July 27, 2020: RealClearPolitics (RCP) currently rates 13 states as Toss Ups in the 2020 presidential election. Eleven (11) of those 13 states were won by Donald Trump in 2016—Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Iowa, Missouri, Arizona, and Texas.[1]

Additionally, there are two congressional districts that cast electoral votes independent of the statewide totals. President Trump won both those districts in 2016 (Maine-2 and Nebraska-2).[1]

The only current Toss Up states won by Hillary Clinton four years ago were New Hampshire and Nevada.[1]

As a result of this imbalance, challenger Joe Biden has an Electoral College lead at the moment. He is leading in states with 222 Electoral Votes while the president is well behind at 115.[1]

Still, like Hillary Clinton in 2016, Biden does not have a secure lead in enough states to win the election. Biden will need to win 48 of the Toss Up votes (24%) to move into the White House. The challenge is tougher for the president. To win re-election, he will need 155 of the Toss Up votes (77%).[1]

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Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology. Columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.

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