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Number of the Day: 31 U.S. House races rated as Toss-Ups

August 10, 2020: Real Clear Politics (RCP) rates 31 U.S. House Races as Toss-Ups in Election 2020. Fourteen races lean towards the Democrats while 14 others lean Republican.[1]

Those competitive races account for just 14% of all House seats. The other 86% are listed as likely or safe for either Republicans or Democrats.[1]

Currently, RCP rates 190 races as Leans, Likely, or Safe Republican. A total of 214 are projected to end up in the Democratic column.[1]

Those numbers give a sense of how difficult the GOP challenge is this election season. To win the House, Republicans would need to carry at least 28 of the 31 Toss-Ups. And, they’d have to hang on to all 14 races that are just leaning in their direction.


Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology. Columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.

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Scott Rasmussen is an editor-at-large for Ballotpedia, the Encyclopedia of American Politics. He is a senior fellow for the study of self-governance at the King’s College in New York. His most recent book, Politics Has Failed: America Will Not, was published by the Sutherland Institute in August 2018.

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