“This was one of the closest house races in the country last cycle. [Rep. Scott] Perry only barely won reelection, despite the fact that [President Donald J.] Trump was carrying his district by about five points. That goes to show that Perry has some unique vulnerabilities that a generic republican incumbent might not have.” - Erin Covey, U.S. House of Representatives coverage lead [Watch]
“Last cycle, [Rep. Rob] Bresnahan was touted by Republicans as one of their top recruits at the House level. His background on paper certainly had some things that could have worked well for him. He had roots in the district. He was personally wealthy so he was able to self-fund, and he had a relatively moderate disposition and didn’t really run hard to the Right.” - Erin Covey, U.S. House of Representatives coverage lead [Watch]
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Your early 2026 midterm predictions
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In this episode of Voices of Reason, we’re joined by Erin Covey for a sharp look ahead to the 2026 midterm elections. Drawing on early indicators and election data, Covey walks through what may define the next election cycle — and which races could ultimately decide control in Washington.
We also explore what lessons from recent cycles still matter, what assumptions may be overstated, and where both parties could be misreading the terrain.
This episode offers a clear-eyed preview of the political road to 2026 — and why the midterms may be stranger, and more consequential, than many expect.
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The Keystone State is slated to play a major role in determining control of the U.S. House of Representatives, while also determining if it wants to retain Gov. Josh Shapiro for another term. How will current voter registration impact those counts? Try out the interactive map for more details.
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The Voices of Reason podcast has covered the most important issues in Pennsylvania politics – from education funding to trust in elections. Secretary of the Commonwealth Al Schmidt, PA Treasurer Stacy Garrity, and House Appropriations Chairman Jordan Harris are just a few of many influential guests who have joined us for exclusive interviews and roundtable discussions.
Visit the Voice of Reason YouTube page to experience all the great moments you missed.
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We like smart ideas and want to hear from you.
Send feedback and inquire about appearing on Voices of Reason, at [email protected].
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