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Could RH’s Recent 40% Slide Represent a Buying Opportunity?

Reported by Jennifer Ryan Woods. Posted: 4/27/2026.

RH (NYSE: RH), formerly known as Restoration Hardware, has struggled for years and recently suffered another sharp decline, with shares falling nearly 40% over the past three months. Still, Wall Street sees significant upside, leaving investors to weigh whether the current price is a buying opportunity.

Shares of the luxury retailer peaked above $700 in mid-2021 during the pandemic boom before giving back much of those gains. By mid-2022 the stock had dropped below $230. It remained volatile in the years that followed, rebounding above $450 in early 2025 before reversing course again. Since that peak, shares have fallen roughly 70% and are currently trading in the high $130s.

Q4 Results Miss EPS and Revenue Expectations

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The stock took another hit this year after the company's fourth-quarter earnings report on March 31, which sent shares down more than 19%. Year to date, the stock is down roughly 23%.

For the quarter, RH reported earnings of $1.53 per share, down from $1.58 a year earlier and well below analyst expectations of $2.21. Revenue of about $843 million was up nearly 4% year over year but missed estimates by roughly $31 million. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 17.7%.

The report continued a pattern of inconsistent results. Earnings have missed estimates in six of the past eight quarters and revenue has fallen short in five of those periods.

Discussing the results, Chief Executive Gary Friedman pointed to a difficult backdrop. "We're compounding clutter from tariffs, global discord as a result of war, and the most dire housing market in decades, which can make it difficult to separate the signal from the noise," he said.

Margins Pressured by Investment Spending and Tariffs

Margins were a key focus on the earnings call, though Friedman said the pressure was "somewhat disconnected and unrelated from the demand."

He described 2025 as a "peak investment year" for RH, with $289 million in adjusted capital expenditures tied to global expansion and an additional $37 million spent to acquire three trade-focused brands ahead of the launch of RH Estates. The company expects RH Estates, which will focus on traditional luxury home furnishings, to be a meaningful driver of future growth.

Tariffs also weighed on margins. Chief Financial Officer Jack Preston said tariffs caused a 190-basis-point drag, above the company's initial forecast of 90 basis points and its updated estimate of 170 basis points.

RH Issues Conservative 2026 Outlook But Sees Growth Ahead

Despite the difficult quarter, Friedman pointed to areas of strength in 2025, including revenue growth that outpaced RH's home-furnishings peers and year-over-year improvements in adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow.

RH issued conservative guidance for 2026, citing uncertainty around interest rates and inflation. The company expects revenue growth of 4% to 8% in 2026, accelerating to 10% to 12% in 2027. By 2030, RH projects revenue of $5.4 billion to $5.8 billion.

RH expects adjusted EBITDA margins of roughly 14% to 16% in 2026, rising to 25% to 28% by 2030. The company also anticipates cash flow of $300 million to $400 million in 2026, increasing to $500 million to $600 million in 2027, inclusive of $200 million to $250 million in asset sales each year. RH expects cumulative cash flow of $3 billion by 2030 (inclusive of asset sales) and aims to be debt-free by 2029.

Analyst Reaction Mixed as Price Targets Suggest Upside

The Q4 report prompted a wave of negative analyst reactions: eight analysts lowered price targets and one downgraded the stock to Strong Sell from Hold. The current consensus rating is Hold: eight Hold, seven Buy and five Sell.

Despite disappointment with the quarter, the average price target implies upside. The consensus target of $176.47 is nearly 28% above the current share price. Only two analysts expect the stock to decline: Goldman Sachs has a $88 target and BNP Paribas Exane has a $98 target. Other targets range from $140 to $350.

Meanwhile, short interest has been rising. Nearly 40% of the float is now sold short, a sharp increase from prior years and an indicator that a meaningful portion of the market is betting against the stock.

Disappointing earnings, margin pressure and a weak housing market have driven RH's recent decline. The company continues to invest in its long-term strategy, but future performance will likely hinge on how those investments translate into margin recovery, revenue growth and stronger cash flow over the coming years.