"Lies, damned lies, and statistics": a phrase attributed to Mark Twain alluding to the power of statistics to lend weight to shallow or misleading arguments and so requiring deeper enquiry. Both are relevant to PM’s analysis of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) linked to our World Population Day activities. The SDGs are admirable
goals, which PM wholeheartedly supports – not least those pertaining to gender equality and access to safe, modern contraception. On the surface, progress seems encouraging – with a greater proportion of people leading lives meeting the SDG targets – but because of ongoing population growth, the actual number of people whose life opportunities fall below those targets has increased. The perspective applied to statistics can be just as distorting. Reporting of the research published in The Lancet (see below) under crass headlines of "jaw-dropping" fertility declines being a recent example. If that single piece of research, based on mass data crunching, proves correct then we may (emphasis on
'may') see a total population by 2100 around 2 billion lower than the more established projections from the United Nations. Surely to be celebrated, given that at the current population of 7.8 billion, our planet and its ecosystems are showing serious signs of stress? Yet most of the media commentary came via the narrow lens of ‘no population growth, no economic growth’. Notwithstanding the mainstream media myopia, we marked World Population Day well – connecting with campaigners across the world working on the interrelated issues of population, poverty, consumption and conservation. Our quote of the month from the Global Footprint Network’s (GFN) Laurel Hanscom is just one great take-out from PM’s
live panel discussion. On 22 August, PM will mark and publicise GFN’s own ‘world day’, Earth Overshoot Day, the point in the year when humanity starts using up more of our planet’s natural resources than it can sustainably provide. The first Earth Overshoot Day in 1970 fell on 29th December – this year’s lands 130 days earlier. Fifty years ago the global population was 3.6 billion – it has since more than doubled. Now there’s a statistic and its consequent impacts requiring deeper enquiry! - Robin Maynard, Director, Population Matters
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