I'm seeking your input for my annual predictions.
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20 Questions About the Next Five Years

I'm seeking your input for my annual predictions.

Vikram Mansharamani
Dec 28
 
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As I have done since 2012 (and publicly posted since 2015), I make predictions of what might occur during the following five years. The process of drafting my annual list of global developments to watch takes months, during which time I test my craziest ideas on corporate leaders, government officials, academics, journalists, and former students.

This week, I’m seeking input from Navigating Uncertainty readers and to reward you for the 5-7 minutes it might take you to answer the following 20 questions, you’ll see real time poll results as you submit your responses! You’ll also be getting a glimpse into what an extraordinarily diverse global audience of leaders is thinking about.

A final note before we begin: the questions are presented in random order; there is no significance to the first or last question! Thanks again for your help!

So let’s begin…

POLL
What do you think is the biggest threat to geopolitical stability over the next five years?
Great power fight for the Arctic
China taking control of Taiwan
Armed conflict in Venezuela
An Iranian nuclear attack on Israel
Russian aggression in Europe
POLL
Which technology is likely to have the biggest impact over the next five years?
Development of fusion energy
Biofabrication of human organs
Artificial intelligence
3D printed food becomes viable
Establishment of a lunar colony
POLL
What do you think will happen with inflation over the next five years?
It will accelerate to over 5%
It will normalize to under 2%
It will be negative (deflation)
No idea, you tell me!
POLL
Over the next five years, global multilateral organizations like the United Nations will...
become MUCH more important
will continue as is
become MUCH less important
will be irrelevant and disband
No idea, please do tell!
POLL
Which of the following commodities will rise the most in price over the next five years?
Gold
Oil
Copper
Lithium
Potash
POLL
The most likely domain for a crisis in US-China relations over the next five years is...
Taiwan
Space
Cyber
Africa
Trade
POLL
Over the next five years, polarization of the American electorate will ...
intensify, leading to a civil war
remain the same
decrease, civility re-emerges
POLL
The value of an elite education in the United States, over the next five years, will...
Rise; strong signal in noisy world
Remain the same
Fall; elite status as liability
POLL
The most pressing public health issue globally will be...
another pandemic
obesity, diabetes, heart disease
side effects from GLP-1s
anxiety, depression (mental health)
measles
POLL
Over the next five years, the publishing industry will...
boom as curation is valued again
continue to shrink slowly
disappear as AI displaces it
reinvent itself
POLL
What will happen to the Middle East over the next five years?
Abraham Accords will bring peace
Iran - Israel conflict continues
Who cares? We have oil elsewhere
UAE displaces NYC as financial hub
POLL
Ok, an admittedly self-serving question, but... What is your outlook for frozen pizza demand over the next five years?
Boom due to economic uncertainty
Boom as new products emerge
Status quo
Competitive slowdown; other options
Bust as people abandon pizza
POLL
What happens to religion over the next five years, given the rapid development of AI technologies?
A new AI-driven religion emerges
Religious fanaticism intensifies
Agnostic boom as confusion grows
Status quo
POLL
What is the most note-worthy and highest impact development in the US economy over the next five years?
Onshoring boom as tariffs "work"
Housing bust as rates hit 8%
Dollar collapse drives inflation
AI boom leads to unemployment
Commodity surge -> stagflation
POLL
The 2028 US presidential election is likely to be a race between....
JD Vance and Gavin Newsom
Vivek Ramaswamy and Kamala Harris
JD Vance and JB Pritzher
Marco Rubio and Ro Khanna
Donald Trump and Gavin Newsom
POLL
After it is proved that social media negatively impacts mental health...
Meta leads self-regulation boom
government regulations limit use
anti-addiction medications surge
social media is banned by govts
POLL
Agriculture and food prices...
surge due to emerging market demand
plunge as ag productivity surges
remain steady
boom as climate impacts supply
collapse with price controls
POLL
The field of study that emerges as the most popular pursuit for students globally...
Nursing
Engineering
Liberal arts
Business
A yet to be named domain of study
POLL
Over the next five years, inequality within countries...
surges, leading to social unrest
stabilizes, leading to status quo
plunges, due to higher taxes
plunges, as philanthropy booms
No idea, you tell me!
POLL
The biggest risk emerging from AI advancements over the next five years?
Mass unemployment and social unrest
Deflation from extreme productivity
Humans lose the ability to think
An omnipotent AI takes over Earth
A global nuclear AI vs. AI war

Please don’t forget to share this post (to help get more opinions expressed) by either clicking on the SHARE button below or by copying the URL and forwarding it to family members, friends, and colleagues! And of course, please come back to this page regularly to see how the views may be evolving!

Thanks in advance for your help!

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VIKRAM MANSHARAMANI is an entrepreneur, consultant, scholar, neighbor, husband, father, volunteer, and professional generalist who thinks in multiple-dimensions and looks beyond the short-term. Self-taught to think around corners and connect original dots, he spends his time speaking with global leaders in business, government, academia, and journalism. He’s currently the Chairman and CEO of Goodwell Foods, a manufacturer of private label frozen pizza. LinkedIn has twice listed him as its #1 Top Voice in Money & Finance, and Worth profiled him as one of the 100 Most Powerful People in Global Finance. Vikram earned a PhD From MIT, has taught at Yale and Harvard, and is the author of three books, The Making of a Generalist: An Independent Thinker Finds Unconventional Success in an Uncertain World, Think for Yourself: Restoring Common Sense in an Age of Experts and Artificial Intelligence and Boombustology: Spotting Financial Bubbles Before They Burst. Vikram lives in Lincoln, New Hampshire with his wife and two children, where they can usually be found hiking or skiing.

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