From Tessa Gould, One Country Project <[email protected]>
Subject Tuesday Talkers 12/2: Democrats Determined to Win Back Rural Voters, A Winter Drought in Farm Finances
Date December 2, 2025 11:25 PM
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Good afternoon,

Winter is quickly approaching, and rural Americans are struggling to afford heat needed to keep warm. An estimated <a href='[link removed]'>80 million</a> U.S. utility customers face challenges in paying their utility bills. Rural Americans are <a href='[link removed]'>especially impacted</a> given they often live in older, less energy-efficient homes. This affordability issue was made worse during the federal government shutdown when concerns increased about $3.6 billion in funding under the Low-Income Home Energy Assistance Program (LIHEAP) being potentially delayed. However, since the government reopened, the LIHEAP funding will resume. According to a 2025 Census Household Pulse Survey, LIHEAP only reaches approximately <a href='[link removed]'>17%</a> of households that qualify for the benefits. Additionally, rural communities are more likely to face difficulties in accessing LIHEAP benefits compared to urban communities where resources are more concentrated. Policymakers must improve this federal program to ensure it's reaching the people who truly need the support. Additionally, more must be done to make energy affordable and reliable for rural communities. Stay warm!

Here are a few important updates...

DEMOCRATS DETERMINED TO WIN BACK RURAL VOTERS

In recent elections, Democrats have struggled to win over rural voters. As the political landscape grows increasingly complex and Democrats gear up to fight for a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives next year, they are making moves to <a href='[link removed]'>get these critical voters back</a> through a new investment. Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) Chair Suzan Delbene said that Democrats see a window of opportunity to connect with rural voters as President Trump's tariffs and larger economic plans decline in popularity. According to the DCCC, Democrats' spending in rural communities is part of a larger eight-figure investment. The Pew Research Center has <a href='[link removed]'>revealed</a> that in the 2024 presidential election, Trump won 69% of voters who considered themselves as rural while Harris only won 29%. Winning back rural voters will be no easy feat for the Democrats, but it's an issue they must address efficiently and effectively.

In order to engage rural voters again, Democrats need to make working class and rural Americans feel seen and heard. Furthermore, they need to take the concerns of this population seriously and offer thoughtful, tangible solutions. The economy remains a top issue for voters, especially those in rural areas. While a shift will likely not happen overnight, Democrats have a real chance to show up for Americans who have long felt neglected and looked down upon. Rural folks need hope and a newfound trust that their government is truly working in their best interest. President Trump's economic agenda is flopping, and we cannot waste this opportunity to capitalize on it.

A WINTER DROUGHT IN FARM FINANCES

This holiday season, farmers are under <a href='[link removed]'>significant financial stress</a> as they try to pay land rents and meet upcoming bills. According to the chief economist for Farmer Mac, the main concerns among farmers are cash flow in working capital and declining farm income. The cotton and rice sectors have been particularly affected, suffering from underperforming profits. While soybean and corn prices have increased, the benefits of these higher prices are not expected to materialize until February and March, leaving farmers in need of liquidity this December. Additionally, soybean exports to China remain uncertain, as the total purchased amount was way below the $12 million purchase promise announced by the White House.

<a href='[link removed]'>Surveys</a> indicate that farmers are pessimistic about their profitability due to cash flow issues, declining loan repayment rates, and an increased demand for new loans. Agricultural bankers in Wisconsin and neighboring states reported that 80% of survey respondents expect farm income to be lower than the previous year. Furthermore, surveys conducted by the Federal Reserve Banks of Minneapolis and Chicago reveal that farm credit conditions became more challenging in the third quarter of 2025. This data suggests that farmers are taking a more conservative approach to cash management, opting to make minimal payments on their loans rather than paying them off early. The public's current outlook further intensifies the cash pressure farmers are experiencing.

In response to these challenges, U.S. Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins assured that <a href='[link removed]'>farmer aid</a> would be provided shortly, within the next few weeks. However, Farm Journal's November Ag Economists' Monthly Monitor expresses skepticism about the effectiveness of emergency payments in addressing current price hikes and their long-term effects on the American agriculture industry.

NUMBER OF THE WEEK

<a href='[link removed]'>$300 million</a>: This is the dollar amount of 10 cargoes of U.S. soybeans China bought in the January shipment after the Trump-Xi call last Monday. Chinese state-run buyers made the purchase as American soybean prices remain higher than Brazilian prices.

WHAT WE'RE READING

Successful Farming: <a href='[link removed]'>Shortage of Rural Doctors Won't End Anytime Soon, Report Says</a>

The New York Times: <a href='[link removed]'>Beekeepers, Farmers and The Fight to Save a Century-Old Research Hub</a>

Morning AgClips: <a href='[link removed]'>Farmer Aid Expected Within Weeks, Ag Secretary Says</a>

Newsweek: <a href='[link removed]'>Democrats' Chances of Flipping Republican Seat in Tennessee Get Huge Boost</a>

CNN: <a href='[link removed]'>Tennessee Special Election Stirs Democratic Hopes And GOP Fears of An Upset</a>

The New York Times: <a href='[link removed]'>Can Democrats Flip a Deep-Red Seat? Special Elections Often See Big Swings.</a>

The Guardian: <a href='[link removed]'>EPA Urged to Ban Spraying of Antibiotics on US Food Crops Amid Resistance Fears</a>

Be sure to follow the One Country Project on <a href='[link removed]' target='_blank'>Bluesky</a>, <a href='[link removed]' target='_blank'>Twitter</a>, <a href='[link removed]' target='_blank'>Facebook</a> and <a href='[link removed]' target='_blank'>Substack</a>, and listen to&nbsp;<a href='[link removed]' target='_blank'>The Hot Dish</a> podcast.

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