Friend, we thought you might be interested in a closer data driven look at the way that Tuesday's election results portend large shifts in the way that Latino voters are voting.
As we both know, Trump's surprising performance among Latino voters was a key part of his winning 2024 coalition. And now the data shows that it's crumbling.
Friend, in New Jersey and Virginia the data was clear. According to CBS news, in New Jersey Latino voters supported the Democratic candidate 68%-31%. That's huge.
And in the area in Virginia with the biggest blue wave swing from Republican to Democrats was Manassas Park -- where nearly half of folks are Latino. That amounted to a +22% D shift for Democrats.
Here's what one strategist had to say:
"The thing that stands out the most to me is the amount of swing from Republican to Democrat in just one year," said Chuck Rocha a Democratic political strategist and CBS News contributor. "We saw the swing of Latinos to the right slowly, progressively over the last 10 to 12 years, but on Tuesday night it was a real snapback — almost back to pre-Trump numbers of Latino performances for Democrats."
Here's why this all matters. The Republican gerrymander in several states, including Texas, only will work if they can keep their gains with Latino voters. They're relying on Trump's 2024 performance with this key demographic. And if Latino voters are fed up with Trump's economic policies and the absolute chaos in Washington, it could be game over for Republicans.
That's why we're investing in a lot of those districts in Texas -- places that will be in play and a key part of the path to the House Majority for Democrats if we can maintain and expand these gains with Latino voters. Those districts could include: TX-28, TX-34, TX-35, TX-23, TX-15, and TX-32.
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