Dear Reader,
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Regards,
Joel Litman
Chief Investment Officer, Altimetry
Submitted by Jeffrey Neal Johnson. First Published: 5/6/2026.
A blowout first-quarter performance from Pinterest (NYSE: PINS) sent shares up almost 8%, signaling that the company's multi-year transition from a digital discovery tool to a commercial shopping platform is gaining traction. Pinterest posted strong top-line growth and a solid beat on profitability estimates, supported by record user engagement and the maturation of its artificial intelligence (AI)-driven advertising technology. For investors, this operational momentum, combined with a disciplined capital allocation strategy, strengthens the case for Pinterest as a compelling Growth at a Reasonable Price (GARP) play within the competitive digital advertising sector.
Pinterest's Q1 2026 results offered a clear signal that its monetization engine is beginning to fully reflect the strength of its user base. Pinterest delivered revenue of $1.01 billion, an 18% year-over-year (YOY) increase that surpassed consensus estimates.
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Get three stock picks and one free ticker symbol right nowThis acceleration was driven by more than just a larger audience; it also reflected more effective commercialization. Global Monthly Active Users (MAUs) reached an all-time high of 631 million, marking the 10th consecutive quarter of double-digit user growth.
Critically, Pinterest is converting this engagement into revenue more efficiently. Global Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) climbed 6% to $1.61. The gains were more pronounced in developed markets, with the U.S. and Canada growing ARPU by 9% and Europe by 17%, indicating that recent ad-tech enhancements are resonating most where advertiser budgets are largest.
While Pinterest reported a GAAP net loss of $74 million, its focus on operational efficiency is clear. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) reached $207 million, and robust free cash flow of $312 million highlights a healthy underlying business model. Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of 27 cents decisively beat the analyst consensus of 22 cents.
The catalyst behind this improved performance is twofold: a smarter, AI-powered ad platform and a strategic restructuring of its go-to-market organization.
Pinterest is leveraging its unique dataset, the Taste Graph built on billions of user pins, to train proprietary AI models that deliver superior advertiser return on investment (ROI). The recent deployment of PinRec, a generative retrieval system, improved search fulfillment by 180 basis points while reducing Cost Per Action (CPA) and Cost Per Click (CPC) for advertisers by a similar margin.
Furthermore, its automated ad suite, Pinterest Performance+, now accounts for approximately 30% of lower-funnel ad revenue, with adopters increasing their spend at nearly twice the rate of non-adopters. This demonstrates tangible product-market fit, reducing friction and improving outcomes for advertisers while encouraging them to consolidate ad spend on the platform.
The platform's internal sales structure is undergoing a critical evolution under Chief Business Officer Lee Brown. The organization is shifting from a traditional upper-funnel brand awareness focus to a full-funnel performance model, supported by AI tooling and a sharper accountability structure.
This operational pivot is crucial for diversifying Pinterest's revenue base. Management noted that while its largest retail partners still face margin pressure from tariffs, this headwind was more than offset by accelerating growth from mid-market and small-to-medium-sized business (SMB) clients in Q1, a direct result of the new, more scalable sales approach.
Beyond its internal execution, Pinterest appears poised to benefit from broader market and demographic shifts. As advertisers grow more cautious about brand safety on other social platforms, Pinterest's highly moderated, positive environment offers a structural advantage.
A significant demographic shift further amplifies this advantage: Gen Z now represents the platform's largest and fastest-growing cohort, accounting for over 50% of the user base. This migration is partially attributed to Pinterest's proactive safety measures, such as making user accounts under 16 private by default, a policy that attracts safety-conscious brands looking to reach this key demographic and siphons ad dollars away from less secure platforms.
The investment thesis is further supported by an aggressive and shareholder-friendly capital allocation strategy. Since the start of the year, Pinterest has repurchased approximately $2 billion of its own stock at a weighted average price of $18 per share. This action, part of a board-authorized $3.5 billion program, has already reduced the total number of shares outstanding by roughly 16%, providing a direct mechanical lift to EPS. Such a substantial buyback signals management's confidence and provides a valuation floor for the stock.
Pinterest's Q1 results validate its strategic pivot toward becoming an indispensable tool for visual discovery and commerce. The combination of a growing, engaged user base and an increasingly efficient, AI-driven ad platform creates a compelling narrative. While investors should remain mindful of ongoing macroeconomic pressures on the retail sector and Pinterest's journey toward consistent GAAP profitability, the current trajectory points toward sustained growth.
Investors aligned with GARP principles may find the combination of accelerating monetization, a reasonable valuation, and aggressive capital returns to be an attractive entry point. Those focused on the ad-tech sector could monitor continued adoption of Performance+ and ARPU growth in international markets as key performance indicators. Cautious investors might prefer to see evidence of a stabilized environment for Pinterest's largest retail advertisers before committing capital.
