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November 2025 will go down as one of the worst months of Donald Trump’s second term.
The economy is unstable and increasingly serves a shrinking number of shareholders. The longest government shutdown in American history ended in a pyrrhic victory for Republicans but a humiliating rout for Democrats. The release of the Epstein emails has roiled MAGA and left a permanent black mark on Trump. Americans are clearly showing their displeasure.
An AP/NORC poll released this week found Trump’s net disapproval at 62%. At the height of the pandemic—when the death toll reached one million—this same pollster recorded Trump’s net disapproval at 65%. Approaching that dubious milestone almost certainly spells disaster for Republicans in the 2026 midterm elections.
The poll also found notable declines in Trump’s standing among Republicans. In March, 81% of Republicans approved of his handling of the federal government; today, that number has dropped to 68%.
The latest Economist/YouGov poll confirmed this slide in Republican support. Twelve percent of Republicans said they disapprove of Trump’s performance as president—a small but significant sign that discontent is growing within the GOP base.
That same YouGov poll found Democrats leading by 7 points on the generic congressional ballot. If that margin holds—or grows by even one or two points—Democrats could sweep the midterm elections despite redistricting hurdles.
It’s clear Trump’s numbers are falling because the economy is wobbling. U.S. consumer sentiment is now at a 3.5-year low, according to the University of Michigan’s November survey. Headlines about layoffs—especially in the tech sector—are becoming increasingly common. The stock market had been the economy’s only bright spot, but at the time of writing, Wall Street closed sharply lower. It’s no surprise, then, that 44% of Americans in a YouGov poll earlier this month said the state of the economy is poor.
The impact of the Epstein email release hasn’t yet been fully captured in polling, but it appears to have thrown MAGA into disarray. Combined with the H-1B controversy, it threatens to fracture the Republican coalition.
In terms of polling, we’ve reached a point of no return. Americans are loudly rejecting the chaos of this administration—and they’re unlikely to change their minds in the next two and a half years, let alone before the 2026 midterms.
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