The party out of the White House usually picks up seats, but it isn’t a sure thing.
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Karl’s Latest in the Wall Street Journal


Who Has the Midterm Upper Hand?

The party out of the White House usually picks up seats, but it isn’t a sure thing.

Karl Rove
Jul 16
 
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While a few primaries are still ahead, each party’s fall lineup is coming into focus. Republicans should have four things going for them, Democrats five.

The first Republican advantage is the political map. The 35 Senate seats up this year (including two special elections) are mostly in Southern, Midwestern and Rocky Mountain states where Democrats are weak. To hold their majority Republicans must defend incumbents in Maine, Ohio and Alaska and hold on to open seats in North Carolina, Texas and Iowa. The likelihood of Democrats grabbing the four seats they need to take control of the Senate is slim, especially with GOP pickup opportunities in Michigan and New Hampshire.

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Polling News and Notes

Democrats’ DSA Problem

July 16, 2026

Nearly one-third of Democrats like a political leader who identifies as a Democratic Socialist, a new Pew Research Center poll found. This reflects recent Democrat primaries that produced problematic candidates for the general election, like in Colorado’s 8th congressional district. It’s also a warning sign to the Democratic Party if it hopes to increase its chances at winning control of the U.S. House and Senate.

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On the Air

Karl Rove: Democrats Who Oppose The DSA Are The Party’s ‘Most LOYAL’ Voters

July 2, 2026

Fox News contributor Karl Rove analyzes a Pew Research survey revealing support for democratic socialist leaders among Democrats on 'America Reports.

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Upcoming TV Appearances

America Reports

Friday, July 17, 2026 | 1:00 PM ET

The Story with Martha MacCallum

Monday, July 20, 2026 | 3:00 PM ET

America’s Newsroom

Tuesday, July 21, 2026 | 9:00 AM ET

Kilmeade & Friends

Wednesday, July 22, 2026 | 11:00 AM ET

America’s Newsroom

Thursday, July 23, 2026 | 9:00 AM ET


This Week’s Recommended Readings

#WTH How to negotiate with Tehran

Danielle Pletka | WTH is Going On?

July 15, 2026

When Donald Trump tore up the JCPOA — the Iran nuclear deal inked by Barack Obama — he made clear that he thought his predecessor had been taken. Perhaps the details of Obama’s concessions to the Iranian regime were foggy to the new President, but he sensed that the United States had given too much for too little. He was right, and it’s edifying to understand why Team Obama was indeed outmanned by Tehran.

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Barrett and Kagan’s Safety Plea Exposes the Left’s War on the Supreme Court

John Yoo | American Enterprise Institute

July 15, 2026

“Maybe I lack imagination, but I didn’t expect that performing this service was going to put me in the position of explaining to my children what a bulletproof vest was and why I had to wear one,” Justice Amy Coney Barrett told Congress on Monday.

Justice Barrett was explaining in vivid terms why the Supreme Court had requested an additional $14.6 million, as part of its $228 million budget request, for enhanced security.

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Ro Khanna’s Rude Awakening

Eli Lake | The Free Press

July 15, 2026

Winston Churchill remarked in 1940 that an appeaser is one who feeds a crocodile in the hopes that it will eat him last. On Tuesday, Rep. Ro Khanna proved the great man’s point yet again in an appearance on the Drop Site News podcast.

Like seemingly almost everything in American politics this year, the conversation was all about Gaza. The interview with one of the most pro-Hamas outlets in U.S. media should have been a victory lap for Khanna, who last week grabbed headlines for a stunt where he claimed he was detained by the Israel Defense Forces after local settlers pulled over his entourage in a once-restricted area of the West Bank.

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⭑ America 250 ⭑

Why We Love This Country

The Free Press

July 2, 2026

A year ago we kicked off America at 250, a celebration of where we’ve come from, where we are, and where we’re going. We’ve spent the past 12 months making the case why this is still the greatest country on Earth. On the eve of the semiquincentennial, we’re rounding out the series by asking our writers and columnists a simple question: What’s your favorite thing about America? —The Editors

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This Week’s Recommended Podcast

America’s Iran Problem Isn’t Going Away, with Mike Doran

Aaron MacLean | The Free Press

Mike Doran, senior fellow and director of the Center for Peace and Security in the Middle East at the Hudson Institute, returns to School of War to examine why the war with Iran continues despite devastating military setbacks for Tehran. Is President Trump’s Iran strategy truly different from President Obama’s, or are the similarities overstated? What does the fight over the Strait of Hormuz reveal about the limits of American power? And what does this war tell us about the future of U.S. strategy in the Middle East—and its broader competition with China?

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