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CRITICAL STATE
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Your weekly foreign policy fix.
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If you read just one thing…
...read about why you never want to have worked for the last crown prince.
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Saudi Arabia’s leading spy is on the lam. Saad al-Jabri, who was second in command of Saudi Arabia’s Interior Ministry until 2015, is living in Toronto, and fears returning to his home country because he stands accused of misspending a cool $11 billion in counterterrorism money, including skimming off $1 billion for himself and his allies. The money came from a fund Jabri controlled that was used to pay informants, purchase new technology and distribute resources to governments that might assist the kingdom’s counterterrorism efforts. Jabri claims all his spending was authorized by his boss, former interior minister and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Nayef. Unfortunately for Jabri, Nayef is no longer crown
prince, and his replacement, Mohammed bin Salman, had him arrested for treason. Salman has two of Jabri’s children in prison in Saudi Arabia, prompting another of Jabri’s sons to tell reporters, “We welcome any impartial due process that doesn’t include attempts to induce harm or extortion through child hostage-taking.”
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Racism in development finance
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Often, discussions of race in the economic development sector focus on the distinct whiff of colonialism given off by major international development bodies like the International Monetary Fund, and for good reason. Yet racism also shapes how states interact with representatives of those organizations. Former World Bank senior economic advisor Célestin Monga recounted his harrowing experience being named senior economist in the Bank’s Europe and Central Asia department.
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Monga, who is Cameroonian, was greeted icily by the finance minister of one of the countries in his portfolio, who then went to the press to complain that the Bank had sent “someone from Africa” to advise her on economic issues. She went on to say that Monga likely couldn’t find her country on a map.
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That would be bad enough, but the racist reaction played out in policy as well. During Monga’s time with the Europe and Central Asia portfolio, the country in question effectively suspended its relationship with the World Bank, even giving up budget support from the Bank in order to avoid having to work with Monga.
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Police violence, collected
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If you’ve been online at all since the current round of Black Lives Matter protests began, you’ve seen photos and videos of police violence against protesters. Yet when you see all those photos and videos together, some patterns begin to emerge. ProPublica and The Marshall Project gathered nearly 400 social media posts about police responses to protesters and tried to evaluate, among other things, who escalated the conflict.
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The journalists found “troubling” behavior by police in at least 184 cases, including the misuse of pepper spray and beating protesters with fists and batons. The common thread through those scenarios was that police were escalating, inflicting violence beyond (often well beyond) what they experienced from protesters.
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A human rights advocate and a police researcher both reviewed some of the instances, and you can see their commentary side by side as you watch some of the clips. The divergence of worldviews is remarkable. For one famous clip, of a New York officer pulling down a man’s mask to pepper spray him in the face, the human rights advocate called the officer’s actions “cruel,” while the police researcher praised the officer for using a “fairly judicious” amount of pepper spray.
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CONFLICT RESEARCHERS ON THE COVID-19 ERA
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COVID-19 will have lasting effects on almost all facets of life, and security research is no different. Yet, for people who dedicated their lives to studying the effects of violence, there is something familiar about the widespread (but unevenly distributed) precarity brought on by the pandemic. In a special edition of Deep Dive, we’ll look at the latest thinking by leading qualitative security researchers on what the study of conflict can teach us about understanding the effect of COVID-19.
Political scientists Kanisha Bond, Milli Lake, and Sarah Parkinson wrote about four core lessons from their work that have more widespread applicability in the COVID-19 era. The first focuses on the way the effects of the virus are distributed. Despite the rhetoric that COVID-19 has leveled playing fields, hitting people equally across society, in reality, vulnerable people are just that — vulnerable. Just like in armed conflicts, the pandemic hits people who were under pressure before the crisis harder than it does others. Therefore, researchers studying the effects of the pandemic have to consider their work with the same questions the best conflict researchers use: How will my work challenge or
reproduce the power structures and societal cleavages that I am studying?
