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Number of the Day: 7 U.S. Senate races are Toss-Ups

August 4, 2020: With three months to go until Election Day, Real Clear Politics rates seven (7) U.S. Senate races as Toss-Ups.[1]

Six of the seven are currently held by Republicans--Arizona, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Montana, and North Carolina.[1]

Michigan is the only Toss-Up currently held by a Democrat. Additionally, the Alabama seat currently held by Doug Jones is rated Likely Republican.[1]

Assuming Republicans do win the race in Alabama, Democrats would have to win five of the seven toss-ups to win a majority in the Senate.

If the Democrats win four of the seven toss-up races, each party would hold 50 Senate seats. Control of the Senate would then belong to whichever party won the presidency. That’s because the Vice President gets to cast the tie-breaking vote in the U.S. Senate.

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Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology. Columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.

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Scott Rasmussen is an editor-at-large for Ballotpedia, the Encyclopedia of American Politics. He is a senior fellow for the study of self-governance at the King’s College in New York. His most recent book, Politics Has Failed: America Will Not, was published by the Sutherland Institute in August 2018.

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