August 27, 2020: Regardless of who they want to win in November, 45% of registered voters nationwide believe that Democrat Joe Biden will emerge victoriously. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 40% disagree and believe Republican Donald Trump will be the victor. Two percent (2%) think someone else will win it all while 12% are not sure.[1]

The survey was conducted after the Democratic National Convention and before the Republican National Convention.

Looking back, responses have been trending in Biden's direction for some time. During 2019, a majority of voters expected Trump to be re-elected. That was before the pandemic and the lockdowns. In late June, voters were evenly divided about who would win—42% picked Biden and 42% Trump.[1]

Eight-out-of-ten Democrats expect Biden to win while eight-out-of-ten Republicans expect Trump to be re-elected. Among unaffiliated voters, 39% pick Biden and 35% Trump.[1]

We will repeat the question next week to see if there is any impact from the GOP convention.

Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology. Columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.

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