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Daily News Brief

November 12, 2025

Welcome to CFR’s Daily News Brief. Today we’re covering deadly explosions in India and Pakistan, as well as...

  • U.S. allies’ moves on intelligence-sharing in Latin America

  • Ukraine’s probe of its justice minister
  • Cooling China-United Kingdom (UK) science cooperation 
 
 

Top of the Agenda

Deadly explosions a day apart in the capitals of India and Pakistan have left both countries on edge. A car explosion in New Delhi Monday killed at least eight people and injured more than a dozen, while a suicide bomb in Islamabad yesterday killed at least twelve people and injured twenty more. Indian authorities did not immediately assign blame for the attack. Pakistani authorities blamed militants in Afghanistan and claimed they acted with India’s backing. While no evidence immediately linked the two incidents, the flare in tensions between the neighboring countries comes only months after they ended a short military conflict. 

 

Authorities respond. Today, Indian authorities detained people in the disputed Kashmir region in connection with the New Delhi attack and said it was being investigated as possible terrorism. In Pakistan, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif accused “Indian terrorist proxies” of orchestrating the attack near the capital’s judicial complex without providing evidence. Jamaat-ul-Ahrar, a group that splintered off from the Pakistani Taliban, claimed responsibility for the Islamabad attack, though one of its commanders later rescinded that claim. New Delhi and Kabul both rejected allegations of involvement in the Islamabad attack, as did the Pakistani Taliban.

 

The context in Pakistan. Pakistan’s defense minister said the country was now in a “state of war” and that the incident was a “wake-up call” regarding neighboring Afghanistan, which Islamabad accuses of harboring extremists. Pakistan has experienced a series of attacks since the Taliban took control of Afghanistan in 2021, and the two countries recently fought along their own borders in skirmishes that mediators have failed to fully resolve.  

 
 

“In the past, international actors, most notably the United States, have played a crucial role in defusing crises in South Asia. This was true of the 2019 crisis, when U.S. and other Western officials actively and persistently pressed both countries to exercise restraint. But today, the world is tired of squabbles between India and Pakistan, and appetite for intervention in South Asia is low.”

—Yale’s Sushant Singh, Foreign Affairs

 

India and Pakistan’s Cross-Border Crisis

Security personnel and members of the forensic team work at the site of an explosion near the historic Red Fort in the old quarters of Delhi, India, November 11, 2025.

Adnan Abidi/Reuters

The conflict between the nuclear-armed neighbors earlier this year revealed a new level of comfort with military force, the Hoover Institution’s Šumit Ganguly said on this episode of The President’s Inbox.

Listen here
 
 

Across the Globe

Houthi strategy shift. Yemen’s Houthi rebels suggested in a letter posted online that they will pause their attacks on commercial ships in the Red Sea following the truce in Gaza, though they stopped short of declaring a formal end to the campaign. The bombing campaign, which they declared in solidarity with Gaza, upended global shipping routes and prompted retaliatory strikes from both the Biden and Trump administrations.  

 

Next steps in Gaza. Jared Kushner, U.S. President Donald Trump’s son-in-law, held talks in Israel with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu regarding the Gaza truce. They discussed an impasse over Hamas fighters sheltering in tunnels beneath Rafah, for whom Hamas is demanding safe passage and whom Israel and the United States seek to disarm. Separately, Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas visited France yesterday, where President Emmanuel Macron said Paris would help draft a future constitution for a Palestinian state.

 

Intel-sharing suspension. Colombia vowed to suspend all intelligence-sharing with the United States over Trump’s boat strikes near South America, while CNN and the Guardian reported the UK would also suspend some intelligence-sharing over the same concerns. Amid Trump’s militarized anti-drug campaign, the Navy said yesterday that the United States’ largest aircraft carrier strike group had arrived in the region. The UK controls several intelligence assets in the Caribbean. Unnamed sources told CNN that British officials believe the Trump administration’s strikes violate international law.

 

Ukraine minister suspended. Ukraine suspended its justice minister as a probe advances into a corruption scheme tied to the country’s nuclear power company, Prime Minister Yulia Svyrydenko announced today. He was not immediately charged, and agreed to the suspension. Two Ukrainian anti-corruption agencies said they were probing a scheme linked to the same nuclear company that may have laundered up to $100 million. 

 

U.S. vote on shutdown. U.S. House members are returning to Washington today for an expected vote to end the longest government shutdown in history. The Senate-backed bill would fund the government for two months, though the spending package fails to meet a Democratic demand to preserve expiring healthcare subsidies. If passed, the measure goes to Trump’s desk to be signed, with the president having already signaled his support. The shutdown has left roughly 1.4 million federal workers without pay for weeks and resulted in the suspension of food aid and thousands of cancelled flights.

 

China-UK science scale-down. The two countries restricted their bilateral science cooperation to areas like health and climate, the UK science and technology minister said yesterday. A 2017 agreement pledged joint work on satellites and remote sensing technology. However, bilateral relations soured in recent weeks after China protested the UK’s handling of an espionage case involving British citizens accused of spying for China. 

 

Newsom at COP30. Visiting the UN climate conference in Brazil yesterday, California Governor Gavin Newsom said his state will continue to prioritize climate action and compete in the green energy space despite Trump’s stated position that climate change is a hoax. California is the world’s fourth largest economy and Newsom is widely believed to be eyeing a 2028 presidential run. 


Oil demand forecast. The International Energy Agency (IEA) released new forecasts for global oil demand yesterday comparing scenarios in which countries followed stated climate policies versus continuing with their current behavior. The former would see global oil demand peak by the end of this decade, while the latter would see demand rise through 2050. 

 
 

China’s Latest Climate Pledges Fall Short

A farmer works amid photovoltaic panels at a solar power station in the Yi-Hui-Miao Autonomous County of Weining, southwest China’s Guizhou Province, July 3, 2025.

Tao Liang/Xinhua/Getty Images

Experts say the country’s climate target, presented ahead of COP30, is insufficient for keeping global climate warming from rising above 1.5°C, CFR Senior Fellow Alice C. Hill and CFR’s Mia Beams write in this article. 

 
 

What’s Next

  • Today, an African Union-UN conference begins in New York.

  • Today, Egypt’s foreign minister is visiting Turkey.

  • Tomorrow, Thailand’s king and queen begin a state visit to China.

 
 

A Conversation With the IEA’s Director

Fatih Birol speaks at a press conference on day two of the International Summit on the Future of Energy Security at Lancaster House in London, April 25, 2025.

Kin Cheung/Pool/Reuters

In September, IEA Director Fatih Birol discussed the current state of global energy markets and emerging risks to energy security at this CFR meeting.

 
 

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