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[link removed]'s_Number_of_the_Day
AUGUST 11, 2020: The _Real Clear Politics_ (RCP) polling average shows that Joe Biden has a six-percentage point lead over Donald Trump with 12 weeks to go until Election Day.[1] ([link removed])
Given all that has gone on in 2020, it is interesting to note that this is very similar to the lead Biden enjoyed at the beginning of the year—before the pandemic, lockdowns, and killing of George Floyd.
While the numbers are similar today to the beginning of the year, they have not been stable. As recently as six weeks ago, Biden enjoyed a ten-point lead in the RCP average.[1] ([link removed])
It may be that Biden’s double-digit lead was just a temporary fluke and the race is stabilizing at a level that would give the Democrats the White House. On the other hand, Trump has gained four points in six weeks. If he gains another four points in the next 12 weeks, he would be trailing Biden in the popular vote by just 2 points. That’s the same margin as in 2016 when Trump won the Electoral College.
Click here to view the Number of the Day online→ ([link removed])
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Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day ([link removed]) explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology. Columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.
To see other recent numbers, check out the archive ([link removed]) .
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_Scott Rasmussen is an editor-at-large for Ballotpedia, the Encyclopedia of American Politics. He is a senior fellow for the study of self-governance at the King’s College in New York. His most recent book, ** Politics Has Failed: America Will Not ([link removed])
** , ([link removed])
was published by the Sutherland Institute in August 2018._
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