The second lesson is that studying social phenomena, especially in person, is a fraught endeavor. You may grow your knowledge about violence by incentivizing people to share their stories of conflict with you but, in a conflict setting, the sharing of stories itself is often dangerous. Similarly, in a pandemic, it is easy to imagine research that worsens conditions for those being studied even as it helps researchers in their search for knowledge. Is in-person fieldwork viable in a world where communicable disease is a massive concern nearly everywhere? And conversely, is remote fieldwork a suitable replacement for speaking to people face-to-face, given how many governments have used the pandemic to clamp down on digital freedom and privacy? Questions of safety will be of huge concern to researchers of all kinds going forward.
Third, Bond et al. write that social scientists need to learn to take a deep breath before jumping into new research on the effects of COVID-19. There is a tendency among social scientists to want to be the first to do a type of fieldwork or to do the most extreme form of fieldwork. The profession is competitive and there is a lot of pressure to take risks. Yet those risks, in addition to being dangerous, often don’t produce the best scholarship. The pandemic is taking a toll on everyone and expecting top work from people scrambling for child care or worried about the future of their university is unrealistic. Instead, work under that kind of pressure can produce faulty data and, as a result, unconvincing conclusions.
Finally, conflict researchers understand intimately the necessity for individual empathy when investigating large crises. War and disease affect different people in different ways, and to paint peoples’ COVID-19 experiences with too broad a brush would be to miss crucial nuances. Wars are horrible, but some find self-actualization, liberation and even real joy in them sometimes, all of which should be captured when we tell the story of conflict. Similarly, COVID-19 has produced political awakenings and deepened personal relationships along with suffering, often in the same people. The best research on the COVID-19 era will meet people where they are (at least figuratively) and engage with the positive and negative outcomes of the pandemic.
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Ariel Oseran tracked Israel’s transformation from a world leader in COVID-19 response to a cautionary tale. In early May, Israel’s closed borders and nationwide lockdown seemed to have suppressed the virus, and transmission was down to 30 new cases per day. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reopened the country, urging Israelis to socialize and resume life largely as normal. That move seems to have been a mistake. Last week, Israel reached 1,929 new cases per day, a record high for the country. Israeli officials are warning that there may be a second lockdown coming, which may be a greater economic challenge than the first one, as Israeli unemployment now stands at 22%.
Kate Kohn delved into the US military’s use of video games as a recruitment method. With COVID-19 preventing recruiters from speaking to young people in person, the military’s long-standing fascination with video games has kicked into high gear. The Army now fields an esports team, and, when they’re not banning people for writing about US war crimes on their Discord channel, they are using it to reach younger teens in the hopes of meeting future recruitment goals.
Halima Gikandi reported on rising tension between government and citizens in Mali. At least 11 are dead and 150 injured in anti-government protests in Bamako that have grown in recent weeks. Malians face threats from both non-state armed groups, who have displaced over a million people in the region, and their own government, which, according to Amnesty International, has unlawfully executed civilians during counterterrorism operations. The government made some concessions to protesters last week, but the protests are continuing, calling for President Ibrahim Boubacar Keïta’s resignation.
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RIP to a real-life superhero.
The presidential palace in Brazil keeps rheas (smaller, less Australian emus), and COVID-19 suffering president Jair Bolsonaro tried to befriend one during his quarantine. It went poorly.
A ghost on St. Helena shakes his head ruefully, thinking about what might have been.
In case you missed last week’s online discourse (and congratulations if so), here’s everything you need to know in one video.
New York Governor Andrew Cuomo has decided that bars are somehow safer in the COVID-19 era if patrons have to buy food every time they buy alcohol. This has led to some iconic menu innovations.
My “This Is Not A Security Crisis” T-shirt is prompting a lot of questions already answered by my shirt.
Sometimes, you have to recognize the small victories.
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LISTEN TO 'THINGS THAT GO BOOM'
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Great Power Competition is: “I think we should really look at it through the lens of uh… competition." — a real life security expert.
Worried yet? Listen and subscribe now on Apple Podcasts, Stitcher, Spotify, Pocket Casts, or wherever you get your podcasts to
receive a new episode every two weeks.
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Critical State is written by Sam Ratner and is a collaboration between The World and Inkstick Media.
The World is a weekday public radio show and podcast on global issues, news and insights from PRX, BBC, and WGBH.
With an online magazine and podcast featuring a diversity of expert voices, Inkstick Media is “foreign policy for the rest of us.”
Critical State is made possible in part by the Carnegie Corporation of New York.
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