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Daily News Brief

December 15, 2025

Welcome to CFR’s Daily News Brief. Today we’re covering Ukraine peace talks unfolding in Berlin, as well as...

  • An attack on a Jewish festival in Australia called terrorism
  • The conviction of Hong Kong pro-democracy figure Jimmy Lai
  • The death of U.S. service members in Syria
 
 

Top of the Agenda

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy resumed high-stakes peace talks with U.S. envoys today that aim to forge a deal to halt the Russia-Ukraine war. Zelenskyy said yesterday Kyiv is willing to forego NATO aspirations in exchange for security guarantees from Western allies. Those comments came ahead of talks with the United States and Germany in Berlin yesterday, which stretched into today after U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff wrote on social media that “a lot of progress” had been made. German chancellor Friedrich Merz is hosting the talks, while U.S. President Donald Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner is also representing the U.S. side. This is the first in-depth U.S.-Ukraine meeting since Kyiv sent Washington its response last week to a U.S.-proposed peace plan.

 

What they’re saying. Zelenskyy said that Kyiv seeks bilateral security guarantees from the United States that are similar to NATO’s Article 5 mutual defense clause as well as from other partners such as European countries, Canada, and Japan. Both Ukraine and Russia appeared to express doubt in recent days about a U.S. proposal for troops from both sides to withdraw from Ukraine’s Donbas region to create a demilitarized zone. Zelenskyy said such a proposal was unfair, while a top foreign policy advisor to Russian President Vladimir Putin said that Moscow wanted total control of the region and that Ukrainian and European suggestions for the U.S. plan were “unlikely to be constructive.”

 

What comes next. A Kremlin spokesperson said Moscow expects an update from Washington after today’s meeting. Merz has invited U.S. officials to attend a separate meeting in Berlin with Ukraine and European leaders later today, including European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and NATO chief Mark Rutte. European officials are preparing for a meeting later this week where they are expected to make a long-awaited decision on what to do with frozen Russian assets held in Europe. 

 
 

“For the first time we actually have in a negotiation process a consultation between the U.S., the Europeans, and the Ukrainians on what their minimum positions are. And that is still sort of being worked out, but that has not been the case before…it’s actually quite remarkable that it has not been the case before, in almost four years of war.”

—Senior Fellow Liana Fix at a CFR meeting

 

Is Toppling Maduro a Silver Bullet on Drug Trafficking?

Venezuela's President Nicolás Maduro on December 14, 2024.

Juan Barreto/AFP/Getty Images

Fentanyl is coming to the United States from Mexico, not Venezuela, while most of the cocaine that moves through Venezuela ends up in Europe, CFR expert Will Freeman says in this YouTube Short.

 
 

Across the Globe

Sydney beach attack. Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said a shooting at a Jewish holiday celebration in Sydney yesterday—which killed fifteen people, making it the deadliest attack on Australian soil since 1996—was an act of terrorism. Twenty-seven people remain hospitalized, police said today. One suspect was apprehended and the other was killed; Australian officials said they were a father and son. Albanese said his government would step up measures to protect the Jewish community and study tightening the country’s gun laws. 

 

Hong Kong verdict ... A Hong Kong court found pro-democracy activist and media tycoon Jimmy Lai guilty on multiple counts of conspiracy in a closely watched national security trial. Lai pleaded not guilty and denied any wrongdoing. International human rights groups condemned the verdict as part of a crackdown on free speech in the territory. Trump said earlier this year that he would raise Lai’s case directly with Chinese President Xi Jinping but did not immediately comment on the verdict. 

 

… and party dissolution. Hong Kong’s largest pro-democracy party, the Democratic Party, voted to disband yesterday. Chair Lo Kin-hei said the political environment in the territory was an “important point” behind the decision to liquidate, which was backed by 97 percent of members. Unnamed senior party members told Reuters that Chinese officials had threatened them with possible arrest if the party maintained its operations. 

 

U.S. troops killed in Syria. Trump pledged “very serious retaliation” on social media after two U.S. service members and one American civilian interpreter were killed in Syria. He wrote that the self-declared Islamic State was responsible and that the attack occurred in a part of the country not fully controlled by the Syrian government. Three other U.S. service members and two members of Syrian security forces were also wounded. A spokesperson for Syria’s Interior Ministry said the gunman, who was killed during the attack, had been part of the government’s security forces.

 

Chile’s president-elect. Far-right former lawmaker José Antonio Kast defeated Communist candidate Jeannette Jara in the runoff election yesterday by around 58.2 to 41.8 percent of the vote. Kast pledged economic revival, a crackdown on crime, and to ramp up the deportations of undocumented immigrants. Kast’s election is the latest in a broad trend of right-wing leaders coming to power in the region.

 

Strike on Hamas leader. Israel’s military said Saturday that it killed Hamas leader Ra’ad Sa’ad Saturday in a Gaza airstrike. The military said Sa’ad was “heavily involved” in planning Hamas’s October 7, 2023 attack and blaming him for violations of the Israel-Hamas ceasefire. Hamas confirmed Sa’ad’s death and said that the Israeli airstrike that killed him was a ceasefire violation.  

 

Lawsuit over visa fee. Twenty U.S. states with Democratic attorneys general announced a lawsuit Friday against the Trump administration over its $100,000 fee for H-1B skilled worker visa petitions. The states argued the fee disregards Congress’ authority to set immigration policy. Multiple other lawsuits against it have already been filed this year. A White House spokesperson said the new fee was lawful and aimed to “put American workers first.”


U.S.-Korea mineral processing. Minerals firm Korea Zinc will build a roughly $7.5 billion processing facility in Tennessee with backing from the U.S. government, it announced today. It will be the first new zinc smelter and critical minerals processing plant in the United States since the 1970s. The U.S. Department of Defense will hold a 40 percent stake in a joint venture created for the project, Korea Zinc said, while the company itself will hold less than 10 percent. The Commerce Department projected $6.6 billion in investment for the project, saying it is part of broader goals to reshore critical minerals production and build out strategic industries; China currently dominates processing of such minerals.

 
 

Why the Sudanese Civil War Matters to American Security

Sudanese who fled El Fasher after paramilitary forces killed hundreds of people in the western Darfur region, crowd to receive food at their camp in Tawila, Sudan, Sunday, Nov. 2, 2025.

Mohammed Abaker/AP

Ongoing civil war and the pouring of arms into Sudan mean that terrorism and extremism can spread from inside the country, CFR expert Ed Husein says in this YouTube Short.

 
 

What’s Next

  • Today, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi begins a trip to Jordan, Ethiopia, and Oman.
  • Tomorrow, a World Trade Organization General Council meeting begins in Geneva.
  • Tomorrow, ByteDance faces a deadline to sell its operations of TikTok in the United States.
 
 

How Europe Lost

European leaders with U.S. President Donald Trump at the White House, August 2025

Alexander Drago/Reuters

By focusing on scoring political wins with Trump, European countries still have not developed a robust and coherent European strategy for their long-term defense, CFR expert Matthias Matthijs and Istituto Affari Internazionali’s Nathalie Tocci write for Foreign Affairs.

 
 

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