chip in $4 (or more) right now to help us meet our end-of-month fundraising goal and keep up the momentum? A generous group of donors is TRIPLE-MATCHING every dollar up to $100,000 through the end of the month.
If you've saved your payment information with ActBlue Express, your donation will go through immediately:
Prediction markets like Kalshi aggregate thousands of predictions from people who follow campaigns, insiders, and polls, who often spot momentum shifts before mainstream headlines.
When markets show red states like Alaska and Iowa within reach, it means the map is truly opening up for Democrats — but Trump and Republican Leadership will respond with big spending and aggressive ad campaigns.
This is a pivotal moment.
If we act now, we can ensure that this momentum shift doesn’t go to waste.
If we wait, the window will close — and so will our best chance to take the majority.
Will you rush a gift today so we can scale our programs in the states that matter most and Flip the Senate? Your impact will be QUADRUPLED for a limited time.
Thanks,
Flip the Senate