Reported by Jeffrey Neal Johnson. Published: 5/8/2026.
Recent headlines about a dual acquisition spree have sparked fresh interest in German software giant SAP SE (NYSE: SAP), lifting the stock after a solid Q1 earnings report initially failed to gain much traction with investors.
SAP announced the acquisitions of data lakehouse platform Dremio and tabular AI model developer Prior Labs, supported by a significant new investment. The move appears to be a direct and aggressive effort to dominate the enterprise artificial intelligence (AI) landscape.
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👉 Unlock the ticker now and get it completely free.At first glance, the market may have viewed this as a simple capability upgrade. But the strategic implications run much deeper. SAP is not just buying technology; it is building a fortified data moat, using regulatory tailwinds and its formidable balance sheet to create a closed ecosystem. For investors, that distinction is critical when evaluating SAP’s long-term position against legacy competitors and emerging AI startups.
SAP’s latest moves signal a clear pivot from participating in the AI race to trying to own the foundational layer of enterprise intelligence. The company plans to invest more than one billion euros, or approximately $1.08 billion, to establish a European frontier AI lab centered on the Prior Labs acquisition.
The lab will focus exclusively on tabular foundation models, the type of AI best suited for the structured numerical data that powers global finance, supply chains, and human resources. This is a precision strike aimed at the core of enterprise operations rather than a broad pursuit of large language model capabilities.
At the same time, the acquisition of Dremio provides the critical infrastructure needed to feed those models. A data lakehouse architecture combines the vast, low-cost storage of a data lake with the management and querying capabilities of a data warehouse.
For SAP’s clients, that means better access to massive, complex datasets in real time without costly data migration. Together, these acquisitions create a powerful vertically integrated stack: Dremio gathers and prepares the data, and Prior Labs’ specialized AI models generate insights from it, all within SAP’s ecosystem. The strategy appears designed to make leaving SAP’s environment for analytics and AI functions prohibitively complex and expensive.
This M&A strategy is not a speculative bet funded by debt; it is supported by strong operating performance. SAP’s Q1 2026 results provided the fundamental tailwind for these moves, with cloud revenue climbing 27% year over year. SAP posted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.99, beating consensus estimates of $1.92 and underscoring continued momentum in its shift to a recurring-revenue model.
More importantly, SAP generated €3.2 billion, or approximately $3.46 billion, in free cash flow during the quarter. That liquidity, bolstered by a €135 million, or approximately $146 million, reduction in share-based compensation, gives management the flexibility to fund its billion-euro AI investment without straining the balance sheet or compromising shareholder returns. In fact, SAP recently increased its dividend by over 15%, now offering an annual payout of about $2.92 per share and a yield of around 1.6%, subject to currency fluctuations. This combination of aggressive growth investment and disciplined capital returns presents a compelling case in the high-valuation tech sector.
A critical, and perhaps underappreciated, catalyst for SAP’s strategy is the shifting regulatory landscape in Europe. Enforcement of the EU AI Act imposes strict data sovereignty and liability requirements on companies deploying AI systems, particularly those considered high risk. SAP’s move to block unauthorized third-party AI agents and implement a more restrictive API policy, which drew criticism from user groups, can be viewed through this regulatory lens.
By creating a walled garden, SAP is not just locking out competitors; it is offering enterprise clients a ready-made path to AI compliance. That positions SAP as a secure harbor in a complex regulatory environment, leveraging the EU AI Act as a powerful non-technical moat.
For large European corporations facing the dual pressures of digital transformation and regulatory scrutiny, adopting SAP’s integrated, compliant AI stack may become the path of least resistance. However, investors should note that this strategy carries execution risk, as near-term customer friction could temper enthusiasm if the long-term benefits are not communicated effectively. Management alluded to this in its forward guidance, which pointed to potential quarter-specific effects that could slightly decelerate cloud backlog growth.
Despite its aggressive AI pivot and strong fundamentals, SAP SE trades at a valuation that appears reasonable compared with its peers. With a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 21, SAP presents a more value-oriented profile than most of its competitors.
Analyst sentiment remains constructive, with a consensus Moderate Buy rating and an average price target of $288, suggesting meaningful upside from its current trading price of around $172. The data support a thesis that SAP is successfully strengthening its entrenched position, making it a potentially safer long-term enterprise AI investment than more speculative, high-growth startups with unproven paths to profitability.
For investors, the central question is one of time horizon. Those with a long-term outlook may see the current strategy as a decisive move to secure enterprise software revenue over the next decade. Cautious investors, however, may prefer to wait for the successful integration of the new assets and a stabilization in cloud growth before increasing their exposure.