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⏱️ 6 min read
The Numbers Are Moving The Wrong Way
The latest national survey from the Pew Research Center shows President Donald Trump’s job approval at 37%, with 61% disapproving, down from 40% approval last fall. Just 27% of Americans say they support all or most of his policies and plans, compared with 35% at the start of his second term last year. The drop in policy support is not coming from Democrats, who were already opposed; it is occurring within the Republican coalition.
One of the more telling findings is about expectations. 50% of Americans say the administration’s actions so far have been worse than they expected, while 21% say better than expected, and the rest say things are about what they anticipated. That gap is more than routine partisan grumbling. It suggests some voters who were open to giving Trump another shot are not seeing what they hoped to see.
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Below the paywall, I break down:
• Why declining confidence inside the GOP matters more than Democratic opposition
• What Pew’s leadership-trait numbers signal about swing-voter perceptions
• How weakening party unity can limit a president’s legislative leverage
• Why early-term slippage does not always predict midterm outcomes
• What Republicans need to improve to stabilize their political footing
• And charts! Who doesn’t love charts?...

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