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Daily News Brief

December 17, 2025

Welcome to CFR’s Daily News Brief. Today we’re covering U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of a new partial blockade to pressure Venezuela, as well as...

  • Rebels withdrawing from a Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) city
  • The European Union (EU) delaying a rule on cleaner cars
  • A broadened U.S. travel ban for twenty countries
 
 

Top of the Agenda

Trump announced a naval blockade on sanctioned oil tankers entering and leaving Venezuela and characterized the country’s government as a foreign terrorist organization yesterday. His announcement, posted on social media, also claimed that Venezuela stole oil and land from the United States, called President Nicolás Maduro’s administration illegitimate, and said it was using stolen oil to finance activities like drug and human trafficking. Venezuelan Vice President Delcy Rodríguez called Trump’s post a violation of international law and pledged to denounce it at the United Nations.

 

What’s new. Trump’s claims about alleged Venezuelan theft of U.S. oil expand Washington’s rationale for its months-long pressure campaign against the country. Until now, the Trump administration has largely characterized its actions as anti-drug efforts in public comments; Trump has also said Maduro’s days are numbered. In response, Maduro has accused the United States of wanting regime change. In spite of Trump’s social media post yesterday, it is the State Department and not the White House that has the authority to legally designate Venezuela as a foreign terrorist organization. It has never done so for any foreign country, and did not immediately comment following Trump’s social media post yesterday.

 

The financial implications. An estimated 40 percent of black market ships that move Venezuelan oil are currently sanctioned by the United States, according to oil tracking service TankerTrackers.com. A U.S. military blockade on those ships could significantly hurt Venezuela’s oil sector, which is responsible for more than half of the country’s fiscal revenue. Global oil prices rose following Trump’s announcement.


The pushback. Some U.S. lawmakers in recent weeks, mostly Democrats, have argued that the Trump administration’s campaign to pressure Venezuela via deadly strikes on alleged drug boats is illegal. A bipartisan war powers resolution that would block the Trump administration from hostilities with Venezuela without congressional authorization is expected to be voted on tomorrow.

 
 

“If Trump’s plan is to force regime change in Venezuela, then he could be walking into an embarrassing and expensive failure. But if he sees the military buildup as a prelude to a diplomatic overture, he has a shot at notching perhaps the most significant foreign policy win of his administration.”

—the University of Denver’s Francisco Rodríguez, Foreign Affairs

 

China’s Chip Deficit

A view of HGX that houses NVIDIA H100 GPUs on display at the media tour of Sustainable Metal Cloud's (SMC) Sustainable AI Factory in Singapore July 25, 2024.

Caroline Chia/Reuters

Huawei is not a threat that justifies loosening U.S. export controls. Rather, its lag behind Nvidia is evidence that the controls are working, CFR expert Chris McGuire writes in this article. 

 
 

Across the Globe

Slowdown in EV adoption. In a major shift from one of the EU’s landmark green policies, the bloc’s leaders announced yesterday provisional plans to delay a 2035 deadline to end sales of new combustion engine cars. Its auto sector is struggling to respond to Chinese competition. Last month saw the slowest growth globally for electric vehicle (EV) sales in almost two years, a trend that analysts attributed to the retreat from green policies in the United States and weakening demand in China.

 

Rebel withdrawal in DRC. Rwanda-backed M23 rebels will withdraw from the DRC city of Uvira—which the group recently invaded—after a request from Washington, a rebel leader wrote on social media. M23 aims to give a Qatar-mediated peace process with the DRC “the maximum chance to succeed,” the statement said. But it added that the rebel withdrawal was contingent on factors like the deployment of a force to monitor a ceasefire.

 

Expanded U.S. travel ban. Trump added citizens of twenty additional countries, plus individuals with passports issued by the Palestinian Authority, to a list of people fully or partially banned from entering the United States. His proclamation claimed the countries failed to properly vet travelers. It also removed exceptions in a previous travel ban in June that had applied to immediate family members of U.S. citizens and Afghans who cooperated with the U.S. war effort in Afghanistan.

 

Ukraine war damages commission. The Netherlands will host an international commission that aims to force Russia to compensate Ukraine for damages from its war. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and European officials attended a launch event for the commission yesterday in the Hague. It is unclear how the group hopes to compel Russia to pay, though early discussions focus on using Russia’s frozen assets in Europe.

 

China’s reduced pork tariffs on Europe. China will impose tariffs of 4.9–19.8 percent on EU pork products rather than the up to 62.4 percent it previously planned, Beijing announced yesterday. The stepdown comes as both sides also conduct talks regarding the price of Chinese cars sold in the EU. The European Commission maintained yesterday that China’s anti-dumping probe regarding European pork was based on “questionable allegations and insufficient evidence.”

 

Hunger in Afghanistan. More than seventeen million people in Afghanistan are facing acute food insecurity as winter approaches, a senior official at the UN World Food Program said yesterday. After cuts in U.S. foreign assistance and an influx of returned migrants who had been in Iran and Pakistan, food aid is only reaching 2.7 percent of the country’s population, according to the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification, a hunger watchdog initiative. 

 

China-Mideast ties. China’s top diplomat Wang Yi conducted talks on economic relations and Middle East security on a visit to Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates that concluded yesterday. He discussed work toward lasting peace in Gaza and urged Gulf Cooperation Council countries to finalize a trade deal with China after more than twenty years of talks. China and Saudi Arabia also signed a deal to waive visas for diplomatic and special passport holders. 


U.S. threats on tech regulation. Washington will use “every tool at its disposal,” including fees and bans on foreign services, to counter EU penalties against U.S. technology companies that the U.S. trade office considers “discriminatory,” the office said on social media yesterday. The post listed European firms such as Accenture, Mistral, Siemens, and Spotify as potential targets. Earlier this month, Brussels hit X with a $140 million fine for breaking its rules. A European Commission spokesperson said Brussels “will continue to enforce our rules fairly, and without discrimination.”

 
 

Who Can Start a Nuclear War? 

An unarmed Minuteman III intercontinental ballistic missile launches during an operational test at Vandenberg Air Force Base, California, August 2, 2017.

Ian Dudley/U.S. Air Force/Reuters

The U.S. president can order a nuclear launch without consulting anyone. While reforms to U.S. retaliation policy seem unlikely, restraining a president’s ability to launch a first strike could be possible, CFR expert Erin D. Dumbacher writes in this article. 

 
 

What’s Next

  • Today, the SEMICON Japan conference opens in Tokyo.
  • Today, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi begins a trip to Oman.
  • Tomorrow, the European Council begins a leaders meeting in Brussels.
 
 

Preserving Vaccine Access Amid Growing Hesitation

A worker holds a malaria vaccine vial to administer to a child, at Chileka Health Center, in Lilongwe, Malawi.

Benny Khanyizira/UNICEF/Handout via Reuters

A 2025 change in U.S. policy could undermine trust in vaccines that are widely used in low- and middle-income countries, CFR expert Prashant Yadav and the Washington Research Foundation’s Orin Levine write for Think Global Health.

 
 

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