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Former Illinois State Sen. Darren Bailey. (Tribune News Service via Getty Images)
By Illinois Review
 
A new survey of likely Republican primary voters shows former state Sen. Darren Bailey expanding his lead in the 2026 Illinois Republican primary for governor, reinforcing findings from an earlier major poll released by WGN-TV.

The latest poll, conducted by Osage Research, finds Bailey supported by 57 percent of likely Republican primary voters. Businessman Rick Heidner registered at 9 percent, Ted Dabrowski at 8 percent, and DuPage County Sheriff James Mendrick at 4 percent. Another 23 percent of respondents remain undecided.

Bailey’s margin represents a 49-point advantage over his nearest competitor and exceeds the combined support of the rest of the field.
The Osage Research findings follow the first major public poll of the race, commissioned by WGN-TV and conducted by Emerson College Polling in early January. That survey showed Bailey leading with 34.4 percent, compared with Dabrowski at 8.2 percent, Mendrick at 5.4 percent, and Heidner at 1.1 percent, with 46.4 percent undecided.

Taken together, the two polls suggest a consistent pattern: Bailey has maintained a substantial lead over the field while increasing his share of committed support as undecided voters shrink.
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IR's general counsel Scott Kaspar, left, and editor-in-chief Mark Vargas, at the White House, December 17, 2025 (Source: Illinois Review)
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