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Why Twilio Is Rallying While the Rest of SaaS Struggles

Written by Sam Quirke. First Published: 4/13/2026.

As MarketBeat has highlighted, software stocks have had a rough run in recent months. Rising rates, macro uncertainty, and concerns that AI could disrupt traditional SaaS models have pushed much of the sector lower. Against that backdrop, Twilio Inc (NYSE: TWLO) quietly rallied roughly 30% from late February through mid-March while the tech-heavy Nasdaq remained roughly flat. The stock has since dipped to around $125, partly because of broader market volatility and a string of insider sales by the CEO and CFO under pre-arranged trading plans. Even after that pullback, Twilio is still meaningfully outperforming many software peers.

What makes the move striking is that Twilio is doing it while trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio north of 600. In almost any environment that level of valuation would give many investors pause, and in the current macro backdrop it is an obvious red flag.

Yet over the longer term the stock continues to push higher. There are reasons investors appear willing to look past that valuation for now. Here's what's driving the momentum.

Why Twilio Is Standing Out in a Weak SaaS Market

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Twilio’s performance isn’t occurring in isolation from the broader SaaS landscape. Many software companies are struggling to justify their valuations as AI shifts competitive dynamics. Twilio, however, appears to be on the favorable side of that transition.

The core of the bullish case is straightforward: Twilio sits at the intersection of communications, data and customer engagement — areas that are becoming more valuable in an AI-driven world. As businesses automate interactions and personalize experiences, the infrastructure that enables those interactions gains importance. Twilio’s platform lets developers and enterprises embed communications directly into applications, and AI increases demand for those capabilities. Rather than being disrupted by AI, Twilio is positioned to enable the shift to AI-driven customer engagement, which helps explain why the stock has outperformed.

Recent Analyst Updates Support This

A recent Jefferies update highlights this changing perception. The firm upgraded Twilio to Buy from Hold, citing growing conviction that Twilio is becoming a key player in the emerging voice AI stack.

Jefferies sees voice AI as a structural growth driver, with Twilio positioned at the orchestration layer where much of the value should accrue. That could boost revenue per interaction and improve margins over time. The firm also pointed to improving fundamentals, including accelerating growth, rising free cash flow, and clearer execution. An updated price target of $160 implies significant upside from current levels and reflects the view that Twilio is evolving into a critical AI-enabling platform.

Risks Remain, and That High P/E Ratio Is Real

None of this removes the obvious risk: Twilio is expensive. A P/E ratio above 600 is extreme, and such a multiple leaves very little room for error. To justify that valuation, the company must continue delivering solid growth, expanding margins, and clear evidence that its AI-driven strategy is translating into measurable financial results. Any disappointment on those fronts could trigger a sharp correction.

There is also broader macro risk. If inflation concerns keep interest rates elevated or push them higher, high-multiple stocks will be among the first to feel pressure. Even strong execution may not fully offset that headwind. In short, Twilio will need to prove itself quarter after quarter until earnings more closely align with the share price.

Looking Ahead to the Next Catalyst

The next key catalyst is on the horizon: Twilio is expected to report earnings at the end of April. Given recent trading, this report is likely to be watched closely for signs that recent momentum is sustainable.

If Twilio delivers strong results — particularly around growth and forward guidance — the stock could continue higher despite its valuation. Conversely, any signs of slowing growth or weaker guidance could quickly shift sentiment. With the company’s positioning in AI-driven communications and a recent dip related to insider sales, the case for Twilio remains compelling for investors willing to accept the high multiple and associated risks.

4 Oil ETFs Riding the Crude Price Surge: What Investors Should Know

Written by Nathan Reiff. First Published: 4/9/2026.

With crude oil futures rising to multi-year highs amid the Iran war, investors may be looking to shift allocations to capture the spike. Commodities trading or individual oil stocks appeal to more active traders; others may prefer exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that provide exposure without the same level of hands-on involvement.

The funds below offer different ways to gain exposure to rising oil prices. Keep in mind, however, that the sector is experiencing significant volatility due to the evolving geopolitical situation, so ETFs should not be assumed to carry lower risk than other ways of accessing the oil and broader energy markets.

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Already one of the top-performing ETFs of 2026 before the war, the Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF (NYSEARCA: BWET) has risen more than 600% year-to-date.

The fund tracks an index that follows oil tanker freight rates through investments in futures contracts. Several recent factors have driven shipping prices higher — the end of winter and rising global demand, U.S. involvement in Venezuela, and the Iran war.

While BWET has outperformed most funds in 2026, investors tolerant of futures-based risk could see further upside if Middle East conflict continues to disrupt oil transport. That said, BWET is expensive and less liquid: its expense ratio is 3.50% and it has relatively low assets and trading volume, which can create liquidity challenges.

A 2X Play on Crude Oil Futures May Appeal to Risk-Tolerant Bulls

Another option for risk-tolerant investors is the ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (NYSEARCA: UCO). It tracks crude oil futures and offers 2X daily leverage. As a leveraged fund, UCO is intended for active traders who monitor and rebalance daily; it's most suitable for those betting on short-term jumps in crude prices.

UCO carries a 1.43% expense ratio — higher than many ETFs but far lower than BWET's 3.50%.

It also has strong liquidity, averaging nearly 18 million shares traded per month, which helps investors enter and exit positions as the market changes.

USOY's Dividend Yield Shines, but Direct Oil Exposure Is Lacking

Income-seeking investors may consider the Defiance Oil Enhanced Options Income ETF (NASDAQ: USOY), an actively managed fund that uses options strategies to generate returns tied to the United States Oil Fund (NYSEARCA: USO).

USOY is not directly linked to the price of oil, but instead provides indirect exposure to oil futures via USO.

The options-based dividend strategy has produced a very high yield of around 60%, which may more than offset its 1.12% expense ratio.

However, this ETF may not appeal to investors seeking a straightforward play on oil prices, as its complex strategy is more removed than many other oil-focused funds.

Another 2X Leveraged ETF, but With a Broader Focus on Oil and Gas Stocks

The ProShares Ultra Energy ETF (NYSEARCA: DIG) is also a 2X leveraged fund, but it targets an index of roughly two dozen large U.S. oil and gas companies. While not directly tied to oil prices, these stocks are often correlated with commodity performance.

Like UCO, DIG is designed for short-term use to magnify daily moves in the energy sector. Because it holds energy equities — some of which pay dividends — DIG offers a yield near 1.5% and has the lowest expense ratio on this list at 0.95%.