Democrats are wary of a 2016 repeat as Trump tries to divert attention from coronavirus pandemic
By one significant measure alone — the cratered economy — history shows that President Trump’s reelection is a long shot. Think Jimmy Carter in 1980 and George H.W. Bush in 1992. Pile on widespread civil unrest and the deadliest pandemic in a century, two crises most Americans believe he has handled poorly, and by traditional standards Trump should be toast this November.

Yet as the party conventions wrapped up last week and the fall campaign (such as it is, with coronavirus still raging) is set to begin, Democrats feel anything but confident in the outcome even though their nominee, Joe Biden, remains solidly ahead in the polls. To them, Trump looms like some horror movie villain who just keeps coming no matter how much is thrown at him.

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