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Daily News Brief

December 1, 2025

Welcome to CFR’s Daily News Brief. Today we’re covering a pickup in shuttle diplomacy on Ukraine, as well as...

  • Trump’s pause on asylum processing

  • Deadly storms in South and Southeast Asia

  • Honduras’ presidential vote
 
 

Top of the Agenda

U.S. negotiators are due to fly to Moscow today after weekend talks with Ukraine, while Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy consults with European allies in France. The flurry of shuttle diplomacy is part of a renewed effort to bring the war to an end, with Zelenskyy writing on social media that the coming days are “important.” While both Ukrainian and U.S. officials emphasized their commitment to Ukraine’s security, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio added that “much work remains” and that Russia will “have to be part of the equation.”   

 

The latest. Ukraine’s National Security and Defense Council Secretary Rustem Umerov met in Florida yesterday with Rubio, U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff, and U.S. President Donald Trump’s son-in-law, Jared Kushner. Umerov replaced former presidential chief of staff Andriy Yermak as Ukraine’s chief negotiator after Yermak’s resignation Friday amid a corruption probe. While officials offered few details about the talks, Rubio said that the United States wants to ensure Ukraine never faces another invasion and achieves economic prosperity. An unnamed senior U.S. official told the Wall Street Journal that the talks covered security guarantees, land swaps, and possible elections. 

 

Kyiv’s European allies are holding a series of consultations this week on peace proposals and their ongoing support for Ukraine. That includes a meeting in Brussels today of European Union (EU) defense ministers. EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas said ahead of the meeting that “it is clear Russia does not want peace, and therefore we need to make Ukraine as strong as possible.” 

 

The battlefield context. The renewed diplomacy comes as Russia has increasingly used drone attacks to target Ukrainian supply lines—lessening Ukraine’s earlier dominance in the use of drones, which it used to counter Russia’s manpower advantage. Ukraine continues its attacks on Russia’s oil infrastructure, and said over the weekend that it hit two tankers carrying Russian oil. 

 
 

“Vladimir Putin has maintained his maximalist positions on Ukraine. Russia is also stepping up attacks on Ukraine, which suggests that it’s not particularly willing to make concessions in negotiations. What is needed in the coming months, in addition to diplomatic activity, is increased pressure from the United States and Europe on Russia, to move Russia away from its maximalist demands and to achieve peace in Ukraine that is just and fair.”

—CFR expert Liana Fix in a YouTube Short

 

How Trump Is Reshaping Immigration Enforcement

Federal agents block people protesting an ICE immigration raid at a licensed cannabis farm near Camarillo, California, July 10, 2025.

Mario Tama/Getty Images

The second Trump administration has significantly ramped up immigration enforcement, putting pressure on federal, state, and local agencies to meet the president’s deportation goals, CFR’s Diana Roy and Kaleah Haddock write in this article.

 
 

Across the Globe

Honduras’ election. With around half of votes counted, two conservative opposition candidates are neck-in-neck after yesterday’s presidential election. Trump endorsed the National Party’s Nasry Asfura ahead of the vote and announced he would pardon former Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernández, also of the National Party, who is serving a forty-five-year U.S. prison sentence for drug trafficking.  

 

U.S. asylum pause. The head of U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services announced a freeze of asylum decisions on Friday after Trump vowed to take such action following the shooting of two National Guard members last week. The alleged shooter, an Afghan national, is in custody and the case is under investigation. Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem said that processing immigration requests of any kind for Afghan nationals is also paused. Trump said yesterday the asylum freeze would last “a long time.”

 

Kyrgyzstan’s vote. Allies of President Sadyr Japarov overwhelmingly won a snap parliamentary vote in the country yesterday, according to preliminary results. The results solidify Japarov’s grip on power, which has seen him clamp down on political opposition and media freedom since coming to office in 2020—a shift for what was once one of Central Asia’s more democratic countries. Demonstrators ousted Kyrgyz leaders in 2005, 2010, and 2020.

 

U.S.-Venezuela tensions. Trump told reporters yesterday that he had spoken directly to Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, though he provided no further details. The New York Times reported the conversation occurred the week of Nov. 17. A heavy U.S. military buildup near Venezuela has led Maduro to accuse Washington of plotting his overthrow. On Saturday, Trump wrote that airlines should consider the airspace over Venezuela closed; yesterday, when asked whether that comment suggested imminent airstrikes, Trump said people should not “read anything into it.”

 

Deadly storms. More than 1,100 people have died across Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Sri Lanka in recent days due to flooding caused by heavy storms. Sri Lankan authorities said today that 366 people have died following a cyclone there, the deadliest extreme weather event to hit the island in two decades. In Indonesia, 604 people were reported dead.

 

Pope Leo’s Mideast trip. The pope called for Christian unity and peace on his first foreign trip to Turkey and Lebanon. Speaking to reporters, he called a two-state solution “the only solution” to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, though he acknowledged Israel’s refusal to accept it. Leo’s message of peace in Lebanon comes after Hezbollah’s leader on Friday warned a renewed conflict with Israel was possible.

 

Netanyahu’s pardon request. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu requested yesterday that President Isaac Herzog grant him a pardon in his ongoing corruption trial, saying it would help heal national rifts. Herzog said he would seek expert opinions before making a decision. Normally, a pardon follows the conclusion of legal proceedings, and Netanyahu vowed earlier this month he would not request a pardon if it meant admitting guilt. 

 

South African fighters in Ukraine. South African lawmaker Duduzile Zuma-Sambudla, a daughter of former President Jacob Zuma, resigned on Friday after her sister accused her of helping trick seventeen South Africans into fighting for Russia in Ukraine. An official from her party said that she was cooperating with a police investigation and efforts to bring the men home. Zuma-Sambudla said she had believed she was recruiting them for a legitimate training course. 

 
 

How North Korea Has Bolstered Russia’s War in Ukraine

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un visits the command headquarters of the 11th Corps of the North Korean People’s Army in Tokchon, North Korea, November 2, 2025.

Korean Central News Agency/Reuters

North Korean troops and weapons have sustained Russia’s grinding military campaign in Ukraine and in doing so, upgraded Pyongyang’s own outdated Soviet-era military, CFR’s Molly Carlough and former CFR Military and Intelligence Fellows Program Coordinator James Kennedy write in this article.

 
 

What’s Next

  • Today, Saint Lucia holds a general election.

  • Today, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk visits Germany.

  • Tomorrow, the Senate Foreign Relations Committee discusses China’s artificial intelligence challenge in Washington, DC.
 
 

The Power of a Specific Policy Focus

Illustration of CFR fellow Inu Manak.

Photo collage by Lucky Benson

Exploring the intricacies of international trade policy has taken Senior Fellow Inu Manak through the worlds of academia, think tanks, and global policy fora, she told CFR’s Ivana Saric in this article.

 
 

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