From Olivia of Troye <[email protected]>
Subject Before We Pretend 2026 Is a Reset
Date January 2, 2026 3:04 PM
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Editor’s note:
As the calendar turns, I’ve been thinking less about what comes next and more about what we’ve already learned by living through it. This is a reflection on what 2025 revealed, not all at once, but steadily, and what it asks us to carry forward.
New years invite the idea of clean slates. But unfortunately, history rarely works that way.
2025 didn’t end with a single rupture or dramatic collapse. What it did instead was reveal where systems strain, where norms bend, and where the country quietly relies on people paying attention when formal leadership falls short.
What follows is a written record of the patterns 2025 made impossible to unsee. Not as a warning siren, but as a map of what already exists.
1. The loudest moments weren’t the most consequential
2025 was full of spectacle: viral clips, outrage cycles, breaking-news churn. But the most consequential shifts happened far from the cameras: in staffing decisions, enforcement priorities, legal interpretations, and quiet changes in how power is exercised.
What shaped outcomes wasn’t the noise. It was what happened after the noise moved on.
2. Institutions didn’t break; they bent
Courts ruled narrowly. Agencies adjusted incrementally. Norms stretched instead of snapping. Again and again, systems held just enough to conceal how much pressure they were absorbing.
Bending looks like resilience, until it becomes habit. 2025 showed how easily the two can be confused.
3. “Temporary” became the most dangerous word in governance
What bent institutions in 2025 was often justified as procedural necessity. Emergency authorities lingered. Provisional policies hardened. Short-term workarounds quietly became standard operating procedure.
Across immigration, national security, and administrative power, repetition, not declaration, did the most damage.
4. The border was never just about the border
Migration dominated political rhetoric again this year, but policy told a different story. In 2025, the border became a proxy for power—used to justify expansions of authority at home and abroad, while dismissing long-term consequences.
None of this was new. What changed was how openly tradeoffs were ignored.
5. Exhaustion became a political force
People weren’t disengaged in 2025. They were exhausted! Tired of crisis language that never resolves. Tired of chaos cycles that demand constant attention without accountability. That exhaustion reshaped how people processed risk, lies, and leadership—and it mattered more than most metrics captured.
6. The most important resistance wasn’t loud
It wasn’t viral. It wasn’t branded. It didn’t trend.
In 2025, resistance often looked like people inside institutions doing their jobs carefully: local officials following the law even when pressured not to; civil servants documenting decisions instead of looking away; journalists refusing to drop a story just because the outrage cycle moved on, or refusing to stay silent when leaders tried to silence them.
It looked like people showing up without spectacle: community members bringing food and water to detention sites; crafters and knitters sitting outside ICE facilities not to provoke, but to witness; lawyers quietly filing injunctions that never made headlines; election workers returning to the same desks after threats made the job dangerous.
That kind of resistance rarely feels dramatic. In real time, it often feels lonely, procedural, or inadequate. But it’s why some lines held.
7. Outrage spiked. Accountability didn’t
Outrage didn’t fail because people didn’t care. It failed because systems weren’t built, or pressured, to respond. Scandals broke. Evidence surfaced. Public anger flared and dissipated. Consequences lagged or never arrived. The gap between reaction and accountability widened.
8. “This can’t happen here” finally lost its power
Not because catastrophe arrived, but because enough precedents accumulated that denial stopped making sense. By the end of 2025, Americans didn’t need hypotheticals. They could point to real policies, real rulings, and real impacts and say: "This is already happening."
9. Community held where national leadership didn’t
When federal responses stalled or polarized, stability often came from below.
Local governments. Mutual aid networks. Faith groups. Neighbors.
This wasn’t resistance. It was survival.
I don’t say that romantically. I say it because I watched it happen, again and again, when people couldn’t wait for clarity from the top and had to become it for each other. I’ve worked inside systems long enough to know when they’re struggling to respond. What kept things from breaking entirely in 2025 wasn’t a single decision or directive; it was people refusing to let one another fall through the cracks.
That instinct didn’t weaken last year. It carried us. And it will be tested again in 2026.
That spirit isn’t fragile. It’s durable. And as long as people keep choosing one another, it can’t be extinguished.
10. The warning signs are no longer abstract
By the end of 2025, the challenge wasn’t a lack of information. It was attention. The signals are visible. The patterns are established. What happens next depends less on awareness and more on whether people stay focused when the news cycle tempts them to look away.
None of this means the story is over. It means the stakes are clearer. 2025 didn’t answer every question. It clarified which ones can no longer be avoided. We don’t get to unknow what we’ve seen.
What happens next is up to us, and always has been.
If you’re in D.C. this coming Tuesday, on January 6, I’ll be joining Jim Acosta at the National Press Club for a live conversation on what this moment asks of us now. Not just as a commemoration, but as a forward-looking discussion about the upcoming midterm elections, accountability, and where we go from here. More Details: HERE [ [link removed] ].
See you soon,
-Olivia

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