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Dear Members and Friends,
In our mission to illuminate, elevate, and educate, we are honored to announce a new MDAA series.
Our latest MDAA report in our spotlight series focuses on Russia's Geran Family of Attack Drones and their advancing capabilities
Key Points
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The Geran is a mass weapon, not a precision one. Its operational value comes from volume and cost asymmetry — launched in the hundreds to exhaust air defenses — rather than from accuracy or sophistication.
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Wartime employment of the Geran has scaled by roughly two orders of magnitude. From a handful of imported drones in late 2022 to a reported ~57,000 cumulative launches by March 2026, with daily strike-drone averages exceeding 130 and single-night salvos often surpassing 700 aerial weapons.
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The Geran is the foundational component of a layered strike doctrine. It is routinely combined with Gerbera or Italmas decoys and with cruise and ballistic missiles to fragment, saturate, and exhaust Ukrainian defenses.
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The Geran family is iterating faster than the defense. Heavier warheads, jam-resistant Kometa navigation, Starlink control, AI-assisted seekers, air-to-air variants, and jet-powered Geran-3/4/5 models have all reached the battlefield, eroding Ukraine’s high interception rates against Russian attack drones in 2024.
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Cost asymmetry is the strategic core. A Geran attack drone costing tens of thousands of dollars routinely draws interceptors costing many times more, making sustained defense cost prohibitive and offering a template Russia could apply against NATO.
Click here to read the full report.
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